Team Vitals
Team profile 2025 · vs 136 FBS teams
Percentile against every FBS team, from 2025 play with garbage time excluded. No 2026 game has been played yet, so this describes last season.
- Win rate 67%ile 0.692
- Offense (PPA/play) 66%ile 0.208
- Defense (PPA allowed) 40%ile 0.181
- Offensive success rate 85%ile 0.475
- Defensive success rate allowed 23%ile 0.441
- Explosiveness 28%ile 1.215
- Explosiveness allowed 75%ile 1.207
- Plays per game 28%ile 58.2
median · bars right of it are above the FBS average · pace is a style, not a grade
Upcoming 2026
| Date | Wk | Opponent | Site | Model Lean |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 | Wk 3 | Southern Illinois FCS | HOME | Illinois 93% |
| 2026-09-26 | Wk 4 | Ohio State FBS | AWAY | Ohio State 84% |
| 2026-10-03 | Wk 5 | Purdue FBS | HOME | Illinois 74% |
| 2026-10-10 | Wk 6 | Michigan State FBS | AWAY | Illinois 53% |
| 2026-10-24 | Wk 8 | Oregon FBS | HOME | Oregon 64% |
| 2026-10-31 | Wk 9 | Maryland FBS | AWAY | Illinois 58% |
| 2026-11-06 | Wk 10 | Nebraska FBS | HOME | Illinois 51% |
| 2026-11-13 | Wk 11 | UCLA FBS | AWAY | UCLA 58% |
| 2026-11-21 | Wk 12 | Iowa FBS | HOME | Iowa 61% |
| 2026-11-28 | Wk 13 | Northwestern FBS | AWAY | Northwestern 51% |
Recent Results
| Date | Season | Wk | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | 2026 | Wk 2 | Duke vs | L | 27–31 |
| 2026-09-03 | 2026 | Wk 1 | UAB vs | W | 42–23 |
| 2025-12-30 | 2025 | Bowl | Tennessee vs | W | 30–28 |
| 2025-11-29 | 2025 | Wk 14 | Northwestern vs | W | 20–13 |
| 2025-11-22 | 2025 | Wk 13 | Wisconsin @ | L | 10–27 |
| 2025-11-15 | 2025 | Wk 12 | Maryland vs | W | 24–6 |
| 2025-11-01 | 2025 | Wk 10 | Rutgers vs | W | 35–13 |
| 2025-10-25 | 2025 | Wk 9 | Washington @ | L | 25–42 |
| 2025-10-11 | 2025 | Wk 7 | Ohio State vs | L | 16–34 |
| 2025-10-04 | 2025 | Wk 6 | Purdue @ | W | 43–27 |
| 2025-09-27 | 2025 | Wk 5 | USC vs | W | 34–32 |
| 2025-09-20 | 2025 | Wk 4 | Indiana @ | L | 10–63 |
Season by Season
| Season | W | L | PF | PA | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1 | 1 | 69 | 54 | +15 |
| 2025 | 9 | 4 | 382 | 307 | +75 |
| 2024 | 10 | 3 | 368 | 282 | +86 |
| 2023 | 5 | 7 | 294 | 353 | -59 |
| 2022 | 8 | 5 | 315 | 166 | +149 |
| 2021 | 5 | 7 | 242 | 263 | -21 |
| 2020 | 2 | 6 | 161 | 279 | -118 |
| 2019 | 6 | 7 | 347 | 340 | +7 |
| 2018 | 4 | 8 | 312 | 473 | -161 |
| 2017 | 2 | 10 | 185 | 378 | -193 |
| 2016 | 3 | 9 | 236 | 383 | -147 |
| 2015 | 5 | 7 | 272 | 279 | -7 |
Injuries
Not an injury report. College football has no league-wide mandated one, and the ESPN feed we poll has carried the same three players all season — so an empty table here means nothing has been reported to us, not that the team is healthy. Nothing on this page, and nothing in our model, uses it.
Player grades 2026 season
Box production, opponent-adjusted, ranked within position (50 = positional average). OL rows are team-inferred — college football publishes no individual OL box stats. Full leaderboard →
| Player | Pos | Grade | Pos rank | G | 2026 season |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Collin Dixon | WR | 92 | #5 | 2 | 17 rec · 236 yds · 5 TD |
| Katin Houser | QB | 84 | #8 | 2 | 453 pass yds · 6 TD · 1 INT |
| Ismael Kante | LB | 80 | #45 | 2 | 10 tkl · 0.5 TFL |
| Will Holmes | LB | 74 | #102 | 2 | 10 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL |
| Matthew Bailey | DB | 70 | #282 | 2 | 12 tkl · 1 PD |
| Ean Rhea | DL | 70 | #318 | 2 | 7 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL |
| Ca'Lil Valentine | RB | 66 | #185 | 2 | 144 rush yds · 1 TD · 2 rec |
| Ethan Moczulski | K | 64 | #73 | 2 | 2 FG · 9 XP · 15 pts |
| Joe Barna | DL | 62 | #688 | 2 | 7 tkl · 1.0 TFL |
| Grant Beerman | LB | 62 | #415 | 2 | 7 tkl · 1.0 TFL |
| Mac Resetich | DB | 61 | #685 | 2 | 8 tkl · 1 PD |
| Darrell Prater | DL | 61 | #797 | 2 | 7 tkl · 0.5 TFL |
| Ty Robinson | WR | 59 | #534 | 2 | 3 rec · 67 yds · 1 TD |
| Hudson Clement | WR | 58 | #560 | 2 | 7 rec · 71 yds |
| Xavier Scott | DB | 58 | #909 | 2 | 6 tkl · 1 PD |
| James Kreutz | LB | 56 | #628 | 2 | 8 tkl · 1.0 TFL |
| Tywan Cox | DB | 56 | #1080 | 1 | 4 tkl · 1 PD |
| Aidan Laughery | RB | 54 | #533 | 2 | 66 rush yds · 2 rec |
| Juice Clarke | DB | 54 | #1217 | 2 | 7 tkl |
| Jakwon Morris | DB | 53 | #1298 | 2 | 4 tkl · 1 PD |
| Brayden Trimble | WR | 50 | #989 | 2 | 4 rec · 28 yds |
| Pat Farrell | DL | 49 | #1775 | 2 | 4 tkl |
| Mason Muragin | LB | 48 | #1015 | 1 | 3 tkl |
| Deuce Fillmore | DB | 47 | #1734 | 1 | 4 tkl |
| Davin Stoffel | TE | 46 | #382 | 1 | 1 rec · 14 yds |
| Carter Janki | DL | 45 | #2099 | 2 | 3 tkl |
| Nick Hankins Jr. | DB | 44 | #1990 | 1 | 3 tkl |
| Cameron Thomas | LB | 42 | #1296 | 1 | 1 tkl · 1.0 TFL |
| Demetrius John | DL | 39 | #2529 | 2 | 2 tkl |
| Robert Edmonson | LB | 39 | #1422 | 1 | 2 tkl |
| Jack Paris | LB | 38 | #1477 | 1 | 2 tkl |
| Lars Rau | P | 36 | #224 | 1 | 1 punts · 42.0 yd avg |
| Tanner Heckel | DB | 35 | #2576 | 1 | 1 tkl |
| Joshua Davis | DL | 33 | #2900 | 1 | 1 tkl |
| Christian Abney | TE | 33 | #543 | 1 | 1 rec · 1 yds |
| Jordan Anderson | RB | 33 | #1166 | 1 | 5 rush yds |
| Almirian Thomas | DB | 31 | #2733 | 1 | 1 tkl |
| Ben Clawson | DB | 31 | #2732 | 1 | 1 tkl |
| Kaden Feagin | TE | 24 | #577 | 1 | — |