← Matchups

Dartmouth

· power -3.8 · #228
Our numberDART -9.1 no book has priced this game

Columbia

· power -15.4 · #349
Our side
MoneylineDART to win ours 29%
Projected score 29–19 DART – COLU
2026-10-24 · 1:30 PM Lawrence A. Wien Stadium · New York, NY Conference game Preseason estimate

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

Series Dartmouth lead 57–16 · 73 meetings since 1899
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game edge Dartmouth Big Green 97 ranks
Dartmouth Big Green #84 rush offense Columbia Lions #181 run defense
Pass game edge Dartmouth Big Green 166 ranks
Dartmouth Big Green #57 pass offense Columbia Lions #223 pass defense
Run game edge Dartmouth Big Green 150 ranks
Columbia Lions #193 rush offense Dartmouth Big Green #43 run defense
Pass game edge Dartmouth Big Green 74 ranks
Columbia Lions #216 pass offense Dartmouth Big Green #142 pass defense
Dartmouth Big Green Balanced · 57% run Ball-control Dual-threat QB · 41 rush ypg Columbia Lions Balanced · 54% run Ball-control

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
Dartmouth Big Green -3.8 -3.6 -0.2 #228
Columbia Lions -15.4 -13.8 -1.6 #349

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
Dartmouth offense vs Columbia defense-2.0 pts
Columbia offense vs Dartmouth defense-13.6 pts

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.