BallKnowMe college football, by the numbers

Power Ratings — 2015 135 teams

Power = points vs. an average D1 team (Off + Def), opponent-adjusted, FBS and FCS on one scale. Point-in-time and calibrated (walk-forward ECE 0.037), but a model rating — not a betting edge.

#	Team	Div	Conference	Power	Off (higher = better)	Def (higher = better)
1	Alabama	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+24.2	+10.8	+13.4
2	Ohio State	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+20.5	+7.9	+12.6
3	Clemson	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+20.0	+13.0	+7.0
4	Oklahoma	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+18.9	+11.9	+7.0
5	Stanford	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+17.9	+10.8	+7.1
6	North Carolina	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+16.7	+13.5	+3.1
7	Florida State	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+16.3	+6.4	+9.9
8	Baylor	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+16.3	+14.9	+1.3
9	Tennessee	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+16.2	+9.8	+6.4
10	Ole Miss	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+16.1	+11.2	+5.0
11	Michigan	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+15.8	+5.2	+10.6
12	Notre Dame	FBS	FBS Independents	+15.1	+10.4	+4.7
13	Mississippi State	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+15.0	+8.3	+6.7
14	Houston	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+14.6	+9.6	+4.9
15	Navy	FBS	American Conference	+14.4	+8.0	+6.4
16	LSU	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+14.3	+6.2	+8.0
17	Arkansas	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+14.1	+10.4	+3.7
18	Michigan State	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+13.8	+4.2	+9.6
19	TCU	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+13.7	+10.3	+3.5
20	Western Kentucky	FBS	Conference USA	+13.5	+13.1	+0.4
21	Jacksonville State	FBS	Conference USA	+13.0	+8.1	+4.9
22	Toledo	FBS	Mid-American Conference	+12.6	+5.6	+7.0
23	Iowa	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+12.2	+4.8	+7.3
24	USC	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+11.9	+6.1	+5.7
25	Washington	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+11.6	+1.3	+10.3
26	Georgia Southern	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	+11.6	+6.7	+4.9
27	California	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+11.4	+10.7	+0.7
28	Oregon	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+11.4	+16.3	-4.9
29	Utah	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+11.3	+3.3	+8.0
30	Bowling Green	FBS	Mid-American Conference	+11.3	+12.7	-1.4
31	San Diego State	FBS	Mountain West Conference	+11.2	+2.0	+9.2
32	Wisconsin	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+11.1	-0.2	+11.3
33	Georgia	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+10.8	+2.0	+8.8
34	Texas A&M	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+10.7	+3.4	+7.3
35	Boise State	FBS	Mountain West Conference	+10.4	+6.7	+3.6
36	West Virginia	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+10.1	+4.2	+5.9
37	Oklahoma State	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+9.9	+10.1	-0.3
38	App State	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	+9.8	+4.1	+5.7
39	Memphis	FBS	American Conference	+9.7	+8.3	+1.4
40	Temple	FBS	American Conference	+9.6	+2.3	+7.3
41	NC State	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+9.6	+6.8	+2.8
42	UCLA	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+9.5	+4.7	+4.8
43	Florida	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+9.5	+0.4	+9.1
44	Louisville	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+9.5	+4.4	+5.0
45	BYU	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+9.4	+6.3	+3.1
46	Auburn	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+9.3	+3.4	+5.9
47	South Florida	FBS	American Conference	+9.2	+4.7	+4.5
48	Pittsburgh	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+9.1	+3.9	+5.2
49	Sam Houston	FBS	Conference USA	+8.6	+10.2	-1.6
50	Washington State	FBS	Pac-12 Conference	+8.4	+4.5	+4.0
51	Virginia Tech	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+8.4	+5.1	+3.3
52	Coastal Carolina	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	+8.3	+6.5	+1.8
53	Miami	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+8.1	+3.5	+4.6
54	Western Michigan	FBS	Mid-American Conference	+8.1	+7.3	+0.8
55	James Madison	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	+8.0	+13.1	-5.0
56	Nebraska	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+8.0	+7.0	+1.0
57	Louisiana Tech	FBS	Conference USA	+7.7	+6.4	+1.2
58	Southern Miss	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	+7.5	+8.0	-0.6
59	Marshall	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	+7.2	+1.3	+5.9
60	Northwestern	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+6.7	-3.3	+10.0
61	Arizona State	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+6.7	+8.1	-1.4
62	Duke	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+6.4	+5.0	+1.4
63	Penn State	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+6.3	-0.0	+6.4
64	Texas Tech	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+6.2	+16.5	-10.3
65	Georgia Tech	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+6.1	+2.3	+3.8
66	Northern Illinois	FBS	Mid-American Conference	+5.9	+4.2	+1.7
67	Air Force	FBS	Mountain West Conference	+5.8	+5.0	+0.7
68	Arkansas State	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	+5.3	+8.7	-3.4
69	Kansas State	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+4.9	+3.3	+1.5
70	Utah State	FBS	Mountain West Conference	+4.6	+3.4	+1.2
71	Cincinnati	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+4.5	+6.9	-2.4
72	Central Michigan	FBS	Mid-American Conference	+4.5	-0.9	+5.4
73	Arizona	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+4.4	+10.1	-5.6
74	Indiana	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+4.2	+10.2	-6.0
75	East Carolina	FBS	American Conference	+4.0	+0.9	+3.1
76	Ohio	FBS	Mid-American Conference	+3.9	+1.3	+2.6
77	Texas	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+3.7	-0.3	+4.0
78	Illinois	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+3.2	-1.4	+4.5
79	Missouri	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+3.1	-8.5	+11.5
80	Minnesota	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+3.0	-0.2	+3.2
81	Akron	FBS	Mid-American Conference	+2.8	-3.2	+6.0
82	Virginia	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+2.7	+1.5	+1.1
83	Middle Tennessee	FBS	Conference USA	+2.6	+4.3	-1.7
84	Boston College	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+2.5	-8.6	+11.1
85	Iowa State	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+2.1	+0.4	+1.7
86	South Carolina	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+2.0	+0.2	+1.9
87	UConn	FBS	FBS Independents	+1.5	-6.1	+7.6
88	San José State	FBS	Mountain West Conference	+1.1	+0.7	+0.4
89	Syracuse	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+1.0	+3.3	-2.3
90	Kennesaw State	FBS	Conference USA	+0.9	-0.4	+1.3
91	Troy	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	+0.8	+0.1	+0.7
92	Maryland	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+0.6	+2.0	-1.4
93	Vanderbilt	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+0.2	-7.6	+7.9
94	Wake Forest	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+0.2	-6.0	+6.2
95	Kentucky	FBS	Southeastern Conference	-0.4	+0.4	-0.8
96	Tulsa	FBS	American Conference	-0.4	+8.4	-8.9
97	Liberty	FBS	Conference USA	-0.7	+0.0	-0.7
98	Colorado	FBS	Big 12 Conference	-0.7	-3.0	+2.2
99	Georgia State	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	-0.9	-2.3	+1.4
100	Buffalo	FBS	Mid-American Conference	-0.9	+0.5	-1.4
101	Colorado State	FBS	Mountain West Conference	-1.0	+0.5	-1.5
102	Nevada	FBS	Mountain West Conference	-1.7	-2.2	+0.5
103	Florida International	FBS	Conference USA	-1.8	-1.6	-0.3
104	Rutgers	FBS	Big Ten Conference	-2.2	+2.5	-4.7
105	New Mexico	FBS	Mountain West Conference	-3.1	-2.1	-1.0
106	Purdue	FBS	Big Ten Conference	-3.5	+1.2	-4.7
107	Army	FBS	American Conference	-3.9	-4.0	+0.1
108	Oregon State	FBS	Pac-12 Conference	-5.3	-2.9	-2.3
109	Florida Atlantic	FBS	American Conference	-5.3	-5.2	-0.1
110	South Alabama	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	-5.3	-0.0	-5.3
111	Delaware	FBS	Conference USA	-5.4	-10.4	+5.0
112	Louisiana	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	-5.5	-2.8	-2.8
113	UNLV	FBS	Mountain West Conference	-5.6	+0.3	-6.0
114	Massachusetts	FBS	Mid-American Conference	-5.9	-3.6	-2.4
115	Ball State	FBS	Mid-American Conference	-5.9	-1.6	-4.3
116	Rice	FBS	American Conference	-6.1	-0.7	-5.3
117	SMU	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	-6.5	+2.4	-8.9
118	Texas State	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	-6.8	-1.2	-5.7
119	Miami (OH)	FBS	Mid-American Conference	-7.2	-5.6	-1.6
120	Kent State	FBS	Mid-American Conference	-7.2	-9.6	+2.4
121	Fresno State	FBS	Mountain West Conference	-7.6	-1.9	-5.7
122	UTSA	FBS	American Conference	-8.1	-5.4	-2.8
123	UTEP	FBS	Conference USA	-8.8	-6.9	-1.8
124	Tulane	FBS	American Conference	-8.8	-4.4	-4.4
125	New Mexico State	FBS	Conference USA	-9.1	+2.7	-11.9
126	Old Dominion	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	-9.6	-3.0	-6.6
127	UL Monroe	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	-9.8	-5.4	-4.4
128	Wyoming	FBS	Mountain West Conference	-10.2	-6.5	-3.6
129	Hawai'i	FBS	Mountain West Conference	-10.4	-5.6	-4.9
130	Kansas	FBS	Big 12 Conference	-11.3	-5.3	-6.0
131	Charlotte	FBS	American Conference	-12.4	-6.3	-6.1
132	Eastern Michigan	FBS	Mid-American Conference	-12.7	-0.5	-12.2
133	UCF	FBS	Big 12 Conference	-12.8	-8.1	-4.7
134	North Texas	FBS	American Conference	-13.1	-7.3	-5.8
135	Missouri State	FBS	Conference USA	-15.9	-6.7	-9.2

SRS — season 2015 reference

The prior per-season opponent-adjusted-margin rating, kept for comparison. Season-final only (no preseason or point-in-time), which is why the rewrite replaced it as the headline number.

#	Team	Div	Conference	SRS	Off (higher = better)	Def (lower = better)
1	Alabama	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+41.4	+25.5	-28.9
2	Ohio State	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+37.0	+21.5	-27.1
3	Clemson	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+36.0	+28.3	-21.7
4	Oklahoma	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+35.7	+28.5	-23.6
5	Stanford	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+34.5	+25.0	-20.9
6	Michigan	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+32.7	+18.9	-25.0
7	Ole Miss	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+32.0	+27.5	-20.3
8	Tennessee	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+31.9	+24.3	-20.1
9	Notre Dame	FBS	FBS Independents	+31.8	+25.2	-18.1
10	North Carolina	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+31.5	+27.5	-15.7
11	Florida State	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+31.4	+19.9	-23.4
12	LSU	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+31.0	+19.9	-22.6
13	Baylor	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+30.8	+29.5	-14.7
14	Arkansas	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+30.1	+24.1	-16.4
15	Michigan State	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+30.0	+16.5	-23.4
16	Mississippi State	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+29.9	+21.4	-19.5
17	TCU	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+29.0	+24.0	-16.8
18	USC	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+27.7	+20.5	-20.8
19	Navy	FBS	American Conference	+27.6	+19.2	-17.8
20	Houston	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+27.3	+22.0	-16.6
21	Iowa	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+27.3	+17.4	-20.3
22	Oregon	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+26.4	+30.0	-5.2
23	Wisconsin	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+26.3	+12.4	-26.0
24	Toledo	FBS	Mid-American Conference	+26.2	+16.3	-18.2
25	Utah	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+26.1	+16.1	-22.0
26	Texas A&M	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+26.0	+16.0	-20.9
27	Washington	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+25.8	+14.6	-25.5
28	California	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+25.5	+24.2	-12.5
29	Georgia	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+25.3	+14.0	-21.7
30	West Virginia	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+24.8	+17.6	-20.1
31	Florida	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+24.8	+13.0	-23.2
32	Western Kentucky	FBS	Conference USA	+24.8	+24.4	-9.8
33	Oklahoma State	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+24.5	+24.1	-12.1
34	Auburn	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+24.0	+15.7	-19.0
35	UCLA	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+23.9	+17.8	-18.3
36	Louisville	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+23.9	+17.2	-18.2
37	Bowling Green	FBS	Mid-American Conference	+23.8	+25.1	-9.6
38	Pittsburgh	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+23.3	+15.6	-17.3
39	Memphis	FBS	American Conference	+22.7	+20.9	-13.6
40	Nebraska	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+22.7	+20.0	-12.9
41	NC State	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+22.4	+19.2	-14.6
42	Georgia Southern	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	+22.3	+15.5	-13.7
43	Temple	FBS	American Conference	+22.2	+12.3	-18.1
44	Virginia Tech	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+21.9	+17.2	-15.0
45	Washington State	FBS	Pac-12 Conference	+21.7	+15.3	-15.3
46	Miami	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+21.6	+13.3	-15.2
47	BYU	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+21.5	+18.6	-15.1
48	Northwestern	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+21.4	+7.3	-22.9
49	South Florida	FBS	American Conference	+21.2	+15.7	-15.8
50	Arizona State	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+20.8	+21.2	-10.4
51	San Diego State	FBS	Mountain West Conference	+20.8	+10.6	-19.3
52	Penn State	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+20.8	+11.5	-18.7
53	Boise State	FBS	Mountain West Conference	+20.4	+19.5	-16.1
54	Texas Tech	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+20.2	+30.5	+0.0
55	Georgia Tech	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+19.9	+16.0	-17.8
56	Western Michigan	FBS	Mid-American Conference	+19.4	+17.9	-10.6
57	Kansas State	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+18.7	+14.1	-12.2
58	Duke	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+18.5	+17.2	-12.3
59	Texas	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+18.2	+10.8	-16.5
60	App State	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	+17.9	+12.7	-14.9
61	Indiana	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+17.8	+22.6	-4.1
62	Louisiana Tech	FBS	Conference USA	+17.3	+14.1	-8.5
63	Arizona	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+16.6	+22.6	-4.2
64	Minnesota	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+16.6	+11.4	-14.8
65	Southern Miss	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	+16.5	+17.6	-7.8
66	Marshall	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	+16.4	+8.5	-13.9
67	Northern Illinois	FBS	Mid-American Conference	+16.4	+12.7	-10.3
68	Illinois	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+16.3	+10.4	-17.1
69	Virginia	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+16.2	+13.0	-12.6
70	Missouri	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+16.1	+1.3	-24.6
71	Iowa State	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+15.8	+11.6	-13.0
72	Jacksonville State	FBS	Conference USA	+15.8	+11.3	-7.6
73	Central Michigan	FBS	Mid-American Conference	+15.6	+7.7	-15.1
74	South Carolina	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+15.4	+12.0	-13.4
75	East Carolina	FBS	American Conference	+15.3	+10.8	-13.1
76	Air Force	FBS	Mountain West Conference	+15.2	+15.7	-10.4
77	Cincinnati	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+15.0	+16.7	-5.7
78	Maryland	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+14.5	+13.8	-9.7
79	Boston College	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+14.4	+1.9	-25.2
80	Arkansas State	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	+14.3	+17.6	-3.6
81	Utah State	FBS	Mountain West Conference	+14.1	+13.8	-10.5
82	Syracuse	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+14.0	+16.7	-9.1
83	Ohio	FBS	Mid-American Conference	+12.9	+7.7	-9.2
84	Wake Forest	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+12.6	+4.2	-18.5
85	Vanderbilt	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+12.4	+2.6	-20.3
86	Kentucky	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+12.0	+12.4	-10.0
87	UConn	FBS	FBS Independents	+11.9	+2.1	-17.3
88	Middle Tennessee	FBS	Conference USA	+11.6	+14.3	-6.9
89	Akron	FBS	Mid-American Conference	+11.6	+2.5	-13.4
90	Colorado	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+11.0	+6.9	-13.3
91	Rutgers	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+10.4	+13.4	-4.2
92	Tulsa	FBS	American Conference	+10.4	+19.1	+0.9
93	San José State	FBS	Mountain West Conference	+10.2	+9.4	-8.9
94	Troy	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	+9.6	+8.0	-8.4
95	Purdue	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+9.5	+12.7	-5.2
96	James Madison	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	+9.2	+17.8	+4.2
97	Coastal Carolina	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	+7.9	+8.3	-1.8
98	Buffalo	FBS	Mid-American Conference	+7.7	+8.0	-4.8
99	Colorado State	FBS	Mountain West Conference	+7.2	+8.8	-6.9
100	Georgia State	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	+6.7	+2.8	-7.9
101	Sam Houston	FBS	Conference USA	+6.7	+10.2	+3.6
102	Oregon State	FBS	Pac-12 Conference	+6.6	+6.2	-6.6
103	Nevada	FBS	Mountain West Conference	+6.5	+5.3	-8.7
104	Florida International	FBS	Conference USA	+5.5	+2.0	-3.3
105	New Mexico	FBS	Mountain West Conference	+4.6	+6.1	-8.2
106	Army	FBS	American Conference	+4.5	+2.2	-7.2
107	SMU	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+3.5	+10.4	+2.5
108	Massachusetts	FBS	Mid-American Conference	+3.0	+3.5	-4.6
109	Ball State	FBS	Mid-American Conference	+3.0	+5.3	-1.7
110	Florida Atlantic	FBS	American Conference	+3.0	+0.9	-6.9
111	UNLV	FBS	Mountain West Conference	+2.9	+9.9	-2.1
112	South Alabama	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	+1.7	+5.4	+1.1
113	Rice	FBS	American Conference	+1.2	+3.3	+2.4
114	Kansas	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+1.2	+1.1	-0.5
115	Louisiana	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	+0.6	+2.4	-2.5
116	Kent State	FBS	Mid-American Conference	+0.5	-5.4	-8.1
117	Tulane	FBS	American Conference	+0.4	+2.3	-2.0
118	Miami (OH)	FBS	Mid-American Conference	+0.2	-1.1	-3.2
119	Fresno State	FBS	Mountain West Conference	-0.4	+4.4	+0.1
120	UTSA	FBS	American Conference	-0.4	-0.7	-2.6
121	Liberty	FBS	Conference USA	-0.5	+1.1	+0.7
122	Texas State	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	-0.9	+3.1	+1.6
123	New Mexico State	FBS	Conference USA	-2.4	+8.1	+9.3
124	Hawai'i	FBS	Mountain West Conference	-2.8	+0.5	-0.7
125	UL Monroe	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	-3.4	-1.2	-0.2
126	Old Dominion	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	-3.4	+1.7	+2.7
127	UTEP	FBS	Conference USA	-3.5	-4.9	-1.4
128	UCF	FBS	Big 12 Conference	-3.8	-2.9	-0.8
129	Wyoming	FBS	Mountain West Conference	-3.9	+0.5	-3.7
130	Eastern Michigan	FBS	Mid-American Conference	-4.9	+7.0	+7.3
131	Kennesaw State	FBS	Conference USA	-6.4	-5.1	+1.9
132	Delaware	FBS	Conference USA	-6.6	-11.9	-6.1
133	Charlotte	FBS	American Conference	-6.6	-3.5	+3.7
134	North Texas	FBS	American Conference	-6.7	-4.5	+2.6
135	Missouri State	FBS	Conference USA	-15.3	-11.2	+15.7

Elo — live 2026 · week 2

#	Team	Div	Elo
1	Indiana	FBS	1778
2	Notre Dame	FBS	1749
3	Georgia	FBS	1746
4	Ohio State	FBS	1745
5	Texas Tech	FBS	1723
6	Miami	FBS	1719
7	Ole Miss	FBS	1715
8	Alabama	FBS	1708
9	James Madison	FBS	1703
10	Texas	FBS	1701
11	Oregon	FBS	1698
12	SMU	FBS	1695
13	Utah	FBS	1693
14	Texas A&M	FBS	1691
15	BYU	FBS	1681
16	USC	FBS	1676
17	Vanderbilt	FBS	1671
18	Penn State	FBS	1671
19	Iowa	FBS	1664
20	Tennessee	FBS	1655
21	Duke	FBS	1649
22	Louisville	FBS	1644
23	Michigan	FBS	1642
24	Washington	FBS	1641
25	South Florida	FBS	1636

Independent check — SP+ reference, not an input

SP+ is built by someone else from different inputs. Showing it beside our number is the point: two honest estimates, and where they disagree you can see it instead of taking our word for it. Nothing here is fitted to agree with SP+ — it is a yardstick, never an input. Across the 127 teams both systems rate, rank agreement is 0.95 (1.00 = identical order).

Where we disagree most

SP+ top 25