Team Vitals
Team profile 2025 · vs 136 FBS teams
Percentile against every FBS team, from 2025 play with garbage time excluded. No 2026 game has been played yet, so this describes last season.
- Win rate 31%ile 0.417
- Offense (PPA/play) 37%ile 0.147
- Defense (PPA allowed) 58%ile 0.125
- Offensive success rate 20%ile 0.389
- Defensive success rate allowed 29%ile 0.436
- Explosiveness 91%ile 1.396
- Explosiveness allowed 98%ile 1.096
- Plays per game 35%ile 59.8
median · bars right of it are above the FBS average · pace is a style, not a grade
Upcoming 2026
| Date | Wk | Opponent | Site | Model Lean |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 | Wk 3 | Georgia State FBS | HOME | UCF 77% |
| 2026-09-26 | Wk 4 | TCU FBS | HOME | TCU 55% |
| 2026-10-03 | Wk 5 | Houston FBS | AWAY | Houston 55% |
| 2026-10-10 | Wk 6 | Oklahoma State FBS | AWAY | UCF 60% |
| 2026-10-24 | Wk 8 | BYU FBS | HOME | BYU 72% |
| 2026-10-30 | Wk 9 | Baylor FBS | HOME | Baylor 54% |
| 2026-11-07 | Wk 10 | Kansas FBS | AWAY | UCF 55% |
| 2026-11-14 | Wk 11 | Arizona State FBS | HOME | UCF 53% |
| 2026-11-20 | Wk 12 | Iowa State FBS | HOME | Iowa State 65% |
| 2026-11-28 | Wk 13 | Colorado FBS | AWAY | Colorado 57% |
Recent Results
| Date | Season | Wk | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | 2026 | Wk 2 | Pittsburgh @ | L | 7–12 |
| 2026-09-03 | 2026 | Wk 1 | Bethune-Cookman vs | W | 73–6 |
| 2025-11-29 | 2025 | Wk 14 | BYU @ | L | 21–41 |
| 2025-11-22 | 2025 | Wk 13 | Oklahoma State vs | W | 17–14 |
| 2025-11-15 | 2025 | Wk 12 | Texas Tech @ | L | 9–48 |
| 2025-11-07 | 2025 | Wk 11 | Houston vs | L | 27–30 |
| 2025-11-01 | 2025 | Wk 10 | Baylor @ | L | 3–30 |
| 2025-10-18 | 2025 | Wk 8 | West Virginia vs | W | 45–13 |
| 2025-10-11 | 2025 | Wk 7 | Cincinnati @ | L | 11–20 |
| 2025-10-04 | 2025 | Wk 6 | Kansas vs | L | 20–27 |
| 2025-09-27 | 2025 | Wk 5 | Kansas State @ | L | 20–34 |
| 2025-09-20 | 2025 | Wk 4 | North Carolina vs | W | 34–9 |
Season by Season
| Season | W | L | PF | PA | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1 | 1 | 80 | 18 | +62 |
| 2025 | 5 | 7 | 292 | 283 | +9 |
| 2024 | 4 | 8 | 365 | 323 | +42 |
| 2023 | 6 | 7 | 407 | 335 | +72 |
| 2022 | 9 | 5 | 460 | 331 | +129 |
| 2021 | 9 | 4 | 415 | 319 | +96 |
| 2020 | 6 | 4 | 422 | 332 | +90 |
| 2019 | 10 | 3 | 564 | 299 | +265 |
| 2018 | 12 | 1 | 562 | 295 | +267 |
| 2017 | 13 | 0 | 627 | 329 | +298 |
| 2016 | 6 | 7 | 374 | 320 | +54 |
| 2015 | 0 | 12 | 167 | 452 | -285 |
Injuries
Not an injury report. College football has no league-wide mandated one, and the ESPN feed we poll has carried the same three players all season — so an empty table here means nothing has been reported to us, not that the team is healthy. Nothing on this page, and nothing in our model, uses it.
Player grades 2026 season
Box production, opponent-adjusted, ranked within position (50 = positional average). OL rows are team-inferred — college football publishes no individual OL box stats. Full leaderboard →
| Player | Pos | Grade | Pos rank | G | 2026 season |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayden Williams | DB | 76 | #124 | 2 | 5 tkl · 1 INT |
| Sincere Edwards | DL | 73 | #205 | 2 | 7 tkl · 2.0 TFL |
| Lewis Carter | LB | 70 | #172 | 2 | 15 tkl · 0.5 TFL |
| Tackett Curtis | LB | 69 | #200 | 2 | 13 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL |
| Ken Talley | DL | 68 | #361 | 2 | 8 tkl · 0.5 sacks · 1.5 TFL |
| Jeffson Lafontant | DL | 67 | #447 | 2 | 5 tkl · 2.0 TFL |
| Waden Charles | WR | 63 | #358 | 1 | 4 rec · 41 yds · 1 TD |
| Alonza Barnett III | QB | 63 | #127 | 2 | 344 pass yds · 2 TD · 1 INT |
| Aymeric Koumba | DL | 63 | #635 | 2 | 3 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.0 TFL |
| Duke Watson | RB | 62 | #281 | 2 | 120 rush yds · 1 TD · 3 rec |
| Josh Schell | DL | 61 | #747 | 1 | 5 tkl · 0.5 sacks · 0.5 TFL |
| Landen Chambers | RB | 60 | #326 | 2 | 56 rush yds · 2 TD · 1 rec |
| Antione Jackson | DB | 60 | #746 | 2 | 3 tkl · 2 PD |
| Isaiah Nixon | DL | 60 | #829 | 2 | 8 tkl |
| Demari Henderson | DB | 58 | #908 | 2 | 7 tkl |
| Agyeman Addae | RB | 58 | #398 | 1 | 74 rush yds · 1 TD |
| Horace Lockett | DL | 57 | #1062 | 2 | 2 tkl · 0.5 sacks · 1.5 TFL |
| Ric'Darious Farmer | WR | 56 | #651 | 2 | 6 rec · 63 yds |
| Jahleel Culbreath | LB | 56 | #641 | 2 | 6 tkl |
| Jonathan Bibbs | WR | 56 | #667 | 2 | 4 rec · 52 yds · 1 TD |
| Kyle Hicks team-inferred | OL | 56 | #50 | 1 | — |
| Jayden Bellamy | DB | 56 | #1072 | 2 | 5 tkl · 1 PD |
| Brad Gurley Jr. | DL | 55 | #1211 | 2 | 3 tkl · 0.5 TFL |
| Caleb Rollerson | WR | 54 | #749 | 2 | 3 rec · 31 yds · 1 TD |
| Atticus Bertrams | P | 54 | #106 | 2 | 8 punts · 45.2 yd avg |
| Taevion Swint | RB | 54 | #526 | 2 | 47 rush yds · 1 TD · 1 rec |
| Dylan Wade | TE | 54 | #253 | 2 | 3 rec · 35 yds |
| Thomas Collins | DL | 53 | #1387 | 1 | 2 tkl |
| Ty Bartrum | DB | 53 | #1268 | 2 | 7 tkl |
| Patrick Ryan | DL | 52 | #1454 | 1 | 2 tkl · 0.5 sacks · 0.5 TFL |
| Keyone Jenkins | QB | 52 | #302 | 2 | 42 pass yds · 1 TD · 0 INT |
| Josh Derry | WR | 52 | #872 | 2 | 5 rec · 54 yds |
| Caden Piening | TE | 51 | #291 | 1 | 2 rec · 30 yds |
| Braeden Marshall | DB | 49 | #1606 | 1 | 4 tkl |
| Quentin Hatch | DL | 47 | #1935 | 1 | 3 tkl |
| Trenton Turner | DL | 47 | #1936 | 1 | 3 tkl |
| Jayden Jennings | LB | 47 | #1097 | 2 | 5 tkl |
| Tyren Hornes | WR | 47 | #1133 | 2 | 2 rec · 36 yds |
| Caleb Flagg | DB | 46 | #1869 | 1 | 3 tkl |
| DJ Bell | DB | 46 | #1870 | 1 | 3 tkl |