Team Vitals
Team profile 2025 · vs 136 FBS teams
Percentile against every FBS team, from 2025 play with garbage time excluded. No 2026 game has been played yet, so this describes last season.
- Win rate 67%ile 0.692
- Offense (PPA/play) 43%ile 0.167
- Defense (PPA allowed) 91%ile 0.022
- Offensive success rate 70%ile 0.452
- Defensive success rate allowed 92%ile 0.346
- Explosiveness 39%ile 1.240
- Explosiveness allowed 54%ile 1.257
- Plays per game 37%ile 60.1
median · bars right of it are above the FBS average · pace is a style, not a grade
Upcoming 2026
| Date | Wk | Opponent | Site | Model Lean |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 | Wk 3 | SMU FBS | HOME | SMU 57% |
| 2026-09-26 | Wk 4 | Wake Forest FBS | HOME | Louisville 66% |
| 2026-10-03 | Wk 5 | NC State FBS | AWAY | Louisville 65% |
| 2026-10-09 | Wk 6 | Florida State FBS | HOME | Louisville 68% |
| 2026-10-17 | Wk 7 | Syracuse FBS | AWAY | Louisville 82% |
| 2026-10-31 | Wk 9 | Stanford FBS | HOME | Louisville 89% |
| 2026-11-07 | Wk 10 | Georgia Tech FBS | AWAY | Louisville 69% |
| 2026-11-14 | Wk 11 | North Carolina FBS | AWAY | Louisville 66% |
| 2026-11-21 | Wk 12 | Pittsburgh FBS | HOME | Louisville 58% |
| 2026-11-28 | Wk 13 | Kentucky FBS | AWAY | Louisville 64% |
Recent Results
| Date | Season | Wk | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | 2026 | Wk 2 | Villanova vs | W | 59–13 |
| 2026-09-06 | 2026 | Wk 1 | Ole Miss @ | L | 38–41 |
| 2025-12-23 | 2025 | Bowl | Toledo vs | W | 27–22 |
| 2025-11-29 | 2025 | Wk 14 | Kentucky vs | W | 41–0 |
| 2025-11-22 | 2025 | Wk 13 | SMU @ | L | 6–38 |
| 2025-11-14 | 2025 | Wk 12 | Clemson vs | L | 19–20 |
| 2025-11-08 | 2025 | Wk 11 | California vs | L | 26–29 |
| 2025-11-01 | 2025 | Wk 10 | Virginia Tech @ | W | 28–16 |
| 2025-10-25 | 2025 | Wk 9 | Boston College vs | W | 38–24 |
| 2025-10-17 | 2025 | Wk 8 | Miami @ | W | 24–21 |
| 2025-10-04 | 2025 | Wk 6 | Virginia vs | L | 27–30 |
| 2025-09-27 | 2025 | Wk 5 | Pittsburgh @ | W | 34–27 |
Season by Season
| Season | W | L | PF | PA | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1 | 1 | 97 | 54 | +43 |
| 2025 | 9 | 4 | 389 | 275 | +114 |
| 2024 | 9 | 4 | 474 | 313 | +161 |
| 2023 | 10 | 4 | 430 | 298 | +132 |
| 2022 | 8 | 5 | 350 | 249 | +101 |
| 2021 | 6 | 7 | 411 | 355 | +56 |
| 2020 | 4 | 7 | 325 | 293 | +32 |
| 2019 | 8 | 5 | 430 | 434 | -4 |
| 2018 | 2 | 10 | 237 | 529 | -292 |
| 2017 | 8 | 5 | 495 | 356 | +139 |
| 2016 | 9 | 4 | 553 | 309 | +244 |
| 2015 | 8 | 5 | 373 | 313 | +60 |
Injuries
Not an injury report. College football has no league-wide mandated one, and the ESPN feed we poll has carried the same three players all season — so an empty table here means nothing has been reported to us, not that the team is healthy. Nothing on this page, and nothing in our model, uses it.
Player grades 2026 season
Box production, opponent-adjusted, ranked within position (50 = positional average). OL rows are team-inferred — college football publishes no individual OL box stats. Full leaderboard →
| Player | Pos | Grade | Pos rank | G | 2026 season |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lincoln Kienholz | QB | 98 | #1 | 2 | 639 pass yds · 4 TD · 0 INT |
| Tre Richardson | WR | 77 | #69 | 2 | 11 rec · 181 yds · 1 TD |
| Jaleel Skinner | TE | 77 | #23 | 2 | 5 rec · 137 yds · 1 TD |
| Lawayne McCoy | WR | 74 | #102 | 2 | 5 rec · 164 yds · 2 TD |
| Carson Hilbert | K | 74 | #24 | 2 | 4 FG · 8 XP · 20 pts |
| Stanquan Clark | LB | 73 | #112 | 2 | 8 tkl |
| Koen Entringer | DB | 72 | #229 | 2 | 13 tkl · 1 PD |
| TJ Banks | DB | 68 | #331 | 1 | 6 tkl · 1 PD |
| Marquise Davis | RB | 68 | #154 | 1 | 86 rush yds · 2 TD |
| Kaleb Beasley | DB | 68 | #371 | 2 | 11 tkl · 1 PD |
| Clev Lubin | DL | 64 | #572 | 2 | 5 tkl |
| Braxton Jennings | RB | 63 | #258 | 1 | 28 rush yds · 1 TD · 1 rec |
| Tyler Thompson | DL | 61 | #777 | 2 | 4 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.0 TFL |
| AJ Green | DL | 61 | #795 | 2 | 7 tkl · 0.5 TFL |
| DJ Waller Jr. | DB | 60 | #752 | 2 | 9 tkl |
| TreyShun Hurry | WR | 60 | #488 | 2 | 6 rec · 96 yds |
| Isaac Brown | RB | 60 | #344 | 2 | 97 rush yds · 3 rec |
| Jabari Mack | DB | 59 | #827 | 2 | 3 tkl · 2 PD |
| T.J. Capers | LB | 59 | #516 | 2 | 9 tkl |
| Davin Wydner | QB | 56 | #235 | 1 | 19 pass yds · 1 TD · 0 INT |
| Joshua Donald | DL | 54 | #1288 | 1 | 4 tkl |
| Antonio Watts | DB | 54 | #1206 | 2 | 4 tkl · 1 PD |
| Niall Hayes | P | 54 | #110 | 2 | 7 punts · 43.3 yd avg |
| Daylen Russell | DL | 53 | #1408 | 2 | 5 tkl |
| Keyjuan Brown | RB | 52 | #592 | 2 | 68 rush yds · 1 rec |
| Cam White | LB | 52 | #861 | 2 | 5 tkl · 1.0 TFL |
| Benjamin Perry | LB | 51 | #903 | 2 | 7 tkl |
| Trent Carter | LB | 50 | #952 | 2 | 7 tkl |
| Tayon Holloway | DB | 49 | #1565 | 1 | 2 tkl · 1 PD |
| Tommy Ziesmer | DL | 48 | #1816 | 2 | 2 tkl |
| Bailey Abercrombie | DL | 48 | #1817 | 2 | 3 tkl · 0.5 TFL |
| Brycen Scott | DB | 48 | #1688 | 2 | 2 tkl · 1 PD |
| Myles Norwood | DB | 46 | #1809 | 1 | 3 tkl |
| Marlon Harbin | WR | 46 | #1156 | 1 | 2 rec · 24 yds |
| Blake Ruffin | DB | 46 | #1850 | 2 | 4 tkl |
| Brody Foley | TE | 46 | #385 | 2 | 2 rec · 13 yds |
| Eric Hazzard | DL | 45 | #2134 | 2 | 3 tkl |
| Micah Carter | DL | 45 | #2133 | 2 | 3 tkl |
| Terrence McWilliams Jr. | WR | 44 | #1248 | 1 | 2 rec · 16 yds |
| Garth White | K | 44 | #272 | 1 | 3 XP · 3 pts |