San José State
USC
Our number: USC by 26.6 — USC to win.
No USC team-total pick: the spread and total picks put USC over 42.8, which does not decide 48.5.
The books 5 account books · tap any price — the ticket builds at that book
| Book | SJSU spread | USC spread | Over | Under | SJSU win | USC win | SJSU TT over | SJSU TT under | USC TT over | USC TT under |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | — | — | — | — | — | — | ||||
| FanDuel | — | — | — | — | ||||||
| BetMGM | — | — | — | — | ||||||
| ESPN Bet | — | — | — | — | ||||||
| Caesars | — | — | — | — | — | — |
The gold price is the best available on that side; a gold ★ marks the side our number implies — a read, not a pick. TT is a team total — that team’s own points, not the game’s; columns are empty where no book hangs one. Send to book opens whichever book you tapped, not the one we would have picked. Prices are the books’ own.
Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
| Team | Power | Off | Def | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| San José State Spartans |
+3.5 | +2.2 | +1.3 | #135 |
| USC Trojans |
+26.1 | +16.9 | +9.2 | #14 |
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.