← Matchups

Monmouth

· 1-2 · power -7.2 · #268

Our numberDART -6.4 ~~no book has priced this game~~

Dartmouth

· power -3.8 · #228

Our side

MoneylineDART to win ours 64%

Projected score 27–33 MONM – DART

2026-09-26 · 1:00 PM Memorial Field (Dartmouth) · Hanover, NH Preseason estimate

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

First recorded meeting between these programs

2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played

Run game even ~~17 ranks apart~~

Monmouth Hawks #26 rush offense Dartmouth Big Green #43 run defense

Pass game edge Monmouth Hawks ~~121 ranks~~

Monmouth Hawks #21 pass offense Dartmouth Big Green #142 pass defense

Run game edge Dartmouth Big Green ~~50 ranks~~

Dartmouth Big Green #84 rush offense Monmouth Hawks #134 run defense

Pass game edge Dartmouth Big Green ~~71 ranks~~

Dartmouth Big Green #57 pass offense Monmouth Hawks #128 pass defense

Monmouth Hawks Balanced · 51% run Up-tempo Dartmouth Big Green Balanced · 57% run Ball-control Dual-threat QB · 41 rush ypg

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025

Monmouth Hawks

DB Jaeden Jones 33 tkl #31 DB

RB Kenny Smith Jr. 166 rush yds · 2 TD · 8 rec #41 RB

WR Tra Neal 19 rec · 188 yds · 1 TD #63 WR

WR Gavin Nelson 19 rec · 187 yds · 1 TD #83 WR

Dartmouth Big Green

No graded players for this team in 2025.

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown

Team	Power	Off	Def	Rank
Monmouth Hawks	-7.2	+2.0	-9.3	#268
Dartmouth Big Green	-3.8	-3.6	-0.2	#228

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from

Monmouth offense vs Dartmouth defense+2.2 pts

Dartmouth offense vs Monmouth defense+5.7 pts

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.