← Matchups

Dartmouth

· power -3.8 · #228

Our numberLEH -16.9 ~~no book has priced this game~~

Lehigh

· 3-0 (2-0) · power +9.8 · #86

Our side

MoneylineLEH to win ours 82%

Projected score 18–35 DART – LEH

2026-09-19 · 12:00 PM Goodman Stadium · Bethlehem, PA Preseason estimate

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

Series Dartmouth and Lehigh split 2 (1–1) · 2 meetings since 1950

2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played

Run game edge Lehigh Mountain Hawks ~~68 ranks~~

Dartmouth Big Green #84 rush offense Lehigh Mountain Hawks #16 run defense

Pass game even ~~23 ranks apart~~

Dartmouth Big Green #57 pass offense Lehigh Mountain Hawks #34 pass defense

Run game even ~~9 ranks apart~~

Lehigh Mountain Hawks #52 rush offense Dartmouth Big Green #43 run defense

Pass game edge Lehigh Mountain Hawks ~~127 ranks~~

Lehigh Mountain Hawks #15 pass offense Dartmouth Big Green #142 pass defense

Dartmouth Big Green Balanced · 57% run Ball-control Dual-threat QB · 41 rush ypg Lehigh Mountain Hawks Run-heavy · 67% run Ball-control Dual-threat QB · 35 rush ypg

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025

Dartmouth Big Green

No graded players for this team in 2025.

Lehigh Mountain Hawks

RB Luke Yoder 419 rush yds · 9 TD · 3 rec #2 RB

DB Luke Denny 13 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT #269 DB

WR Nick Palumbo 8 rec · 130 yds · 2 TD #245 WR

DB DJ Brown 7 tkl · 5 PD #397 DB

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown

Team	Power	Off	Def	Rank
Dartmouth Big Green	-3.8	-3.6	-0.2	#228
Lehigh Mountain Hawks	+9.8	+4.2	+5.6	#86

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from

Dartmouth offense vs Lehigh defense-9.2 pts

Lehigh offense vs Dartmouth defense+4.5 pts

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.