North Carolina Tar Heels
FBS
Atlantic Coast Conference · UNC
Team Vitals
+13.1
power · 2026 · #65 D1
-1.9 / +15.0
off / def (higher = better)
2–0
2026 record
110
roster (2026)
Team profile 2025 · vs 136 FBS teams
Percentile against every FBS team, from 2025 play with garbage time excluded. No 2026 game has been played yet, so this describes last season.
- Win rate 15%ile 0.333
- Offense (PPA/play) 15%ile 0.071
- Defense (PPA allowed) 31%ile 0.195
- Offensive success rate 18%ile 0.381
- Defensive success rate allowed 53%ile 0.409
- Explosiveness 24%ile 1.207
- Explosiveness allowed 65%ile 1.233
- Plays per game 6%ile 53.2
median · bars right of it are above the FBS average · pace is a style, not a grade
Upcoming 2026
| Date | Wk | Opponent | Site | Model Lean |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 | Wk 3 | Clemson FBS | AWAY | Clemson 60% |
| 2026-10-03 | Wk 5 | Notre Dame FBS | HOME | Notre Dame 90% |
| 2026-10-10 | Wk 6 | Pittsburgh FBS | AWAY | Pittsburgh 72% |
| 2026-10-17 | Wk 7 | Duke FBS | AWAY | Duke 74% |
| 2026-10-24 | Wk 8 | Syracuse FBS | HOME | North Carolina 72% |
| 2026-10-31 | Wk 9 | Miami FBS | HOME | Miami 80% |
| 2026-11-07 | Wk 10 | UConn FBS | AWAY | North Carolina 70% |
| 2026-11-14 | Wk 11 | Louisville FBS | HOME | Louisville 66% |
| 2026-11-21 | Wk 12 | Virginia FBS | AWAY | Virginia 75% |
| 2026-11-28 | Wk 13 | NC State FBS | HOME | North Carolina 53% |
Recent Results
| Date | Season | Wk | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | 2026 | Wk 2 | East Tennessee State vs | W | 35–3 |
| 2026-08-29 | 2026 | Wk 1 | TCU @ | W | 15–10 |
| 2025-11-29 | 2025 | Wk 14 | NC State @ | L | 19–42 |
| 2025-11-22 | 2025 | Wk 13 | Duke vs | L | 25–32 |
| 2025-11-15 | 2025 | Wk 12 | Wake Forest @ | L | 12–28 |
| 2025-11-08 | 2025 | Wk 11 | Stanford vs | W | 20–15 |
| 2025-10-31 | 2025 | Wk 10 | Syracuse @ | W | 27–10 |
| 2025-10-25 | 2025 | Wk 9 | Virginia vs | L | 16–17 |
| 2025-10-17 | 2025 | Wk 8 | California @ | L | 18–21 |
| 2025-10-04 | 2025 | Wk 6 | Clemson vs | L | 10–38 |
| 2025-09-20 | 2025 | Wk 4 | UCF @ | L | 9–34 |
| 2025-09-13 | 2025 | Wk 3 | Richmond vs | W | 41–6 |
Season by Season
| Season | W | L | PF | PA | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2 | 0 | 50 | 13 | +37 |
| 2025 | 4 | 8 | 231 | 294 | -63 |
| 2024 | 6 | 7 | 402 | 365 | +37 |
| 2023 | 8 | 5 | 449 | 355 | +94 |
| 2022 | 9 | 5 | 482 | 431 | +51 |
| 2021 | 6 | 7 | 458 | 417 | +41 |
| 2020 | 8 | 4 | 500 | 353 | +147 |
| 2019 | 7 | 6 | 430 | 308 | +122 |
| 2018 | 2 | 9 | 301 | 380 | -79 |
| 2017 | 3 | 9 | 312 | 375 | -63 |
| 2016 | 8 | 5 | 420 | 324 | +96 |
| 2015 | 11 | 3 | 570 | 343 | +227 |
Injuries
Not an injury report. College football has no league-wide mandated one, and the ESPN feed we poll has carried the same three players all season — so an empty table here means nothing has been reported to us, not that the team is healthy. Nothing on this page, and nothing in our model, uses it.
Player grades 2026 season
Box production, opponent-adjusted, ranked within position (50 = positional average). OL rows are team-inferred — college football publishes no individual OL box stats. Full leaderboard →
| Player | Pos | Grade | Pos rank | G | 2026 season |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xavier Lewis | DL | 99 | #1 | 2 | 12 tkl · 4.0 sacks · 6.5 TFL |
| Jaylen Harvey | DL | 82 | #59 | 2 | 8 tkl · 2.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL |
| Jelani Thurman | TE | 80 | #15 | 2 | 8 rec · 165 yds · 1 TD |
| Greg Smith | DB | 71 | #255 | 2 | 9 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT |
| Leroy Jackson | DL | 70 | #303 | 2 | 13 tkl |
| Melkart Abou Jaoude | DL | 67 | #445 | 1 | 4 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.0 TFL |
| Demon June | RB | 65 | #210 | 2 | 58 rush yds · 3 TD |
| Isaiah Johnson | DL | 63 | #651 | 2 | 8 tkl · 0.5 TFL |
| Derek McDonald | LB | 62 | #378 | 2 | 14 tkl |
| Benjamin Hall | RB | 62 | #282 | 2 | 85 rush yds · 3 rec |
| Jordan Shipp | WR | 61 | #455 | 2 | 7 rec · 96 yds |
| Jaylen McGill | RB | 61 | #318 | 2 | 73 rush yds · 1 TD · 1 rec |
| Jonathan Agumadu | LB | 60 | #460 | 2 | 11 tkl |
| Billy Edwards Jr. | QB | 60 | #166 | 2 | 476 pass yds · 2 TD · 0 INT |
| Peyton Seelmann | LB | 58 | #535 | 2 | 12 tkl |
| Aeron Burrell | K | 56 | #137 | 2 | 2 FG · 6 XP · 12 pts |
| Jaiden Patterson | DB | 56 | #1085 | 2 | 5 tkl · 1 PD |
| David Jackson III | DL | 55 | #1255 | 2 | 1 tkl |
| C.J. Sadler | WR | 53 | #804 | 2 | 4 rec · 73 yds |
| Trech Kekahuna | WR | 52 | #847 | 2 | 4 rec · 54 yds |
| Coleman Bryson | DB | 52 | #1340 | 1 | 2 tkl · 1 PD |
| Kaleb Cost | DB | 51 | #1424 | 2 | 6 tkl |
| Peyton Waters | DB | 51 | #1440 | 2 | 6 tkl |
| Shamar Easter | TE | 49 | #334 | 2 | 2 rec · 23 yds |
| Timir Hickman-Collins | LB | 48 | #1027 | 2 | 4 tkl |
| Ade Willie | DB | 48 | #1724 | 1 | 1 tkl · 1 PD |
| Nicco Maggio | DL | 47 | #1904 | 1 | 3 tkl |
| Miles O'Neill | QB | 45 | #421 | 1 | 22 pass yds · 0 INT · 15 rush yds |
| Donovan Hoilette Jr. | DL | 45 | #2078 | 2 | 3 tkl |
| Jamarrion Gordon | DB | 44 | #1979 | 1 | 3 tkl |
| Mason Humphrey | WR | 43 | #1297 | 2 | 2 rec · 21 yds |
| Jake Bauer | LB | 43 | #1290 | 1 | 3 tkl |
| Jaziel Hart | DB | 42 | #2106 | 2 | 3 tkl |
| JoJo Troupe | RB | 40 | #1002 | 2 | 20 rush yds |
| Carson Sneed | TE | 40 | #469 | 1 | 1 rec · 11 yds |
| Jalon Thompson | DB | 39 | #2311 | 1 | 2 tkl |
| Jakob Weatherspoon | DB | 39 | #2312 | 1 | 2 tkl |
| Trey Giddens | DL | 39 | #2546 | 2 | 2 tkl |
| Crew Davis | RB | 37 | #1065 | 1 | 3 rush yds · 1 rec |
| Tre Miller | DB | 37 | #2432 | 2 | 2 tkl |