Our side
MoneylineODU to win
ours 68%
Projected score
23–32
USM – ODU
2026-11-28 · kickoff TBD
S.B. Ballard Stadium · Norfolk, VA
SBC game
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
Old Dominion lead
2–1
· 3 meetings since 2015
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
edge Old Dominion Monarchs
112 ranks
Southern Miss Golden Eagles #137 rush offense
Old Dominion Monarchs #25 run defense
Pass game
edge Old Dominion Monarchs
78 ranks
Southern Miss Golden Eagles #91 pass offense
Old Dominion Monarchs #13 pass defense
Run game
edge Old Dominion Monarchs
107 ranks
Old Dominion Monarchs #73 rush offense
Southern Miss Golden Eagles #180 run defense
Pass game
even
11 ranks apart
Old Dominion Monarchs #47 pass offense
Southern Miss Golden Eagles #36 pass defense
Southern Miss Golden Eagles
Balanced · 51% run
Avg pace
Old Dominion Monarchs
Run-heavy · 61% run
Ball-control
Dual-threat QB · 84 rush ypg
Charles Huff · 39-25
Ricky Rahne · 30-33
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
Southern Miss Golden Eagles
RB
Steven Robinson
174 rush yds · 3 TD · 1 rec
#37 RB
DB
Kobi Albert
7 tkl · 1 PD · 3 INT
#87 DB
DB
Laquan Robinson
17 tkl · 1 PD
#192 DB
LB
Mathis Haygood
15 tkl · 0.5 sacks · 2.5 TFL
#133 LB
Old Dominion Monarchs
DL
Javen Gibson
7 tkl · 2.5 sacks · 4.0 TFL
#66 DL
DB
Lucas Struck
11 tkl · 3 PD
#92 DB
LB
Mario Thompson
19 tkl · 1.0 TFL
#79 LB
QB
Quinn Henicle
324 pass yds · 3 TD · 1 INT
#46 QB
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Southern Miss offense vs Old Dominion defense-6.5 pts
Old Dominion offense vs Southern Miss defense-0.7 pts
Travel · context onlyAway team travels 837 mi
An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have
played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.
Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest
were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them.
Adding them again would double-count.