Dartmouth
· power -3.8 · #228
Our numberYALE -11.6
no book has priced this game
Yale
· power +4.7 · #126
Our side
MoneylineYALE to win
ours 76%
Projected score
21–33
DART – YALE
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
Yale lead
49–33–5
· 87 meetings since 1884
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
even
40 ranks apart
Dartmouth Big Green #84 rush offense
Yale Bulldogs #44 run defense
Pass game
edge Dartmouth Big Green
47 ranks
Dartmouth Big Green #57 pass offense
Yale Bulldogs #104 pass defense
Run game
edge Dartmouth Big Green
91 ranks
Yale Bulldogs #134 rush offense
Dartmouth Big Green #43 run defense
Pass game
edge Yale Bulldogs
78 ranks
Yale Bulldogs #64 pass offense
Dartmouth Big Green #142 pass defense
Dartmouth Big Green
Balanced · 57% run
Ball-control
Dual-threat QB · 41 rush ypg
Yale Bulldogs
Run-heavy · 63% run
Avg pace
Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Power breakdown
| Team | Power | Off | Def | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dartmouth Big Green |
-3.8 | -3.6 | -0.2 | #228 |
| Yale Bulldogs |
+4.7 | +1.8 | +2.9 | #126 |
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Dartmouth offense vs Yale defense-6.5 pts
Yale offense vs Dartmouth defense+2.0 pts
An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.