← Matchups

Southern Miss

SBC · 1-1 · power +3.5 · #136
Our numberUSM -11.1 no book has priced this game

UL Monroe

SBC · 0-2 · power -4.2 · #234
Our side
MoneylineUSM to win ours 36%
Projected score 32–21 USM – ULM
2026-10-31 · kickoff TBD Malone Stadium · Monroe, LA SBC game Early season

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

Series Southern Miss lead 7–3 · 10 meetings since 1982
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game even 18 ranks apart
Southern Miss Golden Eagles #137 rush offense UL Monroe Warhawks #119 run defense
Pass game edge Southern Miss Golden Eagles 108 ranks
Southern Miss Golden Eagles #91 pass offense UL Monroe Warhawks #199 pass defense
Run game even 24 ranks apart
UL Monroe Warhawks #204 rush offense Southern Miss Golden Eagles #180 run defense
Pass game edge Southern Miss Golden Eagles 101 ranks
UL Monroe Warhawks #137 pass offense Southern Miss Golden Eagles #36 pass defense
Southern Miss Golden Eagles Balanced · 51% run Avg pace UL Monroe Warhawks Run-heavy · 61% run Ball-control
Charles Huff · 39-25 Bryant Vincent · 15-22

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
Southern Miss Golden Eagles
RB Steven Robinson 174 rush yds · 3 TD · 1 rec #37 RB
DB Kobi Albert 7 tkl · 1 PD · 3 INT #87 DB
DB Laquan Robinson 17 tkl · 1 PD #192 DB
LB Mathis Haygood 15 tkl · 0.5 sacks · 2.5 TFL #133 LB
UL Monroe Warhawks
DB Jabari Tiller 18 tkl · 1 PD #116 DB
DB Carl Fauntroy 12 tkl · 1 INT #119 DB
LB Noah Flemmings 20 tkl · 0.5 TFL #137 LB
DL Kevontay Wells 5 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.0 TFL #438 DL

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
Southern Miss Golden EaglesSBC +3.5 +1.6 +1.9 #136
UL Monroe WarhawksSBC -4.2 -3.9 -0.4 #234

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
Southern Miss offense vs UL Monroe defense+1.9 pts
UL Monroe offense vs Southern Miss defense-5.8 pts

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.