BallKnowMe college football, by the numbers

Power Ratings — 2022 50 teams

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
ALL FBS FCS Show all

Power = points vs. an average D1 team (Off + Def), opponent-adjusted, FBS and FCS on one scale. Point-in-time and calibrated (walk-forward ECE 0.037), but a model rating — not a betting edge.

#TeamDivConferencePowerOff (higher = better)Def (higher = better)
1 Georgia FBS Southeastern Conference +38.4 +17.9 +20.5
2 Ohio State FBS Big Ten Conference +33.8 +24.3 +9.5
3 Alabama FBS Southeastern Conference +33.2 +18.7 +14.4
4 Michigan FBS Big Ten Conference +32.5 +18.2 +14.2
5 Penn State FBS Big Ten Conference +29.5 +13.5 +16.0
6 Tennessee FBS Southeastern Conference +28.3 +21.7 +6.6
7 Utah FBS Big 12 Conference +27.6 +15.2 +12.4
8 Kansas State FBS Big 12 Conference +26.3 +11.1 +15.2
9 Texas FBS Southeastern Conference +25.6 +13.3 +12.4
10 TCU FBS Big 12 Conference +25.6 +18.4 +7.2
11 Clemson FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +25.4 +10.9 +14.5
12 Oregon State FBS Pac-12 Conference +24.2 +10.8 +13.4
13 Oregon FBS Big Ten Conference +23.6 +16.0 +7.6
14 LSU FBS Southeastern Conference +23.5 +12.7 +10.8
15 Florida State FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +22.5 +12.8 +9.6
16 Notre Dame FBS FBS Independents +22.2 +11.1 +11.2
17 Iowa FBS Big Ten Conference +22.2 +1.6 +20.6
18 Mississippi State FBS Southeastern Conference +21.9 +11.1 +10.7
19 USC FBS Big Ten Conference +21.5 +18.2 +3.3
20 Illinois FBS Big Ten Conference +21.5 +4.2 +17.2
21 Oklahoma FBS Southeastern Conference +20.7 +14.2 +6.5
22 Minnesota FBS Big Ten Conference +20.5 +6.0 +14.6
23 Louisville FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +20.4 +7.5 +13.0
24 Washington FBS Big Ten Conference +20.0 +13.1 +6.9
25 Ole Miss FBS Southeastern Conference +19.9 +12.9 +6.9
26 UCLA FBS Big Ten Conference +19.5 +16.3 +3.2
27 Iowa State FBS Big 12 Conference +19.3 +2.0 +17.2
28 Baylor FBS Big 12 Conference +18.7 +9.8 +8.9
29 Arkansas FBS Southeastern Conference +18.7 +12.8 +5.9
30 Pittsburgh FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +18.6 +10.2 +8.4
31 Wake Forest FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +18.5 +15.5 +3.0
32 Wisconsin FBS Big Ten Conference +18.2 +6.6 +11.7
33 Tulane FBS American Conference +17.7 +9.9 +7.8
34 Texas Tech FBS Big 12 Conference +17.5 +12.4 +5.1
35 Cincinnati FBS Big 12 Conference +17.5 +5.7 +11.8
36 Kentucky FBS Southeastern Conference +17.4 +1.9 +15.5
37 Oklahoma State FBS Big 12 Conference +17.2 +9.3 +7.9
38 Florida FBS Southeastern Conference +17.2 +10.0 +7.2
38 Air Force FBS Mountain West Conference +17.2 +4.2 +13.0
39 Maryland FBS Big Ten Conference +16.4 +7.1 +9.3
40 Texas A&M FBS Southeastern Conference +16.2 +2.1 +14.2
41 South Carolina FBS Southeastern Conference +15.9 +10.1 +5.8
42 Washington State FBS Pac-12 Conference +15.8 +5.0 +10.7
43 NC State FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +15.6 +2.5 +13.1
44 Auburn FBS Southeastern Conference +15.5 +6.9 +8.6
45 Purdue FBS Big Ten Conference +15.4 +9.6 +5.9
46 Boise State FBS Mountain West Conference +15.3 +6.2 +9.1
47 North Carolina FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +15.1 +13.8 +1.4
48 Fresno State FBS Mountain West Conference +15.0 +6.4 +8.6
49 James Madison FBS Sun Belt Conference +14.7 +8.3 +6.3

SRS — season 2022 reference

The prior per-season opponent-adjusted-margin rating, kept for comparison. Season-final only (no preseason or point-in-time), which is why the rewrite replaced it as the headline number.

#TeamDivConferenceSRSOff (higher = better)Def (lower = better)
1 Georgia FBS Southeastern Conference +43.2 +29.5 -30.9
2 Ohio State FBS Big Ten Conference +38.2 +34.2 -21.0
3 Alabama FBS Southeastern Conference +37.5 +28.8 -25.5
4 Michigan FBS Big Ten Conference +37.1 +28.3 -24.0
5 Tennessee FBS Southeastern Conference +35.8 +34.1 -19.5
6 Penn State FBS Big Ten Conference +34.2 +23.7 -24.5
7 TCU FBS Big 12 Conference +33.0 +27.0 -16.6
8 Kansas State FBS Big 12 Conference +32.5 +21.2 -23.8
9 Utah FBS Big 12 Conference +32.5 +24.1 -21.4
10 Texas FBS Southeastern Conference +32.4 +22.2 -25.0
11 Oregon State FBS Pac-12 Conference +30.6 +18.1 -23.0
12 Clemson FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +30.1 +19.1 -20.9
13 LSU FBS Southeastern Conference +29.8 +23.6 -21.7
14 Florida State FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +29.6 +22.7 -18.6
15 USC FBS Big Ten Conference +29.2 +28.2 -12.7
16 Oregon FBS Big Ten Conference +29.0 +24.4 -15.6
17 Mississippi State FBS Southeastern Conference +28.1 +20.6 -20.4
18 Illinois FBS Big Ten Conference +27.9 +13.1 -26.4
19 Washington FBS Big Ten Conference +27.3 +24.6 -14.6
20 Tulane FBS American Conference +26.4 +18.9 -17.8
21 Louisville FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +26.4 +14.6 -21.6
22 Notre Dame FBS FBS Independents +26.3 +18.1 -18.6
23 Iowa FBS Big Ten Conference +25.6 +8.1 -27.2
24 Oklahoma FBS Southeastern Conference +25.5 +21.1 -14.3
25 Minnesota FBS Big Ten Conference +25.1 +14.7 -23.0
26 UCLA FBS Big Ten Conference +24.6 +23.1 -11.1
27 Ole Miss FBS Southeastern Conference +24.2 +21.6 -16.1
28 Texas Tech FBS Big 12 Conference +23.7 +21.6 -14.6
29 Iowa State FBS Big 12 Conference +23.7 +7.8 -25.1
30 Wake Forest FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +23.6 +21.6 -10.4
31 Duke FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +23.6 +15.8 -14.8
32 Baylor FBS Big 12 Conference +23.2 +18.9 -15.9
33 Florida FBS Southeastern Conference +22.7 +18.4 -15.7
34 Arkansas FBS Southeastern Conference +22.7 +21.0 -12.7
35 Pittsburgh FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +22.6 +16.5 -15.0
36 South Carolina FBS Southeastern Conference +22.5 +19.0 -12.7
37 Kansas FBS Big 12 Conference +22.3 +23.1 -9.0
38 Kentucky FBS Southeastern Conference +22.0 +8.4 -23.5
39 Maryland FBS Big Ten Conference +21.9 +14.9 -19.2
40 Washington State FBS Pac-12 Conference +21.4 +12.6 -19.6
41 Air Force FBS Mountain West Conference +21.4 +9.3 -19.4
42 UCF FBS Big 12 Conference +21.4 +17.0 -14.8
43 Wisconsin FBS Big Ten Conference +20.9 +15.8 -19.0
44 Cincinnati FBS Big 12 Conference +20.8 +11.6 -18.7
45 Missouri FBS Southeastern Conference +20.5 +11.3 -18.3
46 North Carolina FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +20.4 +19.8 -8.1
47 Fresno State FBS Mountain West Conference +20.4 +12.2 -14.9
48 NC State FBS Atlantic Coast Conference +20.2 +9.4 -20.7
49 Memphis FBS American Conference +20.1 +16.2 -13.7
50 Oklahoma State FBS Big 12 Conference +20.0 +16.7 -13.7

Elo — live 2026 · week 2

#TeamDivElo
1 Indiana FBS 1778
2 Notre Dame FBS 1749
3 Georgia FBS 1746
4 Ohio State FBS 1745
5 Texas Tech FBS 1723
6 Miami FBS 1719
7 Ole Miss FBS 1715
8 Alabama FBS 1708
9 James Madison FBS 1703
10 Texas FBS 1701
11 Oregon FBS 1698
12 SMU FBS 1695
13 Utah FBS 1693
14 Texas A&M FBS 1691
15 BYU FBS 1681
16 USC FBS 1676
17 Vanderbilt FBS 1671
18 Penn State FBS 1671
19 Iowa FBS 1664
20 Tennessee FBS 1655
21 Duke FBS 1649
22 Louisville FBS 1644
23 Michigan FBS 1642
24 Washington FBS 1641
25 South Florida FBS 1636

Independent check — SP+ reference, not an input

SP+ is built by someone else from different inputs. Showing it beside our number is the point: two honest estimates, and where they disagree you can see it instead of taking our word for it. Nothing here is fitted to agree with SP+ — it is a yardstick, never an input. Across the 131 teams both systems rate, rank agreement is 0.97 (1.00 = identical order).

Where we disagree most

TeamSP+ rankOur rank (same FBS field)Gap
South Alabama #33 #74 +41 (we're lower)
Iowa State #53 #27 -26 (we're higher)
Southern Miss #80 #105 +25 (we're lower)
Troy #44 #66 +22 (we're lower)
Texas State #101 #123 +22 (we're lower)
Notre Dame #35 #16 -19 (we're higher)
Air Force #58 #39 -19 (we're higher)
Coastal Carolina #69 #88 +19 (we're lower)

SP+ top 25

#TeamSP+OffDef (lower = better)Our rank (same FBS field)
1 Georgia +35.3 37.2 3.7 #1
2 Michigan +32.0 38.0 7.6 #4
3 Ohio State +31.1 45.1 15.7 #2
4 Alabama +30.3 42.9 14.2 #3
5 Tennessee +25.2 47.3 22.6 #6
6 TCU +24.3 43.3 20.2 #10
7 Texas +23.1 38.1 15.6 #9
8 Penn State +22.4 36.6 13.9 #5
9 Kansas State +21.4 36.4 15.7 #8
10 Utah +19.2 37.3 17.3 #7
11 USC +18.9 46.6 26.3 #19
11 Oregon +18.9 44.9 26.5 #13
13 Clemson +17.6 34.9 18.5 #11
14 Ole Miss +16.2 38.8 23.7 #25
14 LSU +16.2 34.2 17.6 #14
16 Minnesota +16.0 23.5 8.6 #22
17 Illinois +15.9 20.6 5.5 #20
18 Washington +15.7 41.2 25.5 #24
19 Mississippi State +15.4 35.1 19.9 #18
19 Oklahoma +15.4 40.8 26.5 #21
21 UCLA +15.0 45.7 30.1 #26
22 Oregon State +14.3 33.3 17.7 #12
23 Florida State +13.2 34.8 20.4 #15
24 Cincinnati +13.1 27.6 16.1 #35
25 Kentucky +13.0 23.2 9.9 #36