Our side
MoneylineTROY to win
ours 51%
Projected score
26–25
LT – TROY
2026-11-07 · kickoff TBD
Veterans Memorial Stadium (AL) · Troy, AL
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
First recorded meeting between these programs
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
even
3 ranks apart
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs #106 rush offense
Troy Trojans #109 run defense
Pass game
edge Troy Trojans
114 ranks
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs #178 pass offense
Troy Trojans #64 pass defense
Run game
edge Louisiana Tech Bulldogs
180 ranks
Troy Trojans #226 rush offense
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs #46 run defense
Pass game
edge Louisiana Tech Bulldogs
131 ranks
Troy Trojans #187 pass offense
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs #56 pass defense
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs
Run-heavy · 67% run
Avg pace
Dual-threat QB · 32 rush ypg
Troy Trojans
Balanced · 54% run
Avg pace
Sonny Cumbie · 21-34 · defense-minded
Gerad Parker · 12-20 · defense-minded
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs
LB
Alonzo Jackson Jr.
16 tkl · 3.0 sacks · 5.0 TFL
#2 LB
DB
Jordan McRae
12 tkl · 1 INT
#15 DB
WR
Jalen Mickens
9 rec · 234 yds · 2 TD
#41 WR
DB
Sam Fongang
15 tkl
#141 DB
Troy Trojans
DL
Keno Jones
13 tkl · 1.5 sacks · 4.5 TFL
#22 DL
DB
Donnie Smith
9 tkl · 1 PD
#63 DB
WR
TK Keyes
7 rec · 167 yds · 2 TD
#109 WR
RB
Jaheim Merriweather
149 rush yds · 3 TD · 1 rec
#79 RB
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Louisiana Tech offense vs Troy defense+0.3 pts
Troy offense vs Louisiana Tech defense-1.1 pts
An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have
played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.