← Matchups

Ohio Dominican

· 1-0 · power -4.1 · #232

Our numberOHIO -8.6 ~~no book has priced this game~~

Morehead State

· 1-2 · power -15.1 · #345

Final OHIO 42 · MORE 40 ML W our logged sides, graded on the record

Our side

MoneylineOHIO to win logged ours 32%

Our number: OHIO by 8.4 — OHIO to win.

Projected score 36–28 OHIO – MORE

2026-08-27 · 6:00 PM Phil Simms Stadium · Morehead, KY Early season

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

First recorded meeting between these programs

2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played

Morehead State Eagles Balanced · 55% run Ball-control

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all D1 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025

Ohio Dominican Panthers

No graded players for this team in 2025.

Morehead State Eagles

DB Tazion McQueen 10 tkl · 1 PD · 2 INT #96 DB

DB Sidney Webb 4 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT #125 DB

DB Isaiah Watts 3 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT #148 DB

WR Cross Watson 4 rec · 132 yds · 3 TD #207 WR

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown

Team	Power	Off	Def	Rank
Ohio Dominican Panthers	-4.1	+0.8	-4.9	#232
Morehead State Eagles	-15.1	-2.7	-12.4	#345

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from

Ohio Dominican offense vs Morehead State defense+13.2 pts

Morehead State offense vs Ohio Dominican defense+2.2 pts

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.