Our side
MoneylineLOU to win
ours 58%
Projected score
27–30
PITT – LOU
2026-11-21 · kickoff TBD
L&N Federal Credit Union Stadium · Louisville, KY
ACC game
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
Louisville and Pittsburgh split 22 (11–11)
· 22 meetings since 1976
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
edge Louisville Cardinals
54 ranks
Pittsburgh Panthers #148 rush offense
Louisville Cardinals #94 run defense
Pass game
edge Louisville Cardinals
65 ranks
Pittsburgh Panthers #70 pass offense
Louisville Cardinals #5 pass defense
Run game
even
13 ranks apart
Louisville Cardinals #25 rush offense
Pittsburgh Panthers #12 run defense
Pass game
edge Pittsburgh Panthers
108 ranks
Louisville Cardinals #209 pass offense
Pittsburgh Panthers #101 pass defense
Pittsburgh Panthers
Balanced · 47% run
Ball-control
Louisville Cardinals
Balanced · 49% run
Ball-control
Pat Narduzzi · 80-61
Jeff Brohm · 86-51 · defense-minded
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
Pittsburgh Panthers
QB
Mason Heintschel
665 pass yds · 7 TD · 0 INT
#23 QB
DL
Isaiah Neal
4 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL
#160 DL
WR
Cataurus Hicks
8 rec · 178 yds · 1 TD
#117 WR
RB
Damon Ferguson Jr.
81 rush yds · 1 TD · 6 rec
#94 RB
Louisville Cardinals
QB
Lincoln Kienholz
639 pass yds · 4 TD · 0 INT
#1 QB
WR
Tre Richardson
11 rec · 181 yds · 1 TD
#69 WR
TE
Jaleel Skinner
5 rec · 137 yds · 1 TD
#23 TE
WR
Lawayne McCoy
5 rec · 164 yds · 2 TD
#102 WR
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Pittsburgh offense vs Louisville defense+4.6 pts
Louisville offense vs Pittsburgh defense+5.9 pts
An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have
played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.