← Matchups

Western Carolina

· 1-2 · power -3.8 · #226
Our numberCAM -2.0 no book has priced this game

Campbell

· 2-1 · power -4.6 · #235
Final WCU 19 · CAM 28 ML L our logged sides, graded on the record
Our side
MoneylineWCU to win logged live now: CAM to win — the pick stands, the number moved · ours 54%

Our number: WCU by 2.3 — WCU to win.

Projected score 31–33 WCU – CAM
2026-09-06 · 11:00 AM Barker-Lane Stadium · Buies Creek, NC Early season

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

Series Campbell and Western Carolina split 2 (1–1) · 2 meetings since 2024
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game edge Western Carolina Catamounts 63 ranks
Western Carolina Catamounts #162 rush offense Campbell Fighting Camels #225 run defense
Pass game edge Western Carolina Catamounts 198 ranks
Western Carolina Catamounts #24 pass offense Campbell Fighting Camels #222 pass defense
Run game even 22 ranks apart
Campbell Fighting Camels #197 rush offense Western Carolina Catamounts #219 run defense
Pass game even 32 ranks apart
Campbell Fighting Camels #173 pass offense Western Carolina Catamounts #205 pass defense
Western Carolina Catamounts Balanced · 46% run Avg pace Dual-threat QB · 36 rush ypg Campbell Fighting Camels Balanced · 51% run Avg pace

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
Western Carolina Catamounts
DB Andre Jackson Jr. 18 tkl · 4 PD #80 DB
DL Caleb Turner-Allen 8 tkl · 2.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL #144 DL
TE Bode Burns 10 rec · 99 yds · 1 TD #40 TE
LB Joshua Collins 19 tkl · 2.0 sacks · 3.0 TFL #121 LB
Campbell Fighting Camels
DL Justin Garza 7 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL #124 DL
DL Ebenezer Bedada 8 tkl · 1.5 TFL #197 DL
WR Spencer Jones 15 rec · 203 yds · 1 TD #136 WR
LB AJ Benton 16 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.0 TFL #135 LB

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
Western Carolina Catamounts -3.8 +4.5 -8.3 #226
Campbell Fighting Camels -4.6 -1.1 -3.5 #235

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
Western Carolina offense vs Campbell defense+8.0 pts
Campbell offense vs Western Carolina defense+7.2 pts
Altitude · context only598 m lower than the visitor's home elevation

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.

Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them. Adding them again would double-count.