BallKnowMe college football, by the numbers

Power Ratings — 2022 136 teams

Power = points vs. an average D1 team (Off + Def), opponent-adjusted, FBS and FCS on one scale. Point-in-time and calibrated (walk-forward ECE 0.037), but a model rating — not a betting edge.

#	Team	Div	Conference	Power	Off (higher = better)	Def (higher = better)
1	Georgia	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+38.4	+17.9	+20.5
2	Ohio State	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+33.8	+24.3	+9.5
3	Alabama	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+33.2	+18.7	+14.4
4	Michigan	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+32.5	+18.2	+14.2
5	Penn State	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+29.5	+13.5	+16.0
6	Tennessee	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+28.3	+21.7	+6.6
7	Utah	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+27.6	+15.2	+12.4
8	Kansas State	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+26.3	+11.1	+15.2
9	Texas	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+25.6	+13.3	+12.4
10	TCU	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+25.6	+18.4	+7.2
11	Clemson	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+25.4	+10.9	+14.5
12	Oregon State	FBS	Pac-12 Conference	+24.2	+10.8	+13.4
13	Oregon	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+23.6	+16.0	+7.6
14	LSU	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+23.5	+12.7	+10.8
15	Florida State	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+22.5	+12.8	+9.6
16	Notre Dame	FBS	FBS Independents	+22.2	+11.1	+11.2
17	Iowa	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+22.2	+1.6	+20.6
18	Mississippi State	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+21.9	+11.1	+10.7
19	USC	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+21.5	+18.2	+3.3
20	Illinois	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+21.5	+4.2	+17.2
21	Oklahoma	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+20.7	+14.2	+6.5
22	Minnesota	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+20.5	+6.0	+14.6
23	Louisville	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+20.4	+7.5	+13.0
24	Washington	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+20.0	+13.1	+6.9
25	Ole Miss	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+19.9	+12.9	+6.9
26	UCLA	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+19.5	+16.3	+3.2
27	Iowa State	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+19.3	+2.0	+17.2
28	Baylor	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+18.7	+9.8	+8.9
29	Arkansas	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+18.7	+12.8	+5.9
30	Pittsburgh	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+18.6	+10.2	+8.4
31	Wake Forest	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+18.5	+15.5	+3.0
32	Wisconsin	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+18.2	+6.6	+11.7
33	Tulane	FBS	American Conference	+17.7	+9.9	+7.8
34	Texas Tech	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+17.5	+12.4	+5.1
35	Cincinnati	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+17.5	+5.7	+11.8
36	Kentucky	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+17.4	+1.9	+15.5
37	Oklahoma State	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+17.2	+9.3	+7.9
38	Florida	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+17.2	+10.0	+7.2
38	Air Force	FBS	Mountain West Conference	+17.2	+4.2	+13.0
39	Maryland	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+16.4	+7.1	+9.3
40	Texas A&M	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+16.2	+2.1	+14.2
41	South Carolina	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+15.9	+10.1	+5.8
42	Washington State	FBS	Pac-12 Conference	+15.8	+5.0	+10.7
43	NC State	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+15.6	+2.5	+13.1
44	Auburn	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+15.5	+6.9	+8.6
45	Purdue	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+15.4	+9.6	+5.9
46	Boise State	FBS	Mountain West Conference	+15.3	+6.2	+9.1
47	North Carolina	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+15.1	+13.8	+1.4
48	Fresno State	FBS	Mountain West Conference	+15.0	+6.4	+8.6
49	James Madison	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	+14.7	+8.3	+6.3
50	UCF	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+14.6	+8.4	+6.2
51	Duke	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+13.9	+7.6	+6.3
52	Missouri	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+13.9	+4.9	+9.0
53	SMU	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+13.5	+13.8	-0.4
54	Houston	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+13.2	+11.1	+2.1
55	Michigan State	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+13.1	+6.1	+7.0
56	BYU	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+13.1	+8.3	+4.8
57	Syracuse	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+13.1	+5.3	+7.7
58	Kansas	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+13.1	+13.4	-0.4
59	Memphis	FBS	American Conference	+12.8	+7.7	+5.1
60	East Carolina	FBS	American Conference	+12.7	+8.7	+4.0
61	UTSA	FBS	American Conference	+12.6	+9.7	+3.0
62	West Virginia	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+12.4	+8.6	+3.8
63	Western Kentucky	FBS	Conference USA	+11.2	+9.2	+1.9
64	Nebraska	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+10.9	+4.2	+6.7
65	Troy	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	+10.7	-0.7	+11.4
66	Marshall	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	+10.5	-1.3	+11.8
67	California	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+9.8	+0.7	+9.0
68	App State	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	+9.7	+9.2	+0.5
69	Louisiana	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	+8.9	+1.2	+7.6
70	Army	FBS	American Conference	+8.6	+3.1	+5.5
71	Arizona State	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+8.3	+3.4	+4.9
72	UAB	FBS	American Conference	+8.3	+1.8	+6.5
73	South Alabama	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	+8.1	+2.3	+5.8
74	Navy	FBS	American Conference	+7.9	-0.7	+8.6
75	Indiana	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+7.4	+4.1	+3.3
76	Toledo	FBS	Mid-American Conference	+7.4	+4.1	+3.3
77	Liberty	FBS	Conference USA	+7.4	+3.1	+4.3
78	Arizona	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+7.2	+7.9	-0.7
79	Vanderbilt	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+6.5	+4.2	+2.3
80	San Diego State	FBS	Mountain West Conference	+6.4	-2.7	+9.0
81	Tulsa	FBS	American Conference	+6.3	+5.5	+0.9
82	Delaware	FBS	Conference USA	+6.2	-0.3	+6.5
83	Miami	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+6.1	+2.1	+4.0
84	Virginia	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+6.0	-0.7	+6.7
85	Stanford	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+5.6	+1.2	+4.4
86	Ohio	FBS	Mid-American Conference	+5.4	+5.2	+0.1
87	Jacksonville State	FBS	Conference USA	+5.3	+2.1	+3.2
88	San José State	FBS	Mountain West Conference	+5.2	+0.2	+5.0
89	Coastal Carolina	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	+4.8	+5.8	-1.0
90	Georgia Tech	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+4.7	-1.9	+6.6
91	Georgia State	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	+4.7	+4.3	+0.3
92	North Texas	FBS	American Conference	+4.6	+6.2	-1.5
93	Northwestern	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+3.5	-2.9	+6.4
94	Virginia Tech	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+3.3	-2.9	+6.2
95	Florida Atlantic	FBS	American Conference	+3.3	+0.1	+3.1
96	Rutgers	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+3.2	-1.9	+5.0
97	Missouri State	FBS	Conference USA	+3.1	+1.6	+1.6
98	Wyoming	FBS	Mountain West Conference	+3.0	-2.0	+5.0
99	Georgia Southern	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	+2.3	+5.8	-3.5
100	Middle Tennessee	FBS	Conference USA	+2.0	+2.5	-0.5
101	Buffalo	FBS	Mid-American Conference	+1.9	+1.0	+0.9
102	Boston College	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+1.8	-1.9	+3.7
103	Utah State	FBS	Mountain West Conference	+1.8	+2.0	-0.3
104	Kent State	FBS	Mid-American Conference	+1.4	+3.1	-1.7
105	Eastern Michigan	FBS	Mid-American Conference	+1.0	+3.1	-2.1
106	UNLV	FBS	Mountain West Conference	+0.7	+1.8	-1.1
107	Southern Miss	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	-0.0	-3.0	+3.0
108	Old Dominion	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	-0.1	-4.2	+4.1
109	Miami (OH)	FBS	Mid-American Conference	-0.2	-4.1	+3.9
110	Ball State	FBS	Mid-American Conference	-0.7	-3.4	+2.7
111	Central Michigan	FBS	Mid-American Conference	-1.1	-0.6	-0.5
112	South Florida	FBS	American Conference	-1.2	+4.8	-6.1
113	Western Michigan	FBS	Mid-American Conference	-1.3	-5.1	+3.8
114	Sam Houston	FBS	Conference USA	-1.4	-6.2	+4.8
115	UConn	FBS	FBS Independents	-1.7	-2.9	+1.2
116	UTEP	FBS	Conference USA	-2.1	-3.9	+1.8
117	Nevada	FBS	Mountain West Conference	-2.2	-0.9	-1.3
118	Temple	FBS	American Conference	-2.3	-2.3	+0.0
119	New Mexico State	FBS	Conference USA	-3.1	-1.7	-1.3
120	Colorado State	FBS	Mountain West Conference	-3.1	-7.0	+3.9
121	Colorado	FBS	Big 12 Conference	-3.1	-1.2	-1.9
122	Northern Illinois	FBS	Mid-American Conference	-3.2	+2.2	-5.4
123	UL Monroe	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	-3.2	-0.1	-3.2
124	Rice	FBS	American Conference	-3.9	-1.4	-2.5
125	Hawai'i	FBS	Mountain West Conference	-4.7	-1.5	-3.3
126	Texas State	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	-5.0	-5.2	+0.2
127	Louisiana Tech	FBS	Conference USA	-5.0	+2.8	-7.8
128	Kennesaw State	FBS	Conference USA	-5.0	-0.7	-4.3
129	Arkansas State	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	-5.4	+0.2	-5.6
130	Bowling Green	FBS	Mid-American Conference	-6.0	-3.0	-3.0
131	Akron	FBS	Mid-American Conference	-6.1	-3.8	-2.4
132	Charlotte	FBS	American Conference	-9.0	-0.6	-8.4
133	New Mexico	FBS	Mountain West Conference	-9.0	-10.9	+1.9
134	Florida International	FBS	Conference USA	-14.2	-7.3	-6.9
135	Massachusetts	FBS	Mid-American Conference	-15.3	-11.4	-4.0

SRS — season 2022 reference

The prior per-season opponent-adjusted-margin rating, kept for comparison. Season-final only (no preseason or point-in-time), which is why the rewrite replaced it as the headline number.

#	Team	Div	Conference	SRS	Off (higher = better)	Def (lower = better)
1	Georgia	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+43.2	+29.5	-30.9
2	Ohio State	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+38.2	+34.2	-21.0
3	Alabama	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+37.5	+28.8	-25.5
4	Michigan	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+37.1	+28.3	-24.0
5	Tennessee	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+35.8	+34.1	-19.5
6	Penn State	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+34.2	+23.7	-24.5
7	TCU	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+33.0	+27.0	-16.6
8	Kansas State	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+32.5	+21.2	-23.8
9	Utah	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+32.5	+24.1	-21.4
10	Texas	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+32.4	+22.2	-25.0
11	Oregon State	FBS	Pac-12 Conference	+30.6	+18.1	-23.0
12	Clemson	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+30.1	+19.1	-20.9
13	LSU	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+29.8	+23.6	-21.7
14	Florida State	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+29.6	+22.7	-18.6
15	USC	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+29.2	+28.2	-12.7
16	Oregon	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+29.0	+24.4	-15.6
17	Mississippi State	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+28.1	+20.6	-20.4
18	Illinois	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+27.9	+13.1	-26.4
19	Washington	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+27.3	+24.6	-14.6
20	Tulane	FBS	American Conference	+26.4	+18.9	-17.8
21	Louisville	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+26.4	+14.6	-21.6
22	Notre Dame	FBS	FBS Independents	+26.3	+18.1	-18.6
23	Iowa	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+25.6	+8.1	-27.2
24	Oklahoma	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+25.5	+21.1	-14.3
25	Minnesota	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+25.1	+14.7	-23.0
26	UCLA	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+24.6	+23.1	-11.1
27	Ole Miss	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+24.2	+21.6	-16.1
28	Texas Tech	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+23.7	+21.6	-14.6
29	Iowa State	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+23.7	+7.8	-25.1
30	Wake Forest	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+23.6	+21.6	-10.4
31	Duke	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+23.6	+15.8	-14.8
32	Baylor	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+23.2	+18.9	-15.9
33	Florida	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+22.7	+18.4	-15.7
34	Arkansas	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+22.7	+21.0	-12.7
35	Pittsburgh	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+22.6	+16.5	-15.0
36	South Carolina	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+22.5	+19.0	-12.7
37	Kansas	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+22.3	+23.1	-9.0
38	Kentucky	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+22.0	+8.4	-23.5
39	Maryland	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+21.9	+14.9	-19.2
40	Washington State	FBS	Pac-12 Conference	+21.4	+12.6	-19.6
41	Air Force	FBS	Mountain West Conference	+21.4	+9.3	-19.4
42	UCF	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+21.4	+17.0	-14.8
43	Wisconsin	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+20.9	+15.8	-19.0
44	Cincinnati	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+20.8	+11.6	-18.7
45	Missouri	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+20.5	+11.3	-18.3
46	North Carolina	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+20.4	+19.8	-8.1
47	Fresno State	FBS	Mountain West Conference	+20.4	+12.2	-14.9
48	NC State	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+20.2	+9.4	-20.7
49	Memphis	FBS	American Conference	+20.1	+16.2	-13.7
50	Oklahoma State	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+20.0	+16.7	-13.7
51	Auburn	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+19.5	+15.6	-16.3
52	Purdue	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+19.5	+16.9	-13.1
53	East Carolina	FBS	American Conference	+19.5	+16.0	-11.1
54	UTSA	FBS	American Conference	+19.4	+17.0	-10.0
55	Texas A&M	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+19.2	+9.3	-20.7
56	Boise State	FBS	Mountain West Conference	+19.0	+12.1	-14.2
57	Syracuse	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+19.0	+13.7	-15.3
58	James Madison	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	+18.8	+16.0	-13.4
59	Houston	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+18.6	+18.6	-9.1
60	Troy	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	+18.6	+6.7	-19.0
61	SMU	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+18.4	+20.4	-6.7
62	West Virginia	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+17.8	+18.4	-10.3
63	Michigan State	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+16.6	+14.3	-15.4
64	Western Kentucky	FBS	Conference USA	+16.6	+16.3	-11.5
65	South Alabama	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	+16.3	+10.6	-13.0
66	BYU	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+16.2	+13.4	-10.7
67	Marshall	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	+15.7	+3.7	-19.0
68	California	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+15.5	+9.0	-15.8
69	Navy	FBS	American Conference	+14.7	+6.6	-15.8
70	Arizona	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+14.7	+17.6	-6.9
71	Vanderbilt	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+14.4	+12.2	-7.9
72	Louisiana	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	+14.2	+7.4	-13.3
73	Nebraska	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+14.0	+10.6	-13.3
74	App State	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	+13.6	+16.4	-5.7
75	UAB	FBS	American Conference	+13.5	+8.2	-13.4
76	Ohio	FBS	Mid-American Conference	+13.2	+12.2	-6.0
77	Toledo	FBS	Mid-American Conference	+13.1	+9.8	-8.1
78	Army	FBS	American Conference	+12.9	+8.4	-10.7
79	Liberty	FBS	Conference USA	+12.7	+8.2	-9.3
80	North Texas	FBS	American Conference	+12.6	+13.3	-4.8
81	Indiana	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+12.5	+12.8	-9.9
82	Arizona State	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+12.1	+10.6	-11.0
83	Stanford	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+11.5	+8.0	-11.5
84	Tulsa	FBS	American Conference	+11.4	+13.1	-6.2
85	San José State	FBS	Mountain West Conference	+11.2	+6.9	-9.5
86	San Diego State	FBS	Mountain West Conference	+10.4	+2.5	-14.1
87	Georgia Tech	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+10.4	+4.0	-13.8
88	Florida Atlantic	FBS	American Conference	+10.4	+8.5	-9.5
89	Virginia	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+10.4	+3.9	-14.3
90	Delaware	FBS	Conference USA	+10.3	+1.2	-7.5
91	Georgia State	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	+10.2	+10.8	-6.6
92	Miami	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+10.0	+7.4	-10.7
93	Georgia Southern	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	+9.6	+14.6	-2.8
94	Coastal Carolina	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	+9.3	+10.9	-4.4
95	Southern Miss	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	+9.2	+5.5	-10.7
96	Buffalo	FBS	Mid-American Conference	+9.1	+7.0	-7.5
97	Northwestern	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+8.9	+4.4	-13.4
98	Kent State	FBS	Mid-American Conference	+8.6	+8.7	-7.6
99	Jacksonville State	FBS	Conference USA	+8.4	+3.8	-4.1
100	Middle Tennessee	FBS	Conference USA	+7.9	+8.6	-4.8
101	Virginia Tech	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+7.5	+2.8	-11.6
102	Eastern Michigan	FBS	Mid-American Conference	+7.5	+8.5	-3.8
103	UNLV	FBS	Mountain West Conference	+7.4	+7.9	-4.1
104	Wyoming	FBS	Mountain West Conference	+7.4	+3.0	-9.7
105	Rutgers	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+7.2	+4.7	-10.7
106	Temple	FBS	American Conference	+6.2	+4.5	-6.8
107	Boston College	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+6.1	+4.0	-8.5
108	Old Dominion	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	+5.6	+1.8	-10.8
109	UConn	FBS	FBS Independents	+5.6	+1.7	-6.1
110	Utah State	FBS	Mountain West Conference	+5.3	+5.7	-3.7
111	Ball State	FBS	Mid-American Conference	+5.2	+1.7	-7.7
112	UTEP	FBS	Conference USA	+4.9	+2.4	-7.9
113	South Florida	FBS	American Conference	+4.7	+11.7	+0.3
114	Miami (OH)	FBS	Mid-American Conference	+4.4	+0.9	-8.7
115	UL Monroe	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	+3.9	+6.0	-1.9
116	Rice	FBS	American Conference	+3.7	+4.9	-3.0
117	Central Michigan	FBS	Mid-American Conference	+3.6	+4.8	-4.8
118	Missouri State	FBS	Conference USA	+3.5	+2.5	-4.3
119	New Mexico State	FBS	Conference USA	+3.1	+2.8	-4.9
120	Western Michigan	FBS	Mid-American Conference	+2.9	-1.7	-10.4
121	Arkansas State	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	+2.8	+7.3	-3.1
122	Texas State	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	+2.7	+0.8	-7.3
123	Akron	FBS	Mid-American Conference	+2.0	+1.3	-3.0
124	Bowling Green	FBS	Mid-American Conference	+1.9	+4.2	-2.5
125	Northern Illinois	FBS	Mid-American Conference	+1.9	+6.9	+0.2
126	Louisiana Tech	FBS	Conference USA	+1.7	+8.5	+2.7
127	Colorado	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+1.4	+4.1	-2.0
128	Colorado State	FBS	Mountain West Conference	+0.7	-4.1	-8.7
129	Nevada	FBS	Mountain West Conference	+0.3	+1.8	-3.0
130	Hawai'i	FBS	Mountain West Conference	-0.8	+0.9	+0.8
131	Charlotte	FBS	American Conference	-2.3	+4.3	+3.5
132	New Mexico	FBS	Mountain West Conference	-2.6	-4.5	-7.2
133	Sam Houston	FBS	Conference USA	-4.0	-10.1	-6.5
134	Kennesaw State	FBS	Conference USA	-5.2	-0.6	+6.0
135	Florida International	FBS	Conference USA	-6.1	-4.3	+3.1
136	Massachusetts	FBS	Mid-American Conference	-7.2	-7.0	-2.0

Elo — live 2026 · week 2

#	Team	Div	Elo
1	Indiana	FBS	1778
2	Notre Dame	FBS	1749
3	Georgia	FBS	1746
4	Ohio State	FBS	1745
5	Texas Tech	FBS	1723
6	Miami	FBS	1719
7	Ole Miss	FBS	1715
8	Alabama	FBS	1708
9	James Madison	FBS	1703
10	Texas	FBS	1701
11	Oregon	FBS	1698
12	SMU	FBS	1695
13	Utah	FBS	1693
14	Texas A&M	FBS	1691
15	BYU	FBS	1681
16	USC	FBS	1676
17	Vanderbilt	FBS	1671
18	Penn State	FBS	1671
19	Iowa	FBS	1664
20	Tennessee	FBS	1655
21	Duke	FBS	1649
22	Louisville	FBS	1644
23	Michigan	FBS	1642
24	Washington	FBS	1641
25	South Florida	FBS	1636

Independent check — SP+ reference, not an input

SP+ is built by someone else from different inputs. Showing it beside our number is the point: two honest estimates, and where they disagree you can see it instead of taking our word for it. Nothing here is fitted to agree with SP+ — it is a yardstick, never an input. Across the 131 teams both systems rate, rank agreement is 0.97 (1.00 = identical order).

Where we disagree most

SP+ top 25