Our side
MoneylineILL to win
ours 42%
Projected score
26–26
ILL – MD
2026-10-31 · kickoff TBD
SECU Stadium · College Park, MD
B1G game
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
Maryland and Illinois split 4 (2–2)
· 4 meetings since 2018
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
even
4 ranks apart
Illinois Fighting Illini #124 rush offense
Maryland Terrapins #120 run defense
Pass game
even
19 ranks apart
Illinois Fighting Illini #38 pass offense
Maryland Terrapins #57 pass defense
Run game
edge Illinois Fighting Illini
182 ranks
Maryland Terrapins #242 rush offense
Illinois Fighting Illini #60 run defense
Pass game
edge Maryland Terrapins
62 ranks
Maryland Terrapins #117 pass offense
Illinois Fighting Illini #179 pass defense
Illinois Fighting Illini
Balanced · 54% run
Ball-control
Maryland Terrapins
Pass-heavy · 38% run
Ball-control
Bret Bielema · 56-45 · offense-minded
Mike Locksley · 36-44 · defense-minded
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
Illinois Fighting Illini
WR
Collin Dixon
17 rec · 236 yds · 5 TD
#5 WR
QB
Katin Houser
453 pass yds · 6 TD · 1 INT
#8 QB
LB
Ismael Kante
10 tkl · 0.5 TFL
#45 LB
LB
Will Holmes
10 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL
#102 LB
Maryland Terrapins
WR
Na'eem Abdul-Rahim Gladding
14 rec · 187 yds · 2 TD
#57 WR
DL
Sidney Stewart
6 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.5 TFL
#147 DL
WR
Chris Durr Jr.
16 rec · 147 yds · 1 TD
#93 WR
DL
Derrick LeBlanc
4 tkl · 2.0 sacks · 2.5 TFL
#202 DL
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Illinois offense vs Maryland defense+3.5 pts
Maryland offense vs Illinois defense-1.7 pts
Travel · context onlyAway team travels 606 mi
Rest · context onlyHome team on 7 more days rest
An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have
played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.
Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest
were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them.
Adding them again would double-count.