Northeastern State
· power -13.2 · #331
Our numberWEST -20.9
no book has priced this game
West Florida
· 2-0 · power +4.1 · #130
Our side
MoneylineWEST to win
ours 90%
Projected score
19–40
NORT – WEST
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Power breakdown
| Team | Power | Off | Def | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Northeastern State RiverHawks |
-13.2 | -5.1 | -8.1 | #331 |
| West Florida Argonauts |
+4.1 | +2.6 | +1.5 | #130 |
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Northeastern State offense vs West Florida defense-6.6 pts
West Florida offense vs Northeastern State defense+10.7 pts
Rest · context onlyAway team on 7 more days rest
An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.
Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them. Adding them again would double-count.