Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
FBS
Conference USA · MTSU
Team Vitals
-2.2
power · 2026 · #203 D1
-1.3 / -0.9
off / def (higher = better)
1–1
2026 record
112
roster (2026)
Team profile 2025 · vs 136 FBS teams
Percentile against every FBS team, from 2025 play with garbage time excluded. No 2026 game has been played yet, so this describes last season.
- Win rate 8%ile 0.250
- Offense (PPA/play) 40%ile 0.161
- Defense (PPA allowed) 21%ile 0.220
- Offensive success rate 52%ile 0.425
- Defensive success rate allowed 21%ile 0.443
- Explosiveness 46%ile 1.262
- Explosiveness allowed 40%ile 1.300
- Plays per game 92%ile 67.7
median · bars right of it are above the FBS average · pace is a style, not a grade
Upcoming 2026
| Date | Wk | Opponent | Site | Model Lean |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 | Wk 3 | Nevada FBS | HOME | Nevada 63% |
| 2026-09-26 | Wk 4 | Jacksonville State FBS | AWAY | Jacksonville State 69% |
| 2026-10-03 | Wk 5 | Kansas FBS | AWAY | Kansas 80% |
| 2026-10-13 | Wk 7 | Delaware FBS | HOME | Delaware 68% |
| 2026-10-20 | Wk 8 | Florida International FBS | AWAY | Florida International 72% |
| 2026-10-28 | Wk 9 | Kennesaw State FBS | HOME | Kennesaw State 51% |
| 2026-11-07 | Wk 10 | Western Kentucky FBS | HOME | Western Kentucky 50% |
| 2026-11-14 | Wk 11 | Liberty FBS | AWAY | Liberty 66% |
| 2026-11-21 | Wk 12 | Sam Houston FBS | AWAY | Middle Tennessee 53% |
| 2026-11-28 | Wk 13 | New Mexico State FBS | HOME | Middle Tennessee 51% |
Recent Results
| Date | Season | Wk | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | 2026 | Wk 2 | Marshall @ | L | 26–28 |
| 2026-09-05 | 2026 | Wk 1 | Murray State vs | W | 38–14 |
| 2025-11-29 | 2025 | Wk 14 | New Mexico State @ | W | 31–24 |
| 2025-11-22 | 2025 | Wk 13 | Sam Houston vs | W | 31–17 |
| 2025-11-15 | 2025 | Wk 12 | Western Kentucky @ | L | 26–42 |
| 2025-11-08 | 2025 | Wk 11 | Florida International vs | L | 30–56 |
| 2025-10-29 | 2025 | Wk 10 | Jacksonville State vs | L | 21–24 |
| 2025-10-22 | 2025 | Wk 9 | Delaware @ | L | 28–31 |
| 2025-10-08 | 2025 | Wk 7 | Missouri State vs | L | 20–22 |
| 2025-09-27 | 2025 | Wk 5 | Kennesaw State @ | L | 16–24 |
| 2025-09-20 | 2025 | Wk 4 | Marshall vs | L | 28–42 |
| 2025-09-13 | 2025 | Wk 3 | Nevada @ | W | 14–13 |
Season by Season
| Season | W | L | PF | PA | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1 | 1 | 64 | 42 | +22 |
| 2025 | 3 | 9 | 269 | 371 | -102 |
| 2024 | 3 | 9 | 217 | 411 | -194 |
| 2023 | 4 | 8 | 291 | 337 | -46 |
| 2022 | 8 | 5 | 375 | 360 | +15 |
| 2021 | 7 | 6 | 388 | 334 | +54 |
| 2020 | 3 | 6 | 206 | 319 | -113 |
| 2019 | 4 | 8 | 316 | 359 | -43 |
| 2018 | 8 | 6 | 392 | 374 | +18 |
| 2017 | 7 | 6 | 332 | 321 | +11 |
| 2016 | 8 | 5 | 516 | 465 | +51 |
| 2015 | 7 | 6 | 442 | 346 | +96 |
Injuries
Not an injury report. College football has no league-wide mandated one, and the ESPN feed we poll has carried the same three players all season — so an empty table here means nothing has been reported to us, not that the team is healthy. Nothing on this page, and nothing in our model, uses it.
Player grades 2026 season
Box production, opponent-adjusted, ranked within position (50 = positional average). OL rows are team-inferred — college football publishes no individual OL box stats. Full leaderboard →
| Player | Pos | Grade | Pos rank | G | 2026 season |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cam'ron Lacy | WR | 81 | #37 | 2 | 17 rec · 190 yds · 2 TD |
| Kalen Woods | DB | 81 | #59 | 2 | 13 tkl · 1 PD |
| Zeion Simpson-Smith | DL | 70 | #286 | 2 | 11 tkl · 1.0 TFL |
| Roman Gagliano | QB | 66 | #100 | 2 | 443 pass yds · 4 TD · 1 INT |
| Korey Smith | LB | 64 | #329 | 2 | 16 tkl · 0.5 TFL |
| AJ Jones | WR | 62 | #423 | 2 | 6 rec · 61 yds · 1 TD |
| Dominic Bourgeois | K | 61 | #93 | 2 | 3 FG · 7 XP · 16 pts |
| Ashton Logan | P | 61 | #64 | 2 | 6 punts · 48.2 yd avg |
| Terrence Brown | RB | 59 | #370 | 2 | 68 rush yds · 1 TD · 4 rec |
| Aidan Butts | DL | 59 | #927 | 1 | 2 tkl · 1.0 TFL |
| Antonio Martin | RB | 58 | #391 | 2 | 135 rush yds · 2 rec |
| Neo Clifton | WR | 57 | #610 | 2 | 4 rec · 57 yds · 1 TD |
| Reggie Johnson | LB | 57 | #595 | 2 | 6 tkl · 0.5 TFL |
| Justin Bodford | DL | 57 | #1076 | 2 | 3 tkl · 2.0 TFL |
| Jackson Lowe | DB | 54 | #1229 | 2 | 5 tkl · 1 PD |
| Felix Hixon | DL | 53 | #1373 | 2 | 6 tkl |
| Ashton Taylor | LB | 53 | #792 | 2 | 7 tkl |
| Gumbo Gaskins | DB | 53 | #1300 | 2 | 7 tkl |
| Markus Allen | WR | 50 | #948 | 2 | 4 rec · 43 yds |
| Jason Hardy | DB | 49 | #1588 | 2 | 6 tkl |
| Bryce Williams | DB | 49 | #1587 | 2 | 6 tkl |
| Tayvion Galloway | TE | 49 | #333 | 2 | 3 rec · 16 yds |
| Aidan Singleton | DB | 48 | #1691 | 2 | 6 tkl |
| James Johnson | DB | 48 | #1692 | 2 | 5 tkl |
| KJ Miniefield | DB | 48 | #1707 | 1 | 1 tkl · 1 PD |
| Kaven Call | LB | 48 | #1049 | 2 | 6 tkl |
| Hogan Wasson | WR | 46 | #1190 | 2 | 3 rec · 24 yds |
| Mathias Malaki-Donaldson | LB | 45 | #1162 | 1 | 2 tkl |
| Koraun Perdue | TE | 44 | #405 | 1 | 1 rec · 14 yds |
| DJ Taylor | RB | 43 | #910 | 2 | 10 rush yds · 1 rec |
| Jaiyden Thompson | LB | 42 | #1318 | 2 | 4 tkl |
| Ricky Lee | DB | 36 | #2517 | 2 | 2 tkl |
| Archie Roseman V | DL | 35 | #2818 | 1 | 1 tkl |
| Jayson Lowe | LB | 34 | #1607 | 2 | 2 tkl |
| Devan Carlisle | DB | 32 | #2683 | 1 | 1 tkl |
| Santana Fleming | WR | 24 | #1865 | 1 | — |
| Austin Clemons | RB | 23 | #1285 | 1 | — |
| Camari Hall | DB | 19 | #2981 | 1 | 1 tkl |
| Jayden Williams | LB | 17 | #1845 | 1 | 1 tkl |
| Jordan Chestnut | DB | 11 | #3032 | 1 | — |