BallKnowMe college football, by the numbers

Power Ratings — 2024 50 teams

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
ALL FBS FCS Show all

Power = points vs. an average D1 team (Off + Def), opponent-adjusted, FBS and FCS on one scale. Point-in-time and calibrated (walk-forward ECE 0.037), but a model rating — not a betting edge.

#TeamDivConferencePowerOff (higher = better)Def (higher = better)
1 Ohio State FBS Big Ten Conference +38.5 +17.3 +21.2
2 Oregon FBS Big Ten Conference +34.3 +19.2 +15.1
3 Notre Dame FBS FBS Independents +34.1 +17.7 +16.4
4 Penn State FBS Big Ten Conference +33.1 +14.8 +18.3
5 Texas FBS Southeastern Conference +33.0 +14.9 +18.0
6 Alabama FBS Southeastern Conference +30.9 +15.2 +15.7
7 Georgia FBS Southeastern Conference +30.5 +15.4 +15.0
8 Ole Miss FBS Southeastern Conference +30.4 +15.6 +14.8
9 Indiana FBS Big Ten Conference +26.4 +15.5 +10.9
10 SMU FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +26.3 +15.9 +10.4
11 Miami FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +26.2 +20.1 +6.1
12 BYU FBS Big 12 Conference +26.0 +12.0 +14.0
13 Kansas State FBS Big 12 Conference +25.8 +13.5 +12.3
14 South Carolina FBS Southeastern Conference +25.5 +11.4 +14.2
15 Louisville FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +25.5 +15.0 +10.5
16 LSU FBS Southeastern Conference +25.4 +15.2 +10.2
17 Tennessee FBS Southeastern Conference +25.3 +12.5 +12.8
18 USC FBS Big Ten Conference +25.0 +15.6 +9.5
19 Michigan FBS Big Ten Conference +24.8 +7.8 +17.0
20 Iowa FBS Big Ten Conference +24.7 +9.5 +15.2
21 Clemson FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +24.3 +14.3 +10.0
22 Colorado FBS Big 12 Conference +24.1 +13.7 +10.5
23 Iowa State FBS Big 12 Conference +24.1 +11.1 +13.0
24 Arizona State FBS Big 12 Conference +24.0 +12.2 +11.7
25 Texas A&M FBS Southeastern Conference +23.6 +11.6 +12.0
26 Florida FBS Southeastern Conference +23.3 +10.7 +12.6
27 Boise State FBS Mountain West Conference +23.3 +13.7 +9.6
28 Minnesota FBS Big Ten Conference +23.2 +7.9 +15.4
29 Baylor FBS Big 12 Conference +21.9 +14.4 +7.5
30 Kansas FBS Big 12 Conference +21.6 +12.1 +9.5
31 TCU FBS Big 12 Conference +21.5 +12.8 +8.7
32 Missouri FBS Southeastern Conference +21.4 +8.6 +12.8
33 Virginia Tech FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +21.3 +9.3 +12.0
34 Nebraska FBS Big Ten Conference +20.7 +4.9 +15.8
35 Washington FBS Big Ten Conference +20.1 +8.0 +12.1
36 Illinois FBS Big Ten Conference +19.9 +9.8 +10.1
37 Oklahoma FBS Southeastern Conference +19.7 +8.3 +11.5
38 UNLV FBS Mountain West Conference +19.1 +11.5 +7.5
39 Utah FBS Big 12 Conference +18.4 +3.2 +15.2
40 Wisconsin FBS Big Ten Conference +18.1 +5.4 +12.7
41 Tulane FBS American Conference +18.0 +9.1 +8.9
42 Army FBS American Conference +17.6 +4.8 +12.8
43 Texas Tech FBS Big 12 Conference +17.6 +15.3 +2.3
44 Rutgers FBS Big Ten Conference +17.3 +10.2 +7.1
45 Auburn FBS Southeastern Conference +17.2 +6.1 +11.1
46 Syracuse FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +17.1 +11.8 +5.4
47 UCF FBS Big 12 Conference +17.1 +11.1 +5.9
48 Georgia Tech FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +16.8 +9.0 +7.8
49 Arkansas FBS Southeastern Conference +16.7 +9.0 +7.7
50 Duke FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +16.3 +6.3 +10.0

SRS — season 2024 reference

The prior per-season opponent-adjusted-margin rating, kept for comparison. Season-final only (no preseason or point-in-time), which is why the rewrite replaced it as the headline number.

#TeamDivConferenceSRSOff (higher = better)Def (lower = better)
1 Ohio State FBS Big Ten Conference +42.9 +27.5 -30.6
2 Notre Dame FBS FBS Independents +38.6 +27.6 -26.8
3 Texas FBS Southeastern Conference +36.8 +24.9 -28.3
4 Oregon FBS Big Ten Conference +36.5 +26.0 -21.7
5 Penn State FBS Big Ten Conference +36.5 +23.0 -26.1
6 Ole Miss FBS Southeastern Conference +34.0 +26.1 -25.4
7 Alabama FBS Southeastern Conference +33.6 +25.5 -24.7
8 Indiana FBS Big Ten Conference +33.4 +28.6 -23.0
9 Georgia FBS Southeastern Conference +33.1 +24.3 -24.1
10 BYU FBS Big 12 Conference +31.7 +19.5 -21.1
11 South Carolina FBS Southeastern Conference +31.3 +21.1 -23.6
12 Miami FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +31.2 +29.9 -13.6
13 SMU FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +31.1 +24.2 -18.0
14 Louisville FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +30.1 +24.7 -18.3
15 Arizona State FBS Big 12 Conference +30.1 +21.9 -20.1
16 Colorado FBS Big 12 Conference +30.0 +21.5 -19.1
17 Iowa FBS Big Ten Conference +29.2 +18.8 -21.0
18 USC FBS Big Ten Conference +29.1 +22.5 -19.2
19 Tennessee FBS Southeastern Conference +29.1 +24.1 -24.6
20 LSU FBS Southeastern Conference +29.1 +22.2 -19.4
21 Minnesota FBS Big Ten Conference +28.8 +16.2 -23.9
22 Kansas State FBS Big 12 Conference +28.6 +19.5 -18.4
23 Clemson FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +28.4 +22.9 -17.4
24 Iowa State FBS Big 12 Conference +28.2 +18.9 -19.9
25 Texas A&M FBS Southeastern Conference +28.0 +20.7 -20.2
26 Baylor FBS Big 12 Conference +27.8 +22.9 -14.5
27 Florida FBS Southeastern Conference +27.7 +19.6 -21.9
28 Boise State FBS Mountain West Conference +27.6 +20.3 -15.2
29 Virginia Tech FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +26.7 +16.6 -19.9
30 Michigan FBS Big Ten Conference +25.9 +15.1 -24.2
31 Nebraska FBS Big Ten Conference +25.8 +12.2 -22.1
32 Kansas FBS Big 12 Conference +25.7 +19.1 -16.7
33 TCU FBS Big 12 Conference +25.2 +19.4 -15.3
34 Illinois FBS Big Ten Conference +24.9 +17.4 -17.7
35 UNLV FBS Mountain West Conference +24.0 +18.4 -14.9
36 Missouri FBS Southeastern Conference +23.7 +16.3 -20.9
37 Army FBS American Conference +23.6 +12.0 -19.3
38 Tulane FBS American Conference +22.9 +19.2 -16.4
39 Syracuse FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +22.8 +20.3 -11.2
40 Navy FBS American Conference +22.6 +14.7 -14.2
41 Oklahoma FBS Southeastern Conference +22.2 +15.9 -21.0
42 Vanderbilt FBS Southeastern Conference +22.2 +17.0 -18.0
43 Rutgers FBS Big Ten Conference +22.0 +18.4 -12.7
44 Washington FBS Big Ten Conference +22.0 +13.1 -19.2
45 Utah FBS Big 12 Conference +21.9 +10.4 -21.5
46 Wisconsin FBS Big Ten Conference +21.8 +13.1 -19.6
47 UCF FBS Big 12 Conference +21.5 +20.2 -13.4
48 Cincinnati FBS Big 12 Conference +21.4 +13.3 -17.3
49 Texas Tech FBS Big 12 Conference +21.1 +23.5 -8.1
50 Boston College FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +21.0 +15.8 -15.9

Elo — live 2026 · week 2

#TeamDivElo
1 Indiana FBS 1778
2 Notre Dame FBS 1749
3 Georgia FBS 1746
4 Ohio State FBS 1745
5 Texas Tech FBS 1723
6 Miami FBS 1719
7 Ole Miss FBS 1715
8 Alabama FBS 1708
9 James Madison FBS 1703
10 Texas FBS 1701
11 Oregon FBS 1698
12 SMU FBS 1695
13 Utah FBS 1693
14 Texas A&M FBS 1691
15 BYU FBS 1681
16 USC FBS 1676
17 Vanderbilt FBS 1671
18 Penn State FBS 1671
19 Iowa FBS 1664
20 Tennessee FBS 1655
21 Duke FBS 1649
22 Louisville FBS 1644
23 Michigan FBS 1642
24 Washington FBS 1641
25 South Florida FBS 1636

Independent check — SP+ reference, not an input

SP+ is built by someone else from different inputs. Showing it beside our number is the point: two honest estimates, and where they disagree you can see it instead of taking our word for it. Nothing here is fitted to agree with SP+ — it is a yardstick, never an input. Across the 134 teams both systems rate, rank agreement is 0.96 (1.00 = identical order).

Where we disagree most

TeamSP+ rankOur rank (same FBS field)Gap
Liberty #71 #99 +28 (we're lower)
Houston #101 #74 -27 (we're higher)
Arkansas #24 #49 +25 (we're lower)
Northwestern #101 #77 -24 (we're higher)
Washington #58 #35 -23 (we're higher)
UConn #67 #89 +22 (we're lower)
East Carolina #73 #94 +21 (we're lower)
UCLA #75 #54 -21 (we're higher)

SP+ top 25

#TeamSP+OffDef (lower = better)Our rank (same FBS field)
1 Ohio State +31.2 39.5 9.2 #1
2 Ole Miss +27.9 37.7 11.9 #8
3 Oregon +26.0 40.8 16.3 #2
4 Alabama +25.0 37.9 14.6 #6
5 Penn State +24.6 37.5 13.1 #4
6 Georgia +24.3 37.3 14.9 #7
7 Texas +24.1 36.6 10.8 #5
8 Notre Dame +23.9 38.6 14.1 #3
9 Tennessee +22.0 33.7 13.5 #17
10 Miami +21.6 44.2 24.3 #11
11 Indiana +20.1 35.0 16.4 #9
12 SMU +17.5 38.2 21.1 #10
13 Texas A&M +17.0 34.0 18.6 #25
14 South Carolina +16.9 32.1 16.0 #14
15 LSU +15.9 36.8 21.7 #16
16 Iowa +15.8 27.0 13.3 #20
17 BYU +15.3 32.0 18.8 #12
18 Kansas State +14.1 33.0 20.4 #13
19 Missouri +14.0 33.7 18.7 #32
20 Florida +13.8 31.7 20.0 #26
21 Louisville +13.6 37.7 22.9 #15
22 Clemson +13.3 35.4 20.9 #21
23 USC +11.9 35.6 24.0 #18
24 Arkansas +11.0 31.4 21.7 #49
25 TCU +10.8 34.6 22.8 #31