← Matchups

Pennsylvania

· power -6.7 · #260
Our numberDART -5.9 no book has priced this game

Dartmouth

· power -3.8 · #228
Our side
MoneylineDART to win ours 64%
Projected score 25–31 PENN – DART
2026-10-03 · 1:30 PM Memorial Field (Dartmouth) · Hanover, NH Conference game Preseason estimate

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

Series Dartmouth lead 35–34–2 · 71 meetings since 1896
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game edge Dartmouth Big Green 104 ranks
Pennsylvania Quakers #147 rush offense Dartmouth Big Green #43 run defense
Pass game edge Pennsylvania Quakers 58 ranks
Pennsylvania Quakers #84 pass offense Dartmouth Big Green #142 pass defense
Run game edge Dartmouth Big Green 106 ranks
Dartmouth Big Green #84 rush offense Pennsylvania Quakers #190 run defense
Pass game edge Dartmouth Big Green 116 ranks
Dartmouth Big Green #57 pass offense Pennsylvania Quakers #173 pass defense
Pennsylvania Quakers Balanced · 49% run Avg pace Dual-threat QB · 55 rush ypg Dartmouth Big Green Balanced · 57% run Ball-control Dual-threat QB · 41 rush ypg

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
Pennsylvania Quakers -6.7 -1.4 -5.3 #260
Dartmouth Big Green -3.8 -3.6 -0.2 #228

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
Pennsylvania offense vs Dartmouth defense-1.2 pts
Dartmouth offense vs Pennsylvania defense+1.8 pts

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.