← Matchups

Georgetown

· 0-1 (0-1) · power -20.7 · #379
Our numberW&M -19.1 no book has priced this game

William & Mary

· 2-1 (1-0) · power -5.0 · #244
Our side
MoneylineW&M to win ours 88%
Projected score 19–38 GTWN – W&M
2026-10-24 · 3:30 PM Walter J. Zable Stadium · Williamsburg, VA Early season

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

Series Georgetown lead 2–1 · 3 meetings since 1911
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game edge Georgetown Hoyas 57 ranks
Georgetown Hoyas #181 rush offense William & Mary Tribe #238 run defense
Pass game even 38 ranks apart
Georgetown Hoyas #251 pass offense William & Mary Tribe #213 pass defense
Run game even 9 ranks apart
William & Mary Tribe #104 rush offense Georgetown Hoyas #95 run defense
Pass game edge William & Mary Tribe 53 ranks
William & Mary Tribe #102 pass offense Georgetown Hoyas #155 pass defense
Georgetown Hoyas Run-heavy · 60% run Avg pace William & Mary Tribe Balanced · 56% run Ball-control Dual-threat QB · 56 rush ypg

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
Georgetown Hoyas
DB Brian Allen 14 tkl #256 DB
DB Michael Bonsu 5 tkl #482 DB
DL Isaac Saffold 7 tkl #729 DL
DL Folu Shobowale 5 tkl · 1.0 TFL #730 DL
William & Mary Tribe
DL Nathaniel McDonald 8 tkl · 2.0 sacks · 3.0 TFL #37 DL
K Max Lipinski 8 FG · 5 XP · 29 pts #13 K
DB Trevon Cannon 17 tkl · 2 PD · 1 INT #130 DB
DB David Roulley 14 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT #157 DB

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
Georgetown Hoyas -20.7 -11.4 -9.3 #379
William & Mary Tribe -5.0 -0.6 -4.4 #244

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
Georgetown offense vs William & Mary defense-7.0 pts
William & Mary offense vs Georgetown defense+8.7 pts
Rest · context onlyHome team on 7 more days rest

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.

Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them. Adding them again would double-count.