Our side
MoneylineUSA to win
ours 45%
Projected score
26–28
USA – USM
2026-11-21 · kickoff TBD
M. M. Roberts Stadium · Hattiesburg, MS
SBC game
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
South Alabama lead
6–0
· 6 meetings since 2020
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
edge South Alabama Jaguars
88 ranks
South Alabama Jaguars #92 rush offense
Southern Miss Golden Eagles #180 run defense
Pass game
edge Southern Miss Golden Eagles
91 ranks
South Alabama Jaguars #127 pass offense
Southern Miss Golden Eagles #36 pass defense
Run game
edge Southern Miss Golden Eagles
79 ranks
Southern Miss Golden Eagles #137 rush offense
South Alabama Jaguars #216 run defense
Pass game
edge Southern Miss Golden Eagles
125 ranks
Southern Miss Golden Eagles #91 pass offense
South Alabama Jaguars #216 pass defense
South Alabama Jaguars
Run-heavy · 64% run
Avg pace
Southern Miss Golden Eagles
Balanced · 51% run
Avg pace
Major Applewhite · 26-25 · offense-minded
Charles Huff · 39-25
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
South Alabama Jaguars
WR
Brendan Jenkins
14 rec · 197 yds · 2 TD
#25 WR
RB
PJ Martin
142 rush yds · 2 TD · 5 rec
#59 RB
QB
Bishop Davenport
450 pass yds · 3 TD · 0 INT
#34 QB
K
Davis Little
4 FG · 7 XP · 19 pts
#39 K
Southern Miss Golden Eagles
RB
Steven Robinson
174 rush yds · 3 TD · 1 rec
#37 RB
DB
Kobi Albert
7 tkl · 1 PD · 3 INT
#87 DB
DB
Laquan Robinson
17 tkl · 1 PD
#192 DB
LB
Mathis Haygood
15 tkl · 0.5 sacks · 2.5 TFL
#133 LB
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
South Alabama offense vs Southern Miss defense+3.7 pts
Southern Miss offense vs South Alabama defense-0.4 pts
An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have
played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.