Our side
MoneylineBYU to win
ours 28%
Projected score
28–17
BYU – UCF
2026-10-24 · kickoff TBD
Acrisure Bounce House · Orlando, FL
B12 game
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
BYU lead
4–1
· 5 meetings since 2011
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
edge BYU Cougars
136 ranks
BYU Cougars #43 rush offense
UCF Knights #179 run defense
Pass game
edge UCF Knights
60 ranks
BYU Cougars #99 pass offense
UCF Knights #39 pass defense
Run game
edge BYU Cougars
48 ranks
UCF Knights #111 rush offense
BYU Cougars #63 run defense
Pass game
edge BYU Cougars
121 ranks
UCF Knights #180 pass offense
BYU Cougars #59 pass defense
BYU Cougars
Balanced · 57% run
Avg pace
Dual-threat QB · 41 rush ypg
UCF Knights
Balanced · 48% run
Ball-control
Kalani Sitake · 84-45
Scott Frost · 40-45
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
BYU Cougars
QB
Bear Bachmeier
415 pass yds · 6 TD · 0 INT
#12 QB
DL
Tausili Akana
4 tkl · 2.5 sacks · 2.5 TFL
#171 DL
WR
Legend Glasker
6 rec · 139 yds · 2 TD
#113 WR
WR
Kyler Kasper
8 rec · 93 yds · 2 TD
#116 WR
UCF Knights
DB
Jayden Williams
5 tkl · 1 INT
#124 DB
DL
Sincere Edwards
7 tkl · 2.0 TFL
#205 DL
LB
Lewis Carter
15 tkl · 0.5 TFL
#172 LB
LB
Tackett Curtis
13 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL
#200 LB
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
BYU offense vs UCF defense+2.7 pts
UCF offense vs BYU defense-8.9 pts
Travel · context onlyAway team travels 1,901 mi
Altitude · context only1,395 m lower than the visitor's home elevation
Rest · context onlyHome team on 7 more days rest
An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have
played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.
Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest
were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them.
Adding them again would double-count.