FinalSJSU 27 · EMU 21ML LSpread WTotal Lour logged sides, graded on the record
Our side
MoneylineEMU to winloggedlive now: SJSU to win — the pick stands, the number moved · ours 38%
Our number: EMU by 3.6 — EMU to win.
EMU team totalEMU over 29.5loggedours 24.5
Our number: EMU 30.7, from our margin and total split into two scores.
Projected score30–24SJSU – EMU
2026-09-04 · 6:30 PMRynearson Stadium · Ypsilanti, MIEarly season
The books 5 account books · tap any price — the ticket builds at that book
Book
SJSU spread
EMU spread
Over
Under
SJSU win
EMU win
SJSU TT over
SJSU TT under
EMU TT over
EMU TT under
DraftKings
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FanDuel
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BetMGM
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ESPN Bet
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Caesars
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The gold price is the best available on that side;
a gold ★ marks the side our number implies — a read, not a pick.
TT is a team total — that team’s own points, not the game’s;
columns are empty where no book hangs one.
Send to book opens whichever book you tapped, not the one we would have picked.
Prices are the books’ own.
Public vs booksbets vs money · Action Networkcaptured in-gamespreadSJSU 67% bets · 57% moneytotalUnder 83% bets · 51% moneyMLEMU 79% bets · 35% money · money SJSU
Series
Eastern Michigan lead
2–0
· 2 meetings since 1987
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run gameedge San José State Spartans111 ranks
San José State Spartans #118 rush offenseEastern Michigan Eagles #229 run defense
Pass gameeven1 ranks apart
San José State Spartans #194 pass offenseEastern Michigan Eagles #193 pass defense
Run gameedge Eastern Michigan Eagles72 ranks
Eastern Michigan Eagles #75 rush offenseSan José State Spartans #147 run defense
Pass gameedge Eastern Michigan Eagles75 ranks
Eastern Michigan Eagles #109 pass offenseSan José State Spartans #184 pass defense
San José State SpartansPass-heavy · 41% runAvg paceEastern Michigan EaglesBalanced · 52% runAvg pace
Ken Niumatalolo · 62-63Chris Creighton · 59-73 · offense-minded
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
San José State Spartans
LBDylan Lee
24 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.5 TFL#10 LB
LBNaseri Danielson
22 tkl#22 LB
DBCaleb Womack
25 tkl · 1 INT#46 DB
QBLuke Weaver
788 pass yds · 8 TD · 1 INT#14 QB
Eastern Michigan Eagles
LBZach Mowchan
30 tkl · 2.0 TFL#6 LB
DLQuincy Byas
12 tkl · 2.0 sacks · 3.0 TFL#18 DL
DBJason Marshall
20 tkl · 2 PD · 1 INT#41 DB
DBBryce Llewellyn
14 tkl · 2 PD#67 DB
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
San José State offense vs Eastern Michigan defense+1.9 pts
Eastern Michigan offense vs San José State defense-5.4 pts
Travel · context onlyAway team travels 2,040 mi
An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have
played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.
Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest
were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them.
Adding them again would double-count.