Our side
MoneylineUSA to win
ours 63%
Projected score
24–29
LT – USA
2026-10-31 · kickoff TBD
Hancock Whitney Stadium · Mobile, AL
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
Louisiana Tech lead
2–1
· 3 meetings since 2017
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
edge Louisiana Tech Bulldogs
110 ranks
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs #106 rush offense
South Alabama Jaguars #216 run defense
Pass game
even
38 ranks apart
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs #178 pass offense
South Alabama Jaguars #216 pass defense
Run game
edge Louisiana Tech Bulldogs
46 ranks
South Alabama Jaguars #92 rush offense
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs #46 run defense
Pass game
edge Louisiana Tech Bulldogs
71 ranks
South Alabama Jaguars #127 pass offense
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs #56 pass defense
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs
Run-heavy · 67% run
Avg pace
Dual-threat QB · 32 rush ypg
South Alabama Jaguars
Run-heavy · 64% run
Avg pace
Sonny Cumbie · 21-34 · defense-minded
Major Applewhite · 26-25 · offense-minded
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs
LB
Alonzo Jackson Jr.
16 tkl · 3.0 sacks · 5.0 TFL
#2 LB
DB
Jordan McRae
12 tkl · 1 INT
#15 DB
WR
Jalen Mickens
9 rec · 234 yds · 2 TD
#41 WR
DB
Sam Fongang
15 tkl
#141 DB
South Alabama Jaguars
WR
Brendan Jenkins
14 rec · 197 yds · 2 TD
#25 WR
RB
PJ Martin
142 rush yds · 2 TD · 5 rec
#59 RB
QB
Bishop Davenport
450 pass yds · 3 TD · 0 INT
#34 QB
K
Davis Little
4 FG · 7 XP · 19 pts
#39 K
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Louisiana Tech offense vs South Alabama defense+2.2 pts
South Alabama offense vs Louisiana Tech defense+5.8 pts
Rest · context onlyHome team on 4 more days rest
An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have
played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.
Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest
were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them.
Adding them again would double-count.