BallKnowMe college football, by the numbers

Power Ratings — 2019 50 teams

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
ALL FBS FCS Show all

Power = points vs. an average D1 team (Off + Def), opponent-adjusted, FBS and FCS on one scale. Point-in-time and calibrated (walk-forward ECE 0.037), but a model rating — not a betting edge.

#TeamDivConferencePowerOff (higher = better)Def (higher = better)
1 Ohio State FBS Big Ten Conference +39.5 +24.3 +15.3
2 LSU FBS Southeastern Conference +38.2 +24.9 +13.3
3 Clemson FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +37.1 +18.0 +19.0
4 Alabama FBS Southeastern Conference +35.2 +22.4 +12.8
5 Georgia FBS Southeastern Conference +31.1 +11.1 +20.0
6 Notre Dame FBS FBS Independents +29.6 +13.2 +16.5
7 Oregon FBS Big Ten Conference +29.5 +13.9 +15.6
8 Oklahoma FBS Southeastern Conference +29.5 +21.5 +8.0
9 Penn State FBS Big Ten Conference +29.4 +13.5 +16.0
10 Wisconsin FBS Big Ten Conference +29.2 +12.7 +16.5
11 Florida FBS Southeastern Conference +29.2 +13.1 +16.2
12 Auburn FBS Southeastern Conference +28.3 +11.5 +16.8
13 Utah FBS Big 12 Conference +27.9 +9.4 +18.5
14 Michigan FBS Big Ten Conference +27.5 +12.6 +14.9
15 Washington FBS Big Ten Conference +27.1 +9.7 +17.4
16 Iowa FBS Big Ten Conference +26.3 +6.0 +20.2
17 Texas FBS Southeastern Conference +25.1 +15.3 +9.8
18 UCF FBS Big 12 Conference +24.3 +18.1 +6.3
19 Minnesota FBS Big Ten Conference +23.9 +13.4 +10.6
20 North Dakota State FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +23.6 +10.2 +13.4
21 Baylor FBS Big 12 Conference +23.0 +10.4 +12.7
22 Memphis FBS American Conference +22.8 +17.3 +5.5
23 Iowa State FBS Big 12 Conference +22.4 +11.7 +10.7
24 App State FBS Sun Belt Conference +21.8 +11.8 +10.0
25 Texas A&M FBS Southeastern Conference +21.6 +9.8 +11.8
26 USC FBS Big Ten Conference +21.1 +14.6 +6.5
27 Oklahoma State FBS Big 12 Conference +21.0 +12.5 +8.4
28 Navy FBS American Conference +20.6 +11.5 +9.1
29 Boise State FBS Mountain West Conference +20.6 +10.1 +10.5
30 Air Force FBS Mountain West Conference +20.4 +8.8 +11.6
31 Kansas State FBS Big 12 Conference +20.2 +6.5 +13.7
32 Cincinnati FBS Big 12 Conference +20.0 +5.5 +14.6
33 James Madison FBS Sun Belt Conference +19.3 +10.7 +8.6
34 Kentucky FBS Southeastern Conference +19.0 +4.9 +14.1
35 Virginia FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +18.9 +10.9 +8.0
36 TCU FBS Big 12 Conference +18.6 +7.0 +11.6
37 North Carolina FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +18.2 +10.5 +7.7
38 Missouri FBS Southeastern Conference +17.9 +6.1 +11.9
39 Washington State FBS Pac-12 Conference +17.9 +16.0 +2.0
40 Michigan State FBS Big Ten Conference +17.4 +2.8 +14.6
41 Arizona State FBS Big 12 Conference +17.3 +4.8 +12.5
42 Florida Atlantic FBS American Conference +16.8 +9.8 +7.1
43 Mississippi State FBS Southeastern Conference +16.8 +7.7 +9.1
44 SMU FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +16.7 +16.5 +0.1
45 Louisiana FBS Sun Belt Conference +16.5 +8.8 +7.6
46 Indiana FBS Big Ten Conference +16.4 +9.3 +7.2
47 Virginia Tech FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +16.0 +9.0 +7.0
48 Wake Forest FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +15.6 +10.6 +5.0
49 California FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +15.6 +0.5 +15.1
50 Texas Tech FBS Big 12 Conference +15.4 +10.1 +5.4

SRS — season 2019 reference

The prior per-season opponent-adjusted-margin rating, kept for comparison. Season-final only (no preseason or point-in-time), which is why the rewrite replaced it as the headline number.

#TeamDivConferenceSRSOff (higher = better)Def (lower = better)
1 Ohio State FBS Big Ten Conference +45.8 +38.2 -30.8
2 LSU FBS Southeastern Conference +44.6 +37.3 -24.3
3 Clemson FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +40.0 +28.7 -30.8
4 Alabama FBS Southeastern Conference +38.9 +33.2 -23.3
5 Oregon FBS Big Ten Conference +36.5 +23.8 -27.6
6 Wisconsin FBS Big Ten Conference +35.8 +24.7 -29.4
7 Oklahoma FBS Southeastern Conference +34.8 +29.5 -18.9
8 Penn State FBS Big Ten Conference +34.8 +23.9 -27.6
9 Georgia FBS Southeastern Conference +34.6 +19.9 -30.7
10 Florida FBS Southeastern Conference +34.4 +22.2 -26.8
11 Notre Dame FBS FBS Independents +34.1 +21.6 -25.7
12 Auburn FBS Southeastern Conference +34.1 +21.8 -28.0
13 Utah FBS Big 12 Conference +33.5 +17.6 -28.2
14 Michigan FBS Big Ten Conference +32.8 +22.5 -25.4
15 Washington FBS Big Ten Conference +32.2 +17.4 -25.1
16 Iowa FBS Big Ten Conference +31.4 +13.9 -30.3
17 Texas FBS Southeastern Conference +31.0 +24.5 -18.3
18 Baylor FBS Big 12 Conference +29.7 +19.9 -23.9
19 Memphis FBS American Conference +29.5 +25.1 -14.0
20 Minnesota FBS Big Ten Conference +29.4 +22.7 -19.2
21 Navy FBS American Conference +28.6 +20.5 -18.0
22 UCF FBS Big 12 Conference +28.5 +25.8 -13.6
23 Iowa State FBS Big 12 Conference +27.8 +21.0 -18.8
24 Oklahoma State FBS Big 12 Conference +26.8 +19.8 -18.0
25 USC FBS Big Ten Conference +26.7 +23.0 -13.6
26 App State FBS Sun Belt Conference +26.7 +18.6 -16.4
27 Kansas State FBS Big 12 Conference +26.5 +15.4 -22.8
28 Air Force FBS Mountain West Conference +26.4 +14.8 -19.4
29 Texas A&M FBS Southeastern Conference +25.8 +17.6 -21.7
30 Cincinnati FBS Big 12 Conference +25.6 +12.6 -22.3
31 Boise State FBS Mountain West Conference +25.5 +15.9 -17.4
32 SMU FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +24.6 +24.5 -7.5
33 TCU FBS Big 12 Conference +24.5 +16.0 -19.0
34 North Dakota State FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +23.7 +11.5 -15.8
35 Florida Atlantic FBS American Conference +23.3 +16.8 -15.0
36 Virginia FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +22.9 +18.2 -13.5
37 Louisiana FBS Sun Belt Conference +22.8 +15.5 -17.3
38 Arizona State FBS Big 12 Conference +22.8 +11.1 -21.5
39 Kentucky FBS Southeastern Conference +22.7 +12.6 -21.6
40 North Carolina FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +22.6 +18.0 -16.0
41 Washington State FBS Pac-12 Conference +22.4 +24.3 -9.3
42 Indiana FBS Big Ten Conference +22.4 +17.8 -16.3
43 Michigan State FBS Big Ten Conference +22.1 +11.9 -22.1
44 James Madison FBS Sun Belt Conference +21.8 +14.8 -12.6
45 Missouri FBS Southeastern Conference +21.1 +12.4 -20.6
46 California FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +20.8 +7.6 -22.5
47 Oregon State FBS Pac-12 Conference +20.6 +18.4 -10.9
48 Texas Tech FBS Big 12 Conference +20.5 +16.9 -13.4
49 Mississippi State FBS Southeastern Conference +20.3 +16.2 -16.1
50 Tulane FBS American Conference +20.2 +15.5 -14.6

Elo — live 2026 · week 2

#TeamDivElo
1 Indiana FBS 1778
2 North Dakota State FCS 1764
3 Notre Dame FBS 1749
4 Montana State FCS 1749
5 Georgia FBS 1746
6 Ohio State FBS 1745
7 Texas Tech FBS 1723
8 Miami FBS 1719
9 Ole Miss FBS 1715
10 Alabama FBS 1708
11 James Madison FBS 1703
12 Texas FBS 1701
13 Oregon FBS 1698
14 Lehigh FCS 1696
15 SMU FBS 1695
16 Utah FBS 1693
17 Texas A&M FBS 1691
18 Tarleton State FCS 1685
19 BYU FBS 1681
20 Montana FCS 1681
21 South Dakota FCS 1677
22 USC FBS 1676
23 Vanderbilt FBS 1671
24 Penn State FBS 1671
25 Iowa FBS 1664

Independent check — SP+ reference, not an input

SP+ is built by someone else from different inputs. Showing it beside our number is the point: two honest estimates, and where they disagree you can see it instead of taking our word for it. Nothing here is fitted to agree with SP+ — it is a yardstick, never an input. Across the 130 teams both systems rate, rank agreement is 0.95 (1.00 = identical order).

Where we disagree most

TeamSP+ rankOur rank (same FBS field)Gap
West Virginia #97 #57 -40 (we're higher)
UAB #67 #100 +33 (we're lower)
Boston College #92 #59 -33 (we're higher)
Colorado State #78 #106 +28 (we're lower)
Ohio #49 #76 +27 (we're lower)
California #74 #47 -27 (we're higher)
Western Kentucky #58 #83 +25 (we're lower)
Liberty #74 #99 +25 (we're lower)

SP+ top 25

#TeamSP+OffDef (lower = better)Our rank (same FBS field)
1 Ohio State +35.4 44.4 10.6 #1
2 LSU +33.1 48.9 17.7 #2
3 Alabama +32.4 47.7 14.6 #4
4 Clemson +28.1 43.5 14.6 #3
5 Georgia +26.8 34.2 10.0 #5
6 Penn State +24.3 37.5 15.7 #9
7 Florida +24.0 37.8 15.5 #11
8 Oklahoma +22.9 46.1 24.9 #8
9 Auburn +21.0 33.9 14.9 #12
10 Michigan +20.7 35.7 16.0 #14
11 Wisconsin +20.3 37.7 16.4 #10
12 Utah +19.5 36.5 17.0 #13
13 Minnesota +19.4 39.8 19.6 #19
14 UCF +19.1 37.3 18.1 #18
15 Oregon +19.0 35.6 15.5 #7
16 Washington +18.3 35.3 19.5 #15
17 Memphis +18.0 39.5 23.4 #21
18 Baylor +17.8 34.7 17.3 #20
19 Notre Dame +17.7 35.8 18.5 #6
20 Iowa +16.7 30.0 15.2 #16
21 Texas A&M +15.0 34.0 19.4 #24
22 USC +13.1 39.0 26.7 #25
23 Indiana +12.8 35.6 23.8 #44
24 Iowa State +12.6 31.8 19.5 #22
25 Air Force +12.1 36.2 25.8 #29