Our side
MoneylineODU to win
ours 64%
Projected score
26–30
MRSH – ODU
2026-10-31 · kickoff TBD
S.B. Ballard Stadium · Norfolk, VA
SBC game
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
Marshall lead
10–1
· 11 meetings since 2014
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
edge Old Dominion Monarchs
147 ranks
Marshall Thundering Herd #172 rush offense
Old Dominion Monarchs #25 run defense
Pass game
edge Old Dominion Monarchs
48 ranks
Marshall Thundering Herd #61 pass offense
Old Dominion Monarchs #13 pass defense
Run game
even
4 ranks apart
Old Dominion Monarchs #73 rush offense
Marshall Thundering Herd #69 run defense
Pass game
edge Old Dominion Monarchs
103 ranks
Old Dominion Monarchs #47 pass offense
Marshall Thundering Herd #150 pass defense
Marshall Thundering Herd
Run-heavy · 62% run
Avg pace
Dual-threat QB · 60 rush ypg
Old Dominion Monarchs
Run-heavy · 61% run
Ball-control
Dual-threat QB · 84 rush ypg
Tony Gibson · 5-7
Ricky Rahne · 30-33
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
Marshall Thundering Herd
DB
Caleb Clark-Glover
20 tkl · 2 PD
#50 DB
DL
Kelvon McBride
6 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL
#91 DL
TE
Toby Payne
9 rec · 61 yds
#49 TE
DL
Nate Blanc
2 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.0 TFL
#323 DL
Old Dominion Monarchs
DL
Javen Gibson
7 tkl · 2.5 sacks · 4.0 TFL
#66 DL
DB
Lucas Struck
11 tkl · 3 PD
#92 DB
LB
Mario Thompson
19 tkl · 1.0 TFL
#79 LB
QB
Quinn Henicle
324 pass yds · 3 TD · 1 INT
#46 QB
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Marshall offense vs Old Dominion defense-4.2 pts
Old Dominion offense vs Marshall defense-0.1 pts
Rest · context onlyAway team on 4 more days rest
An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have
played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.
Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest
were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them.
Adding them again would double-count.