← Matchups

Georgetown

· 0-1 (0-1) · power -20.7 · #379

Our numberRICH -18.2 ~~no book has priced this game~~

Richmond

· 2-1 (1-0) · power -5.8 · #253

Our side

MoneylineRICH to win ours 84%

Projected score 18–36 GTWN – RICH

2026-09-19 · 3:30 PM Robins Stadium · Richmond, VA Conference game Early season

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

Series Richmond lead 4–3 · 7 meetings since 1909

2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played

Run game even ~~7 ranks apart~~

Georgetown Hoyas #181 rush offense Richmond Spiders #188 run defense

Pass game edge Richmond Spiders ~~235 ranks~~

Georgetown Hoyas #251 pass offense Richmond Spiders #16 pass defense

Run game edge Georgetown Hoyas ~~88 ranks~~

Richmond Spiders #183 rush offense Georgetown Hoyas #95 run defense

Pass game even ~~14 ranks apart~~

Richmond Spiders #141 pass offense Georgetown Hoyas #155 pass defense

Georgetown Hoyas Run-heavy · 60% run Avg pace Richmond Spiders Run-heavy · 62% run Avg pace Dual-threat QB · 44 rush ypg

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025

Georgetown Hoyas

DB Brian Allen 14 tkl #256 DB

DB Michael Bonsu 5 tkl #482 DB

DL Isaac Saffold 7 tkl #729 DL

DL Folu Shobowale 5 tkl · 1.0 TFL #730 DL

Richmond Spiders

DL Camden Byrd 7 tkl · 3.5 sacks · 4.0 TFL #32 DL

LB Blake Houser 26 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL #44 LB

DL Daniel Sellers 7 tkl · 2.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL #88 DL

RB Aziz Foster-Powell 141 rush yds · 3 TD · 4 rec #68 RB

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown

Team	Power	Off	Def	Rank
Georgetown Hoyas	-20.7	-11.4	-9.3	#379
Richmond Spiders	-5.8	-3.0	-2.8	#253

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from

Georgetown offense vs Richmond defense-8.6 pts

Richmond offense vs Georgetown defense+6.3 pts

Rest · context onlyAway team on 6 more days rest

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.

Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them. Adding them again would double-count.