← Matchups

Concord

· 1-0 · power -4.7 · #239

Our numberCONC -14.0 ~~no book has priced this game~~

Davidson

· 1-2 · power -20.9 · #381

Final CONC 41 · DAV 35 ML W our logged sides, graded on the record

Our side

MoneylineCONC to win logged ours 22%

Our number: CONC by 13.7 — CONC to win.

Projected score 38–24 CONC – DAV

2026-08-27 · 7:00 PM Richardson Stadium (Davidson, NC) · Davidson, NC Early season

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

First recorded meeting between these programs

2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played

Davidson Wildcats Run-heavy · 62% run Ball-control

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all D1 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025

Concord Mountain Lions

No graded players for this team in 2025.

Davidson Wildcats

WR Jacary Lightsey 24 rec · 233 yds · 1 TD #50 WR

DL Danzel Chukwuemeka 11 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.0 TFL #200 DL

DL Jarmal Gilmore 11 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.5 TFL #223 DL

TE Jack Perozek 7 rec · 62 yds · 1 TD #51 TE

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown

Team	Power	Off	Def	Rank
Concord Mountain Lions	-4.7	+0.4	-5.1	#239
Davidson Wildcats	-20.9	-8.4	-12.5	#381

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from

Concord offense vs Davidson defense+13.0 pts

Davidson offense vs Concord defense-3.3 pts

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.