← Matchups

Holy Cross

· 0-3 (0-2) · power -16.9 · #358
Our numberHC -1.1 no book has priced this game

Georgetown

· 0-1 (0-1) · power -20.7 · #379
Our side
MoneylineHC to win ours 47%
Projected score 26–25 HC – GTWN
2026-11-07 · 12:30 PM Cooper Field · Washington, DC Conference game Early season

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

Series Holy Cross lead 19–8 · 27 meetings since 1904
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game edge Georgetown Hoyas 136 ranks
Holy Cross Crusaders #231 rush offense Georgetown Hoyas #95 run defense
Pass game edge Georgetown Hoyas 88 ranks
Holy Cross Crusaders #243 pass offense Georgetown Hoyas #155 pass defense
Run game edge Holy Cross Crusaders 54 ranks
Georgetown Hoyas #181 rush offense Holy Cross Crusaders #127 run defense
Pass game edge Holy Cross Crusaders 206 ranks
Georgetown Hoyas #251 pass offense Holy Cross Crusaders #45 pass defense
Holy Cross Crusaders Run-heavy · 65% run Ball-control Georgetown Hoyas Run-heavy · 60% run Avg pace

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
Holy Cross Crusaders
LB Adam Due 27 tkl · 1.5 TFL #100 LB
DB Garrett Baldwin 12 tkl · 3 PD #180 DB
TE Drae Tyme 4 rec · 81 yds · 1 TD #48 TE
WR Myles Abernathy 10 rec · 138 yds #238 WR
Georgetown Hoyas
DB Brian Allen 14 tkl #256 DB
DB Michael Bonsu 5 tkl #482 DB
DL Isaac Saffold 7 tkl #729 DL
DL Folu Shobowale 5 tkl · 1.0 TFL #730 DL

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
Holy Cross Crusaders -16.9 -12.0 -4.9 #358
Georgetown Hoyas -20.7 -11.4 -9.3 #379

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
Holy Cross offense vs Georgetown defense-2.7 pts
Georgetown offense vs Holy Cross defense-6.5 pts
Rest · context onlyHome team on 7 more days rest

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.

Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them. Adding them again would double-count.