Team Vitals
Team profile 2025 · vs 136 FBS teams
Percentile against every FBS team, from 2025 play with garbage time excluded. No 2026 game has been played yet, so this describes last season.
- Win rate 8%ile 0.250
- Offense (PPA/play) 42%ile 0.163
- Defense (PPA allowed) 25%ile 0.208
- Offensive success rate 58%ile 0.432
- Defensive success rate allowed 39%ile 0.424
- Explosiveness 38%ile 1.239
- Explosiveness allowed 33%ile 1.310
- Plays per game 66%ile 63.8
median · bars right of it are above the FBS average · pace is a style, not a grade
Upcoming 2026
| Date | Wk | Opponent | Site | Model Lean |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 | Wk 3 | Fresno State FBS | HOME | Fresno State 60% |
| 2026-10-03 | Wk 5 | Hawai'i FBS | AWAY | San José State 50% |
| 2026-10-09 | Wk 6 | Wyoming FBS | HOME | San José State 71% |
| 2026-10-17 | Wk 7 | UTEP FBS | AWAY | San José State 59% |
| 2026-10-24 | Wk 8 | Nevada FBS | AWAY | Nevada 60% |
| 2026-10-31 | Wk 9 | New Mexico FBS | HOME | New Mexico 66% |
| 2026-11-07 | Wk 10 | Northern Illinois FBS | HOME | San José State 63% |
| 2026-11-14 | Wk 11 | Air Force FBS | AWAY | Air Force 63% |
| 2026-11-21 | Wk 12 | UNLV FBS | HOME | UNLV 62% |
| 2026-11-27 | Wk 13 | North Dakota State FCS | HOME | North Dakota State 52% |
Recent Results
| Date | Season | Wk | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | 2026 | Wk 2 | Cal Poly vs | W | 30–20 |
| 2026-09-04 | 2026 | Wk 1 | Eastern Michigan @ | W | 27–21 |
| 2026-08-29 | 2026 | Wk 1 | USC @ | L | 26–42 |
| 2025-11-29 | 2025 | Wk 14 | Fresno State vs | L | 14–41 |
| 2025-11-22 | 2025 | Wk 13 | San Diego State @ | L | 3–25 |
| 2025-11-15 | 2025 | Wk 12 | Nevada @ | L | 10–55 |
| 2025-11-08 | 2025 | Wk 11 | Air Force vs | L | 16–26 |
| 2025-11-01 | 2025 | Wk 10 | Hawai'i vs | W | 45–38 |
| 2025-10-17 | 2025 | Wk 8 | Utah State @ | L | 25–30 |
| 2025-10-11 | 2025 | Wk 7 | Wyoming @ | L | 28–35 |
| 2025-10-03 | 2025 | Wk 6 | New Mexico vs | W | 35–28 |
| 2025-09-27 | 2025 | Wk 5 | Stanford @ | L | 29–30 |
Season by Season
| Season | W | L | PF | PA | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2 | 1 | 83 | 83 | +0 |
| 2025 | 3 | 9 | 257 | 390 | -133 |
| 2024 | 7 | 6 | 369 | 358 | +11 |
| 2023 | 7 | 6 | 414 | 333 | +81 |
| 2022 | 7 | 5 | 329 | 264 | +65 |
| 2021 | 5 | 7 | 240 | 318 | -78 |
| 2020 | 7 | 1 | 229 | 159 | +70 |
| 2019 | 5 | 7 | 361 | 383 | -22 |
| 2018 | 1 | 11 | 255 | 439 | -184 |
| 2017 | 2 | 11 | 206 | 542 | -336 |
| 2016 | 4 | 8 | 293 | 416 | -123 |
| 2015 | 6 | 7 | 363 | 354 | +9 |
Injuries
Not an injury report. College football has no league-wide mandated one, and the ESPN feed we poll has carried the same three players all season — so an empty table here means nothing has been reported to us, not that the team is healthy. Nothing on this page, and nothing in our model, uses it.
Player grades 2026 season
Box production, opponent-adjusted, ranked within position (50 = positional average). OL rows are team-inferred — college football publishes no individual OL box stats. Full leaderboard →
| Player | Pos | Grade | Pos rank | G | 2026 season |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Lee | LB | 89 | #10 | 3 | 24 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.5 TFL |
| Naseri Danielson | LB | 84 | #22 | 3 | 22 tkl |
| Caleb Womack | DB | 83 | #46 | 3 | 25 tkl · 1 INT |
| Luke Weaver | QB | 81 | #14 | 3 | 788 pass yds · 8 TD · 1 INT |
| Cooper Hoch | WR | 81 | #40 | 3 | 14 rec · 216 yds · 3 TD |
| Carson Clark | WR | 80 | #43 | 3 | 19 rec · 213 yds · 2 TD |
| Ethan Powell | LB | 74 | #99 | 3 | 20 tkl · 0.5 sacks · 2.5 TFL |
| Jeremiah Tuiileila | DL | 73 | #209 | 3 | 9 tkl · 0.5 sacks · 1.5 TFL |
| Jabari Bates | RB | 72 | #89 | 3 | 319 rush yds · 4 rec |
| Trajan Sinatra | K | 72 | #30 | 3 | 6 FG · 7 XP · 25 pts |
| Justin Stearns | DL | 72 | #250 | 3 | 7 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.5 TFL |
| Tuli Tagovailoa-Amosa | DB | 71 | #239 | 3 | 13 tkl · 3 PD |
| Jerry McClure | WR | 68 | #213 | 3 | 12 rec · 113 yds · 1 TD |
| Trent Carrizosa | P | 68 | #31 | 3 | 13 punts · 42.4 yd avg |
| Jayland McGlothen | DL | 65 | #510 | 3 | 6 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.5 TFL |
| Jayden Robertson | DB | 64 | #536 | 3 | 7 tkl · 3 PD |
| Dejon Roney | DL | 62 | #738 | 3 | 7 tkl |
| Greco Carrillo | DB | 61 | #691 | 1 | 4 tkl · 1 INT |
| Jordan Anderson | WR | 61 | #458 | 3 | 6 rec · 81 yds · 1 TD |
| Isaiah Buxton | DB | 59 | #820 | 1 | 7 tkl |
| Aizik Mahuka | LB | 59 | #518 | 2 | 5 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.5 TFL |
| Jase Nix | WR | 59 | #548 | 2 | 4 rec · 55 yds · 1 TD |
| Etu Finau | DL | 56 | #1105 | 1 | 6 tkl |
| Dylan Aguilera team-inferred | OL | 56 | #56 | 1 | — |
| Brian Dukes Jr. | DB | 55 | #1113 | 3 | 10 tkl |
| John Norwood | LB | 52 | #812 | 1 | 1 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.0 TFL |
| Runye Norton | DB | 49 | #1569 | 2 | 5 tkl |
| Viliami Teu | RB | 48 | #731 | 3 | 63 rush yds |
| Nate Lewis | DL | 47 | #1914 | 2 | 2 tkl |
| Solomone Langi | DL | 47 | #1944 | 2 | 4 tkl |
| Anthony Ivey | WR | 46 | #1184 | 3 | 2 rec · 34 yds |
| Auma Jennings | DL | 46 | #2043 | 3 | 3 tkl · 0.5 TFL |
| Noa Siaosi | DL | 46 | #2054 | 3 | 4 tkl |
| Dominique McKenzie | WR | 45 | #1209 | 3 | 2 rec · 34 yds |
| Pierce Walker | DB | 43 | #2062 | 2 | 3 tkl |
| Kejuan Bullard Jr. | DB | 43 | #2077 | 3 | 4 tkl |
| Kamaehu Kopa-Kaawalauole | TE | 43 | #426 | 2 | 2 rec · 8 yds |
| Malakai Hoeft | LB | 42 | #1327 | 3 | 4 tkl |
| Ian Shewell | DL | 41 | #2409 | 1 | 2 tkl |
| Isaiah Carlson | RB | 39 | #1012 | 2 | 18 rush yds |