Our side
MoneylineSEMO to win
ours 43%
Projected score
29–26
SEMO – LIN
2026-10-10 · 2:00 PM
Hunter Stadium · Saint Charles, MO
Conference game
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
Southeast Missouri State and Lindenwood split 4 (2–2)
· 4 meetings since 2022
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
edge Lindenwood Lions
73 ranks
Southeast Missouri State Redhawks #243 rush offense
Lindenwood Lions #170 run defense
Pass game
edge Southeast Missouri State Redhawks
47 ranks
Southeast Missouri State Redhawks #125 pass offense
Lindenwood Lions #172 pass defense
Run game
edge Southeast Missouri State Redhawks
76 ranks
Lindenwood Lions #180 rush offense
Southeast Missouri State Redhawks #104 run defense
Pass game
edge Lindenwood Lions
102 ranks
Lindenwood Lions #60 pass offense
Southeast Missouri State Redhawks #162 pass defense
Southeast Missouri State Redhawks
Balanced · 45% run
Avg pace
Lindenwood Lions
Run-heavy · 58% run
Ball-control
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
Southeast Missouri State Redhawks
DB
DJ Delmore
22 tkl · 2 PD
#20 DB
DL
Timothy Maxson
12 tkl · 1.5 sacks · 4.0 TFL
#72 DL
P
Teagan Cobb
15 punts · 45.4 yd avg
#12 P
WR
John Anthony Jr.
10 rec · 219 yds · 2 TD
#98 WR
Lindenwood Lions
DL
Mason Burke
8 tkl · 2.0 sacks · 3.5 TFL
#152 DL
DL
King Smith
8 tkl · 2.5 sacks · 4.0 TFL
#182 DL
DB
Isaac Edwards
7 tkl · 1 INT
#378 DB
DL
David Amaliri
10 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL
#451 DL
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Southeast Missouri State offense vs Lindenwood defense+1.6 pts
Lindenwood offense vs Southeast Missouri State defense-3.4 pts
Efficiency adjustment · EPA, success rate, explosiveness-0.6 pts
Power projection before adjustment-2.3
The projection carries an efficiency adjustment —
a residual from season-to-date EPA, success rate and explosiveness, which earned its place by
walk-forward test (margin error 12.90 → 12.72 across seven held-out seasons).