Our side
MoneylineKENN to win
ours 49%
Projected score
24–28
KENN – MTSU
2026-10-28 · 7:00 PM
Johnny "Red" Floyd Stadium · Murfreesboro, TN
CUSA game
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
Kennesaw State and Middle Tennessee split 2 (1–1)
· 2 meetings since 2024
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
edge Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
72 ranks
Kennesaw State Owls #151 rush offense
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders #79 run defense
Pass game
edge Kennesaw State Owls
185 ranks
Kennesaw State Owls #62 pass offense
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders #247 pass defense
Run game
edge Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
69 ranks
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders #142 rush offense
Kennesaw State Owls #211 run defense
Pass game
edge Kennesaw State Owls
47 ranks
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders #158 pass offense
Kennesaw State Owls #111 pass defense
Kennesaw State Owls
Run-heavy · 59% run
Avg pace
Dual-threat QB · 34 rush ypg
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
Balanced · 42% run
Avg pace
Jerry Mack · 10-4
Derek Mason · 30-64
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
Kennesaw State Owls
QB
Rickie Collins
416 pass yds · 2 TD · 1 INT
#50 QB
DL
Ugonna Nwoha
3 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL
#315 DL
DL
Marcus Patterson
9 tkl · 1.5 TFL
#450 DL
RB
Latrelle Murrell
100 rush yds · 2 TD · 2 rec
#183 RB
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
WR
Cam'ron Lacy
17 rec · 190 yds · 2 TD
#37 WR
DB
Kalen Woods
13 tkl · 1 PD
#59 DB
DL
Zeion Simpson-Smith
11 tkl · 1.0 TFL
#286 DL
QB
Roman Gagliano
443 pass yds · 4 TD · 1 INT
#100 QB
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Kennesaw State offense vs Middle Tennessee defense-0.6 pts
Middle Tennessee offense vs Kennesaw State defense-3.0 pts
An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have
played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.