Power Ratings — 2021 123 teams

Power = points vs. an average D1 team (Off + Def), opponent-adjusted, FBS and FCS on one scale. Point-in-time and calibrated (walk-forward ECE 0.037), but a model rating — not a betting edge.

#TeamDivConferencePowerOff (higher = better)Def (higher = better)
1 North Dakota State FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +20.6 +7.1 +13.6
2 South Dakota State FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +13.5 +7.7 +5.8
3 Harvard FCS Ivy League +12.6 +3.9 +8.7
4 Dartmouth FCS Ivy League +11.4 +2.6 +8.8
5 Montana State FCS Big Sky Conference +10.5 +1.3 +9.2
6 Northern Iowa FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +10.0 -0.3 +10.4
7 Eastern Washington FCS Big Sky Conference +10.0 +13.5 -3.5
8 Montana FCS Big Sky Conference +9.7 -0.1 +9.8
9 Princeton FCS Ivy League +9.3 +3.8 +5.5
10 Villanova FCS Coastal Athletic Association +8.0 +2.4 +5.6
11 South Dakota FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +7.4 +1.2 +6.2
12 Sacramento State FCS Big Sky Conference +6.4 +1.9 +4.4
13 Holy Cross FCS Patriot League +6.3 +2.5 +3.8
14 Weber State FCS Big Sky Conference +6.1 +0.9 +5.1
15 SE Louisiana FCS Southland Conference +5.7 +13.1 -7.4
16 Southern Illinois FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +5.5 +3.8 +1.7
17 Incarnate Word FCS Southland Conference +5.2 +6.9 -1.7
18 Florida A&M FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference +4.7 -2.7 +7.3
19 Jackson State FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference +4.5 -3.4 +7.9
20 East Tennessee State FCS Southern Conference +4.3 +2.4 +1.8
21 Stephen F. Austin FCS Southland Conference +3.7 -0.0 +3.7
22 Yale FCS Ivy League +3.3 +2.7 +0.7
23 North Dakota FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +2.7 -2.7 +5.3
24 Richmond FCS Patriot League +2.5 -1.5 +4.0
25 UC Davis FCS Big Sky Conference +2.5 -0.4 +2.9
26 St. Thomas-Minnesota FCS Pioneer Football League +1.9 -3.9 +5.8
27 William & Mary FCS Coastal Athletic Association +1.5 -2.5 +4.0
28 Davidson FCS Pioneer Football League +1.5 +4.9 -3.4
29 UT Martin FCS OVC-Big South Association +1.3 +0.3 +0.9
30 Columbia FCS Ivy League +1.2 -1.7 +2.9
31 Monmouth FCS Coastal Athletic Association +1.0 +2.3 -1.2
32 Austin Peay FCS United Athletic Conference +1.0 +3.0 -2.0
33 Chattanooga FCS Southern Conference +0.7 -6.8 +7.5
34 Nicholls FCS Southland Conference +0.6 +1.0 -0.3
35 Elon FCS Coastal Athletic Association -0.4 -1.2 +0.8
36 Sacred Heart FCS FCS Independents -1.1 -8.9 +7.8
37 Stony Brook FCS Coastal Athletic Association -1.3 -4.5 +3.1
38 Portland State FCS Big Sky Conference -1.6 +0.0 -1.7
39 Morehead State FCS Pioneer Football League -1.9 +1.2 -3.0
40 Maine FCS Coastal Athletic Association -2.0 -1.5 -0.5
41 San Diego FCS Pioneer Football League -2.1 -3.3 +1.1
42 Dayton FCS Pioneer Football League -2.3 +0.8 -3.0
43 Rhode Island FCS Coastal Athletic Association -2.4 -2.6 +0.3
44 Alabama A&M FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference -2.5 +7.1 -9.6
45 Mercer FCS Southern Conference -2.5 -2.8 +0.2
46 Furman FCS Southern Conference -2.7 -4.7 +2.1
47 Valparaiso FCS Pioneer Football League -2.7 +0.9 -3.6
48 Norfolk State FCS Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference -2.7 +2.1 -4.9
49 South Carolina State FCS Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference -2.8 -2.6 -0.2
50 Bryant FCS Coastal Athletic Association -2.8 -1.7 -1.2
51 Youngstown State FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference -2.9 +0.9 -3.7
52 Duquesne FCS Northeast Conference -3.1 -2.0 -1.1
53 Tarleton State FCS United Athletic Conference -3.2 -4.9 +1.8
54 McNeese FCS Southland Conference -3.4 -6.7 +3.3
55 Central Arkansas FCS United Athletic Conference -3.5 +1.9 -5.4
56 Idaho FCS Big Sky Conference -3.8 -1.2 -2.6
57 Prairie View A&M FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference -3.9 -3.4 -0.5
58 Eastern Kentucky FCS United Athletic Conference -3.9 -3.4 -0.5
59 Pennsylvania FCS Ivy League -3.9 -6.9 +2.9
60 Lindenwood FCS OVC-Big South Association -4.2 -1.8 -2.5
61 Saint Francis FCS Northeast Conference -4.3 -7.1 +2.7
62 Charleston Southern FCS OVC-Big South Association -4.3 -2.9 -1.4
63 Samford FCS Southern Conference -4.5 +7.5 -11.9
64 Illinois State FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference -4.5 -7.4 +2.9
65 Marist FCS Pioneer Football League -4.7 -6.7 +2.0
66 Towson FCS Coastal Athletic Association -5.1 -3.3 -1.7
67 Fordham FCS Patriot League -5.1 +3.9 -9.0
68 Northern Arizona FCS Big Sky Conference -5.1 -1.9 -3.2
69 Merrimack FCS FCS Independents -5.4 -1.4 -4.0
70 UAlbany FCS Coastal Athletic Association -5.5 -5.0 -0.5
71 Alcorn State FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference -6.0 -3.8 -2.2
72 New Hampshire FCS Coastal Athletic Association -6.0 -5.4 -0.6
73 Southeast Missouri State FCS OVC-Big South Association -6.4 -2.1 -4.3
74 Murray State FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference -6.5 -5.7 -0.8
75 North Carolina A&T FCS Coastal Athletic Association -6.8 -6.1 -0.6
76 Central Connecticut FCS Northeast Conference -6.9 -4.5 -2.3
77 North Carolina Central FCS Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference -7.0 -4.2 -2.8
78 Alabama State FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference -7.0 -5.7 -1.3
79 Western Illinois FCS OVC-Big South Association -7.4 +0.8 -8.2
80 Hampton FCS Coastal Athletic Association -7.5 -1.9 -5.6
81 Gardner-Webb FCS OVC-Big South Association -7.5 -2.0 -5.5
82 Southern FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference -7.6 -0.9 -6.7
83 Indiana State FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference -7.6 -7.0 -0.6
84 Tennessee State FCS OVC-Big South Association -7.9 -6.2 -1.7
85 Cornell FCS Ivy League -8.1 -6.1 -1.9
86 VMI FCS Southern Conference -8.2 -0.4 -7.7
87 Stetson FCS Pioneer Football League -8.4 -5.1 -3.3
88 Lafayette FCS Patriot League -8.8 -9.1 +0.4
89 Abilene Christian FCS United Athletic Conference -8.9 -5.0 -3.9
90 Drake FCS Pioneer Football League -9.0 -13.5 +4.5
91 Colgate FCS Patriot League -9.3 -8.1 -1.2
92 Brown FCS Ivy League -9.5 +3.9 -13.5
93 Campbell FCS Coastal Athletic Association -9.8 -5.7 -4.2
94 Bethune-Cookman FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference -10.0 -1.3 -8.7
95 Howard FCS Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference -10.3 -5.1 -5.2
96 Mississippi Valley State FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference -10.3 -6.7 -3.6
97 Texas Southern FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference -10.5 +1.3 -11.8
98 Grambling FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference -10.8 -10.2 -0.6
99 Delaware State FCS Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference -11.1 -8.4 -2.7
100 North Alabama FCS United Athletic Conference -11.2 -3.3 -7.9
101 Idaho State FCS Big Sky Conference -11.2 -7.7 -3.5
102 Butler FCS Pioneer Football League -11.3 -3.9 -7.4
103 Northern Colorado FCS Big Sky Conference -11.4 -9.8 -1.6
104 Western Carolina FCS Southern Conference -11.6 +1.9 -13.6
105 Utah Tech FCS United Athletic Conference -11.9 -4.1 -7.8
106 Southern Utah FCS United Athletic Conference -12.5 -3.8 -8.7
107 Robert Morris FCS Northeast Conference -13.0 -7.2 -5.8
108 Tennessee Tech FCS OVC-Big South Association -13.1 -9.3 -3.8
109 Lehigh FCS Patriot League -13.2 -13.0 -0.2
110 Wofford FCS Southern Conference -13.4 -7.6 -5.7
111 Eastern Illinois FCS OVC-Big South Association -13.4 -10.6 -2.8
112 Cal Poly FCS Big Sky Conference -13.6 -5.6 -8.1
113 Georgetown FCS Patriot League -13.7 -7.4 -6.3
114 The Citadel FCS Southern Conference -14.8 -7.7 -7.1
115 Northwestern State FCS Southland Conference -15.1 -9.9 -5.2
116 Arkansas-Pine Bluff FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference -15.9 -7.4 -8.6
117 Presbyterian FCS Pioneer Football League -15.9 +6.8 -22.8
118 Morgan State FCS Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference -17.6 -11.6 -6.0
119 Long Island University FCS Northeast Conference -17.7 -7.6 -10.2
120 Lamar FCS Southland Conference -18.7 -10.2 -8.5
121 Bucknell FCS Patriot League -20.8 -11.5 -9.3
122 Wagner FCS Northeast Conference -21.5 -11.7 -9.8
123 Houston Christian FCS Southland Conference -24.9 -9.0 -15.8

SRS — season 2021 reference

The prior per-season opponent-adjusted-margin rating, kept for comparison. Season-final only (no preseason or point-in-time), which is why the rewrite replaced it as the headline number.

#TeamDivConferenceSRSOff (higher = better)Def (lower = better)
1 North Dakota State FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +25.0 +11.3 -19.2
2 South Dakota State FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +19.0 +13.9 -10.5
3 Northern Iowa FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +15.7 +3.2 -16.7
4 Eastern Washington FCS Big Sky Conference +13.8 +19.7 +0.3
5 Montana FCS Big Sky Conference +13.5 +2.4 -14.6
6 Montana State FCS Big Sky Conference +13.4 +3.5 -12.8
7 South Dakota FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +13.4 +4.9 -11.5
8 Southern Illinois FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +11.1 +8.9 -5.2
9 Harvard FCS Ivy League +10.8 +1.4 -7.3
10 Sacramento State FCS Big Sky Conference +10.3 +5.0 -8.2
11 Dartmouth FCS Ivy League +9.7 -0.7 -7.0
12 Villanova FCS Coastal Athletic Association +9.6 +5.6 -9.1
13 North Dakota FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +9.6 +1.4 -10.5
14 Incarnate Word FCS Southland Conference +9.2 +10.5 +0.2
15 Chattanooga FCS Southern Conference +9.1 -3.1 -12.7
16 Weber State FCS Big Sky Conference +8.8 +4.9 -10.6
17 East Tennessee State FCS Southern Conference +8.4 +3.8 -3.5
18 Stephen F. Austin FCS Southland Conference +8.1 +2.8 -7.2
19 SE Louisiana FCS Southland Conference +8.1 +16.9 +7.5
20 Princeton FCS Ivy League +6.3 +1.7 -3.5
21 Mercer FCS Southern Conference +6.0 -0.5 -4.9
22 Nicholls FCS Southland Conference +4.4 +3.2 -2.2
23 UC Davis FCS Big Sky Conference +3.8 +0.8 -5.1
24 Holy Cross FCS Patriot League +3.7 +0.3 -1.8
25 UT Martin FCS OVC-Big South Association +3.5 +0.3 -2.0
26 Richmond FCS Patriot League +3.3 -1.2 -4.8
27 Austin Peay FCS United Athletic Conference +3.1 +3.8 +2.4
28 Youngstown State FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +2.8 +5.0 -0.2
29 Eastern Kentucky FCS United Athletic Conference +2.5 -0.3 -3.5
30 William & Mary FCS Coastal Athletic Association +2.3 -3.0 -4.8
31 Monmouth FCS Coastal Athletic Association +1.9 +2.7 +1.3
32 Furman FCS Southern Conference +1.5 -4.4 -3.9
33 Elon FCS Coastal Athletic Association +1.3 -0.8 -1.3
34 Yale FCS Ivy League +0.9 +0.6 +1.8
35 Jackson State FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference +0.9 -8.2 -6.0
36 Portland State FCS Big Sky Conference +0.2 +3.2 +0.8
37 Florida A&M FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference -0.1 -8.7 -4.0
38 Samford FCS Southern Conference -0.1 +10.5 +12.8
39 Central Arkansas FCS United Athletic Conference -1.2 +2.8 +4.5
40 Maine FCS Coastal Athletic Association -1.2 -2.4 +1.4
41 Stony Brook FCS Coastal Athletic Association -1.7 -6.1 -3.1
42 McNeese FCS Southland Conference -2.1 -8.2 -7.3
43 VMI FCS Southern Conference -2.4 +0.4 +5.9
44 Illinois State FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference -2.6 -6.4 -5.6
45 Western Carolina FCS Southern Conference -2.9 +5.2 +12.2
46 Rhode Island FCS Coastal Athletic Association -2.9 -4.8 +1.0
47 Northern Arizona FCS Big Sky Conference -3.2 -0.7 +2.5
48 Charleston Southern FCS OVC-Big South Association -3.3 -3.4 +1.1
49 Columbia FCS Ivy League -3.3 -7.1 +1.4
50 Idaho FCS Big Sky Conference -4.1 -2.6 +3.1
51 Southeast Missouri State FCS OVC-Big South Association -4.1 -1.3 +4.7
52 Western Illinois FCS OVC-Big South Association -4.3 +4.2 +6.6
53 Indiana State FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference -4.5 -6.6 -1.8
54 Tarleton State FCS United Athletic Conference -5.1 -7.7 -2.0
55 Towson FCS Coastal Athletic Association -5.2 -4.1 +2.3
56 UAlbany FCS Coastal Athletic Association -5.9 -6.0 +0.7
57 New Hampshire FCS Coastal Athletic Association -6.5 -7.9 +2.2
58 Murray State FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference -6.7 -8.0 +2.1
59 North Alabama FCS United Athletic Conference -6.8 -0.2 +7.0
60 Abilene Christian FCS United Athletic Conference -6.9 -3.9 +1.7
61 South Carolina State FCS Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference -7.6 -7.9 +5.1
62 Sacred Heart FCS FCS Independents -7.7 -17.3 -2.0
63 Fordham FCS Patriot League -7.8 +3.3 +12.1
64 North Carolina A&T FCS Coastal Athletic Association -7.9 -8.4 +1.5
65 Prairie View A&M FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference -8.4 -9.0 +5.2
66 Campbell FCS Coastal Athletic Association -8.5 -6.5 +1.8
67 Pennsylvania FCS Ivy League -8.6 -12.1 +0.4
68 Bryant FCS Coastal Athletic Association -8.9 -7.2 +6.4
69 Lindenwood FCS OVC-Big South Association -9.0 -10.2 +10.4
70 Davidson FCS Pioneer Football League -9.2 -4.8 +16.0
71 Gardner-Webb FCS OVC-Big South Association -9.2 -3.2 +7.7
72 Duquesne FCS Northeast Conference -9.6 -7.9 +6.5
73 Alabama A&M FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference -9.9 +1.1 +18.7
74 Saint Francis FCS Northeast Conference -10.0 -13.2 +1.8
75 Norfolk State FCS Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference -10.1 -5.0 +11.3
76 Wofford FCS Southern Conference -10.6 -7.1 +4.5
77 Idaho State FCS Big Sky Conference -10.6 -7.7 +2.4
78 The Citadel FCS Southern Conference -10.7 -5.3 +7.1
79 Hampton FCS Coastal Athletic Association -10.8 -4.8 +8.4
80 Northern Colorado FCS Big Sky Conference -10.8 -10.6 +1.0
81 St. Thomas-Minnesota FCS Pioneer Football League -10.9 -15.9 +6.0
82 Alcorn State FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference -11.1 -9.6 +6.8
83 Southern Utah FCS United Athletic Conference -11.7 -3.7 +9.3
84 Tennessee State FCS OVC-Big South Association -12.0 -10.9 +5.4
85 Central Connecticut FCS Northeast Conference -12.7 -12.8 +10.1
86 Utah Tech FCS United Athletic Conference -12.7 -6.2 +9.6
87 Lafayette FCS Patriot League -12.8 -13.6 +2.3
88 Cornell FCS Ivy League -12.8 -11.1 +6.0
89 Southern FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference -13.6 -5.6 +13.2
90 San Diego FCS Pioneer Football League -13.7 -14.9 +9.6
91 North Carolina Central FCS Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference -13.8 -9.5 +9.3
92 Colgate FCS Patriot League -14.2 -13.7 +5.3
93 Morehead State FCS Pioneer Football League -14.3 -12.5 +16.0
94 Cal Poly FCS Big Sky Conference -14.3 -6.8 +10.1
95 Valparaiso FCS Pioneer Football League -14.5 -9.7 +17.0
96 Merrimack FCS FCS Independents -14.5 -9.9 +11.9
97 Alabama State FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference -15.0 -13.9 +8.3
98 Northwestern State FCS Southland Conference -15.0 -10.7 +5.9
99 Brown FCS Ivy League -15.0 +1.3 +20.0
100 Dayton FCS Pioneer Football League -15.2 -12.1 +16.5
101 Bethune-Cookman FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference -15.4 -5.9 +15.2
102 Robert Morris FCS Northeast Conference -15.6 -10.2 +8.5
103 Eastern Illinois FCS OVC-Big South Association -15.9 -14.6 +5.8
104 Texas Southern FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference -16.0 -3.1 +18.2
105 Tennessee Tech FCS OVC-Big South Association -16.1 -15.1 +7.5
106 Grambling FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference -16.5 -17.5 +5.0
107 Mississippi Valley State FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference -16.9 -13.7 +9.6
108 Howard FCS Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference -17.5 -12.0 +11.6
109 Lehigh FCS Patriot League -18.4 -19.3 +3.9
110 Lamar FCS Southland Conference -18.6 -13.4 +11.6
111 Marist FCS Pioneer Football League -18.8 -20.8 +10.4
112 Delaware State FCS Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference -21.4 -18.0 +10.0
113 Georgetown FCS Patriot League -21.5 -14.4 +13.4
114 Houston Christian FCS Southland Conference -21.5 -11.1 +15.0
115 Drake FCS Pioneer Football League -24.0 -29.0 +6.8
116 Long Island University FCS Northeast Conference -24.9 -17.3 +20.5
117 Arkansas-Pine Bluff FCS Southwestern Athletic Conference -25.0 -15.2 +16.9
118 Morgan State FCS Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference -25.5 -19.1 +12.7
119 Bucknell FCS Patriot League -27.7 -19.9 +17.5
120 Stetson FCS Pioneer Football League -28.1 -23.8 +19.2
121 Wagner FCS Northeast Conference -30.2 -22.1 +19.7
122 Butler FCS Pioneer Football League -30.3 -22.9 +22.8
123 Presbyterian FCS Pioneer Football League -37.3 -12.2 +46.1

Elo — live 2026 · week 2

#TeamDivElo
1 North Dakota State FCS 1764
2 Montana State FCS 1749
3 Lehigh FCS 1696
4 Tarleton State FCS 1685
5 Montana FCS 1681
6 South Dakota FCS 1677
7 Stephen F. Austin FCS 1661
8 Illinois State FCS 1660
9 South Carolina State FCS 1636
10 UC Davis FCS 1635
11 North Dakota FCS 1633
12 Jackson State FCS 1629
13 Tennessee Tech FCS 1624
14 Alabama State FCS 1598
15 Rhode Island FCS 1597
16 Villanova FCS 1597
17 South Dakota State FCS 1595
18 Mercer FCS 1578
19 Idaho State FCS 1576
20 Presbyterian FCS 1562
21 Southern Illinois FCS 1562
22 Dayton FCS 1562
23 St. Thomas-Minnesota FCS 1561
24 Austin Peay FCS 1553
25 North Carolina Central FCS 1553

Independent check — SP+ reference, not an input

SP+ isn’t published for 2021 yet — it needs games to have been played. This fills in once the season starts. It is FBS-only.