BallKnowMe college football, by the numbers

Power Ratings — 2016 50 teams

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
ALL FBS FCS Show all

Power = points vs. an average D1 team (Off + Def), opponent-adjusted, FBS and FCS on one scale. Point-in-time and calibrated (walk-forward ECE 0.037), but a model rating — not a betting edge.

#TeamDivConferencePowerOff (higher = better)Def (higher = better)
1 Alabama FBS Southeastern Conference +39.0 +17.0 +22.0
2 Clemson FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +31.2 +17.9 +13.3
3 Washington FBS Big Ten Conference +29.8 +13.5 +16.2
4 Ohio State FBS Big Ten Conference +29.0 +12.4 +16.5
5 Michigan FBS Big Ten Conference +27.9 +13.3 +14.6
6 LSU FBS Southeastern Conference +27.8 +8.4 +19.4
7 Florida State FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +27.2 +14.6 +12.6
8 Oklahoma FBS Southeastern Conference +26.0 +20.0 +6.0
9 USC FBS Big Ten Conference +25.9 +12.8 +13.1
10 Wisconsin FBS Big Ten Conference +23.8 +6.3 +17.5
11 Miami FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +23.3 +9.8 +13.5
12 North Carolina FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +23.0 +13.5 +9.5
13 Penn State FBS Big Ten Conference +22.9 +14.2 +8.7
14 Louisville FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +22.6 +16.5 +6.1
15 Stanford FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +22.4 +5.8 +16.6
16 North Dakota State FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +21.5 +5.0 +16.5
17 Virginia Tech FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +21.3 +10.4 +10.9
18 Auburn FBS Southeastern Conference +21.1 +6.3 +14.8
19 Western Michigan FBS Mid-American Conference +20.9 +14.6 +6.2
20 Oklahoma State FBS Big 12 Conference +20.7 +13.9 +6.8
21 Tennessee FBS Southeastern Conference +20.1 +16.6 +3.5
22 Florida FBS Southeastern Conference +19.5 +2.9 +16.5
23 West Virginia FBS Big 12 Conference +19.4 +8.0 +11.5
24 Washington State FBS Pac-12 Conference +19.1 +11.4 +7.7
25 Texas A&M FBS Southeastern Conference +18.9 +10.1 +8.8
26 Pittsburgh FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +18.7 +18.2 +0.5
27 Iowa FBS Big Ten Conference +17.9 +5.1 +12.9
28 Utah FBS Big 12 Conference +17.9 +5.7 +12.2
29 NC State FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +17.9 +6.7 +11.2
30 Colorado FBS Big 12 Conference +17.8 +5.6 +12.2
31 Ole Miss FBS Southeastern Conference +17.8 +15.3 +2.4
32 Western Kentucky FBS Conference USA +17.7 +15.4 +2.3
33 Temple FBS American Conference +17.6 +6.4 +11.2
34 South Florida FBS American Conference +17.6 +17.3 +0.3
35 BYU FBS Big 12 Conference +17.3 +5.8 +11.5
36 Kansas State FBS Big 12 Conference +17.1 +6.3 +10.7
37 Notre Dame FBS FBS Independents +16.6 +11.1 +5.6
38 James Madison FBS Sun Belt Conference +16.5 +16.4 +0.1
39 Houston FBS Big 12 Conference +16.4 +9.2 +7.2
40 Northwestern FBS Big Ten Conference +16.2 +3.3 +12.8
41 Toledo FBS Mid-American Conference +16.1 +11.7 +4.4
42 App State FBS Sun Belt Conference +15.6 +2.5 +13.1
43 Boise State FBS Mountain West Conference +15.6 +7.1 +8.5
44 San Diego State FBS Mountain West Conference +15.4 +4.9 +10.6
45 TCU FBS Big 12 Conference +15.4 +7.9 +7.5
46 Georgia Tech FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +15.4 +6.5 +8.9
47 Minnesota FBS Big Ten Conference +15.2 +5.3 +9.9
48 Eastern Washington FCS Big Sky Conference +15.0 +13.7 +1.3
49 Baylor FBS Big 12 Conference +14.8 +10.7 +4.1
50 Arkansas FBS Southeastern Conference +14.8 +10.3 +4.5

SRS — season 2016 reference

The prior per-season opponent-adjusted-margin rating, kept for comparison. Season-final only (no preseason or point-in-time), which is why the rewrite replaced it as the headline number.

#TeamDivConferenceSRSOff (higher = better)Def (lower = better)
1 Alabama FBS Southeastern Conference +44.6 +27.3 -32.9
2 Washington FBS Big Ten Conference +38.2 +25.4 -26.0
3 Clemson FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +37.3 +28.1 -25.3
4 Michigan FBS Big Ten Conference +36.6 +28.2 -28.5
5 Ohio State FBS Big Ten Conference +35.7 +26.8 -29.8
6 LSU FBS Southeastern Conference +33.9 +16.4 -29.8
7 USC FBS Big Ten Conference +33.7 +21.1 -21.8
8 Florida State FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +33.1 +23.3 -20.8
9 Penn State FBS Big Ten Conference +31.9 +25.4 -18.0
10 Oklahoma FBS Southeastern Conference +31.8 +30.2 -15.6
11 Wisconsin FBS Big Ten Conference +31.8 +16.7 -27.7
12 Miami FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +30.6 +18.6 -22.6
13 Louisville FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +30.2 +28.7 -16.5
14 Stanford FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +28.3 +11.6 -25.0
15 Virginia Tech FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +28.2 +19.3 -20.8
16 Colorado FBS Big 12 Conference +28.2 +16.5 -23.1
17 Auburn FBS Southeastern Conference +28.1 +16.7 -26.1
18 Washington State FBS Pac-12 Conference +28.0 +22.3 -17.8
19 Oklahoma State FBS Big 12 Conference +28.0 +22.0 -17.4
20 North Carolina FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +27.9 +19.3 -17.6
21 Western Michigan FBS Mid-American Conference +27.7 +21.6 -14.7
22 Florida FBS Southeastern Conference +27.0 +11.1 -25.3
23 West Virginia FBS Big 12 Conference +25.8 +16.6 -20.5
24 Tennessee FBS Southeastern Conference +25.6 +24.6 -11.0
25 Pittsburgh FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +25.4 +28.5 -7.5
26 Texas A&M FBS Southeastern Conference +25.1 +20.3 -17.2
27 Kansas State FBS Big 12 Conference +25.1 +15.3 -21.0
28 Temple FBS American Conference +24.8 +14.5 -19.3
29 Iowa FBS Big Ten Conference +24.8 +13.1 -22.0
30 Utah FBS Big 12 Conference +24.6 +13.3 -19.2
31 Western Kentucky FBS Conference USA +24.4 +23.4 -12.6
32 Minnesota FBS Big Ten Conference +24.4 +13.9 -18.8
33 NC State FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +24.3 +12.9 -19.9
34 South Florida FBS American Conference +24.1 +26.2 -6.6
35 BYU FBS Big 12 Conference +23.9 +12.0 -20.3
36 Tulsa FBS American Conference +23.2 +24.2 -8.2
37 Northwestern FBS Big Ten Conference +23.1 +13.2 -20.4
38 Boise State FBS Mountain West Conference +23.0 +14.1 -16.9
39 App State FBS Sun Belt Conference +22.9 +7.0 -19.5
40 San Diego State FBS Mountain West Conference +22.8 +12.6 -17.6
41 Nebraska FBS Big Ten Conference +22.4 +11.8 -18.5
42 Georgia Tech FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +22.3 +14.2 -17.3
43 Houston FBS Big 12 Conference +21.9 +17.4 -16.3
44 Toledo FBS Mid-American Conference +21.8 +18.5 -9.1
45 Ole Miss FBS Southeastern Conference +21.8 +22.3 -9.4
46 Notre Dame FBS FBS Independents +21.6 +18.5 -13.9
47 North Dakota State FCS Missouri Valley Football Conference +21.3 +6.8 -19.8
48 TCU FBS Big 12 Conference +20.0 +15.0 -16.3
49 Baylor FBS Big 12 Conference +19.7 +17.0 -12.7
50 Eastern Washington FCS Big Sky Conference +19.6 +18.2 -6.3

Elo — live 2026 · week 2

#TeamDivElo
1 Indiana FBS 1778
2 North Dakota State FCS 1764
3 Notre Dame FBS 1749
4 Montana State FCS 1749
5 Georgia FBS 1746
6 Ohio State FBS 1745
7 Texas Tech FBS 1723
8 Miami FBS 1719
9 Ole Miss FBS 1715
10 Alabama FBS 1708
11 James Madison FBS 1703
12 Texas FBS 1701
13 Oregon FBS 1698
14 Lehigh FCS 1696
15 SMU FBS 1695
16 Utah FBS 1693
17 Texas A&M FBS 1691
18 Tarleton State FCS 1685
19 BYU FBS 1681
20 Montana FCS 1681
21 South Dakota FCS 1677
22 USC FBS 1676
23 Vanderbilt FBS 1671
24 Penn State FBS 1671
25 Iowa FBS 1664

Independent check — SP+ reference, not an input

SP+ is built by someone else from different inputs. Showing it beside our number is the point: two honest estimates, and where they disagree you can see it instead of taking our word for it. Nothing here is fitted to agree with SP+ — it is a yardstick, never an input. Across the 128 teams both systems rate, rank agreement is 0.97 (1.00 = identical order).

Where we disagree most

TeamSP+ rankOur rank (same FBS field)Gap
Washington State #54 #23 -31 (we're higher)
Colorado #53 #29 -24 (we're higher)
Texas #36 #59 +23 (we're lower)
Northwestern #61 #38 -23 (we're higher)
Southern Miss #65 #88 +23 (we're lower)
Minnesota #24 #45 +21 (we're lower)
Middle Tennessee #74 #94 +20 (we're lower)
Notre Dame #18 #36 +18 (we're lower)

SP+ top 25

#TeamSP+OffDef (lower = better)Our rank (same FBS field)
1 Alabama +31.7 40.0 8.6 #1
2 Clemson +28.7 43.5 14.1 #2
3 Washington +26.7 40.2 13.9 #3
4 Oklahoma +26.1 48.7 22.9 #8
5 LSU +25.3 34.2 9.0 #6
6 Michigan +24.4 34.8 11.1 #5
7 Florida State +24.0 42.6 18.8 #7
8 USC +23.6 39.2 17.1 #9
9 Louisville +22.9 40.8 17.7 #14
10 Ohio State +22.4 35.6 15.0 #4
11 Penn State +19.0 38.0 20.9 #13
12 Miami +18.6 34.1 17.3 #11
13 Oklahoma State +16.4 42.4 27.0 #19
13 Stanford +16.4 31.2 17.5 #15
15 Tennessee +16.3 39.9 25.2 #20
16 Wisconsin +16.1 30.5 14.8 #10
17 North Carolina +15.9 38.5 24.6 #12
18 Notre Dame +15.7 39.4 23.2 #36
19 Western Kentucky +15.5 40.7 25.8 #31
20 Florida +15.4 26.6 14.0 #21
21 Auburn +15.3 32.1 18.4 #17
22 Virginia Tech +15.2 34.5 19.6 #16
23 Pittsburgh +13.1 43.0 29.4 #25
24 Minnesota +12.6 27.8 17.5 #45
25 Ole Miss +12.4 38.9 27.9 #30