BallKnowMe college football, by the numbers

Power Ratings — 2023 136 teams

Power = points vs. an average D1 team (Off + Def), opponent-adjusted, FBS and FCS on one scale. Point-in-time and calibrated (walk-forward ECE 0.037), but a model rating — not a betting edge.

#	Team	Div	Conference	Power	Off (higher = better)	Def (higher = better)
1	Michigan	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+37.9	+17.5	+20.4
2	Georgia	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+35.7	+18.4	+17.2
3	Ohio State	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+34.7	+13.4	+21.2
4	Oregon	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+33.2	+18.8	+14.5
5	Texas	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+33.1	+16.4	+16.6
6	Penn State	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+32.0	+15.0	+16.9
7	Alabama	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+31.6	+15.3	+16.3
8	Kansas State	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+29.9	+16.6	+13.3
9	Notre Dame	FBS	FBS Independents	+29.7	+16.4	+13.2
10	Washington	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+28.7	+17.4	+11.2
11	Oklahoma	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+28.1	+19.0	+9.1
12	Florida State	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+27.6	+13.9	+13.7
13	Missouri	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+27.6	+12.6	+15.0
14	LSU	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+26.8	+23.1	+3.7
15	Ole Miss	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+25.7	+15.1	+10.6
16	Tennessee	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+24.7	+13.6	+11.1
17	Arizona	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+23.8	+13.1	+10.8
18	Oregon State	FBS	Pac-12 Conference	+23.8	+12.1	+11.7
19	Kansas	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+22.0	+15.0	+7.1
20	Clemson	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+21.5	+9.7	+11.8
21	Texas A&M	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+21.5	+10.1	+11.5
22	USC	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+21.2	+21.8	-0.6
23	Louisville	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+20.9	+9.0	+11.9
24	TCU	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+20.9	+13.1	+7.8
25	Maryland	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+20.9	+11.2	+9.7
26	Iowa State	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+20.7	+6.7	+14.0
27	Duke	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+20.5	+7.9	+12.6
28	Utah	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+20.4	+4.7	+15.8
29	Texas Tech	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+20.1	+9.6	+10.5
30	Troy	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	+19.4	+4.6	+14.8
31	West Virginia	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+19.1	+10.8	+8.4
32	UCLA	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+19.1	+5.7	+13.4
33	Oklahoma State	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+18.9	+11.4	+7.4
34	Kentucky	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+18.5	+9.3	+9.3
35	NC State	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+17.8	+5.6	+12.2
36	James Madison	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	+17.8	+8.8	+9.0
37	SMU	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+17.5	+10.4	+7.1
38	Boise State	FBS	Mountain West Conference	+17.3	+9.5	+7.8
39	North Carolina	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+17.2	+13.2	+4.0
40	UCF	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+17.1	+9.1	+8.0
41	Iowa	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+17.1	-2.2	+19.3
42	Wisconsin	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+17.0	+4.4	+12.6
43	Miami	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+16.8	+9.1	+7.7
44	Auburn	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+16.7	+5.1	+11.7
45	Washington State	FBS	Pac-12 Conference	+16.4	+10.5	+5.9
46	Liberty	FBS	Conference USA	+16.3	+12.3	+3.9
47	South Carolina	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+15.9	+7.8	+8.1
48	Memphis	FBS	American Conference	+15.7	+14.3	+1.4
49	Florida	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+15.6	+8.8	+6.9
50	Virginia Tech	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+15.0	+7.9	+7.1
51	California	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+14.6	+10.0	+4.6
52	UTSA	FBS	American Conference	+14.2	+8.1	+6.2
53	Tulane	FBS	American Conference	+14.0	+3.0	+11.0
54	Air Force	FBS	Mountain West Conference	+13.7	+4.0	+9.7
55	Arkansas	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+13.4	+7.0	+6.4
56	Rutgers	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+13.2	+3.8	+9.4
57	Georgia Tech	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+13.1	+8.9	+4.3
58	Nebraska	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+13.0	-0.4	+13.4
59	App State	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	+12.8	+10.7	+2.1
60	South Alabama	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	+12.5	+5.9	+6.6
61	Mississippi State	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+12.0	+2.7	+9.4
62	BYU	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+11.8	+5.3	+6.5
63	Northwestern	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+11.7	+3.6	+8.1
64	Minnesota	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+11.7	+4.1	+7.5
65	Illinois	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+11.6	+6.2	+5.5
66	Toledo	FBS	Mid-American Conference	+11.0	+6.2	+4.8
67	Purdue	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+10.9	+8.3	+2.6
68	UNLV	FBS	Mountain West Conference	+10.9	+10.0	+0.8
69	Fresno State	FBS	Mountain West Conference	+10.9	+4.9	+6.0
70	San José State	FBS	Mountain West Conference	+10.7	+5.1	+5.6
71	Colorado	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+9.8	+9.0	+0.8
72	Wake Forest	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+9.7	+4.0	+5.7
73	Wyoming	FBS	Mountain West Conference	+9.7	+1.0	+8.7
74	Miami (OH)	FBS	Mid-American Conference	+9.6	-0.9	+10.5
75	Pittsburgh	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+9.4	+2.7	+6.8
76	Houston	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+9.4	+5.6	+3.8
77	Michigan State	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+9.4	+2.2	+7.2
78	Coastal Carolina	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	+9.2	+4.0	+5.2
79	Western Kentucky	FBS	Conference USA	+9.0	+8.3	+0.7
80	Jacksonville State	FBS	Conference USA	+8.8	+3.3	+5.6
81	Cincinnati	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+8.5	+3.4	+5.1
82	Ohio	FBS	Mid-American Conference	+8.4	-0.2	+8.6
83	Indiana	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+8.4	+5.0	+3.3
84	Baylor	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+7.8	+5.1	+2.8
85	Syracuse	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+7.6	+1.0	+6.6
86	Louisiana	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	+7.3	+7.0	+0.3
87	Arizona State	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+7.0	+0.2	+6.8
88	Texas State	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	+7.0	+9.7	-2.7
89	Boston College	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+6.7	+3.1	+3.7
90	Virginia	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+6.5	+4.3	+2.2
91	Bowling Green	FBS	Mid-American Conference	+6.3	+2.7	+3.5
92	Army	FBS	American Conference	+5.9	-2.2	+8.2
93	Georgia State	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	+5.6	+3.8	+1.8
94	Stanford	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+5.6	+2.4	+3.2
95	New Mexico State	FBS	Conference USA	+5.4	+0.5	+4.9
96	Delaware	FBS	Conference USA	+5.0	+2.8	+2.2
97	Marshall	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	+4.7	+0.5	+4.2
98	Rice	FBS	American Conference	+4.2	+3.7	+0.4
99	South Florida	FBS	American Conference	+4.0	+7.8	-3.7
100	East Carolina	FBS	American Conference	+3.9	-3.1	+7.0
101	Arkansas State	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	+3.7	+3.0	+0.6
102	Florida Atlantic	FBS	American Conference	+3.6	-0.5	+4.1
103	Northern Illinois	FBS	Mid-American Conference	+3.4	+0.3	+3.1
104	Navy	FBS	American Conference	+3.2	-5.5	+8.7
105	Vanderbilt	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+3.2	+3.4	-0.2
106	Old Dominion	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	+3.1	-1.3	+4.4
107	North Texas	FBS	American Conference	+3.1	+9.2	-6.2
108	Middle Tennessee	FBS	Conference USA	+3.0	+1.3	+1.7
109	Utah State	FBS	Mountain West Conference	+2.9	+8.9	-6.0
110	Georgia Southern	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	+2.7	+5.7	-3.0
111	San Diego State	FBS	Mountain West Conference	+2.5	-2.3	+4.8
112	Missouri State	FBS	Conference USA	+1.8	+3.0	-1.2
113	Colorado State	FBS	Mountain West Conference	+1.4	-0.0	+1.4
114	UAB	FBS	American Conference	+1.0	+4.9	-3.9
115	Tulsa	FBS	American Conference	+0.5	+2.0	-1.4
116	Southern Miss	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	-0.1	+2.1	-2.1
117	Ball State	FBS	Mid-American Conference	-0.9	-5.4	+4.4
118	Sam Houston	FBS	Conference USA	-1.4	-4.8	+3.4
119	UConn	FBS	FBS Independents	-1.5	-3.7	+2.2
120	Western Michigan	FBS	Mid-American Conference	-1.6	+1.5	-3.2
121	Buffalo	FBS	Mid-American Conference	-2.1	-2.9	+0.8
122	Hawai'i	FBS	Mountain West Conference	-2.2	-0.5	-1.7
123	UTEP	FBS	Conference USA	-2.3	-4.5	+2.2
124	Central Michigan	FBS	Mid-American Conference	-2.6	-0.4	-2.2
125	New Mexico	FBS	Mountain West Conference	-3.3	+0.9	-4.1
126	Louisiana Tech	FBS	Conference USA	-3.7	+2.4	-6.0
127	Eastern Michigan	FBS	Mid-American Conference	-4.3	-4.6	+0.3
128	UL Monroe	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	-5.0	-3.8	-1.2
129	Charlotte	FBS	American Conference	-5.1	-5.5	+0.4
130	Nevada	FBS	Mountain West Conference	-5.5	-6.0	+0.6
131	Massachusetts	FBS	Mid-American Conference	-5.8	+0.7	-6.6
132	Temple	FBS	American Conference	-6.4	-3.4	-3.0
133	Akron	FBS	Mid-American Conference	-8.5	-6.9	-1.6
134	Kennesaw State	FBS	Conference USA	-8.9	-6.3	-2.6
135	Florida International	FBS	Conference USA	-9.1	-5.9	-3.2
136	Kent State	FBS	Mid-American Conference	-11.5	-5.7	-5.8

SRS — season 2023 reference

The prior per-season opponent-adjusted-margin rating, kept for comparison. Season-final only (no preseason or point-in-time), which is why the rewrite replaced it as the headline number.

#	Team	Div	Conference	SRS	Off (higher = better)	Def (lower = better)
1	Michigan	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+40.8	+25.4	-29.0
2	Oregon	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+39.1	+29.5	-26.4
3	Georgia	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+37.8	+26.9	-25.3
4	Ohio State	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+37.6	+18.7	-30.5
5	Texas	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+37.1	+24.4	-24.8
6	Penn State	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+34.8	+24.1	-25.8
7	Kansas State	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+34.0	+25.3	-20.5
8	Washington	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+33.9	+25.7	-19.9
9	Notre Dame	FBS	FBS Independents	+33.8	+25.7	-21.8
10	Alabama	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+33.7	+22.6	-24.5
11	Oklahoma	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+32.6	+29.0	-18.5
12	Missouri	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+32.2	+20.6	-22.5
13	Florida State	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+31.3	+20.2	-20.7
14	Arizona	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+30.4	+21.4	-20.3
15	LSU	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+29.7	+33.6	-10.8
16	Ole Miss	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+28.7	+22.6	-18.3
17	Oregon State	FBS	Pac-12 Conference	+28.2	+20.5	-19.3
18	Tennessee	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+26.9	+19.5	-19.9
19	Kansas	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+26.6	+21.6	-15.3
20	USC	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+25.9	+31.5	-7.6
21	Texas A&M	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+25.6	+19.3	-18.6
22	Louisville	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+25.0	+16.2	-19.8
23	Maryland	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+24.7	+17.6	-15.2
24	Duke	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+24.7	+13.9	-19.7
25	Troy	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	+24.4	+10.1	-19.6
26	Clemson	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+23.9	+16.2	-17.9
27	Texas Tech	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+23.8	+15.1	-17.2
28	TCU	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+23.4	+18.7	-14.4
29	Utah	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+23.2	+10.7	-23.9
30	Iowa State	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+23.1	+13.8	-18.9
31	UCLA	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+23.0	+10.9	-22.5
32	West Virginia	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+22.5	+16.8	-14.6
33	Oklahoma State	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+22.4	+18.0	-13.7
34	James Madison	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	+22.3	+14.1	-15.3
35	Liberty	FBS	Conference USA	+22.1	+18.5	-8.6
36	Miami	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+21.9	+16.7	-14.6
37	NC State	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+21.5	+12.4	-17.8
38	Washington State	FBS	Pac-12 Conference	+21.5	+19.1	-12.2
39	Boise State	FBS	Mountain West Conference	+21.4	+15.5	-13.3
40	Kentucky	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+21.4	+16.7	-13.4
41	UCF	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+20.9	+16.5	-15.5
42	SMU	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+20.9	+17.8	-16.1
43	North Carolina	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+20.5	+19.2	-11.1
44	Wisconsin	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+19.5	+9.8	-18.5
45	Virginia Tech	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+19.5	+15.6	-12.7
46	Auburn	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+19.4	+11.6	-19.1
47	California	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+19.1	+18.5	-10.0
48	Iowa	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+18.9	+2.8	-24.8
49	Memphis	FBS	American Conference	+18.6	+20.3	-5.2
50	South Carolina	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+18.3	+14.0	-15.0
51	Rutgers	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+18.0	+11.4	-16.3
52	Florida	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+17.9	+15.2	-13.3
53	Georgia Tech	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+17.7	+16.9	-9.9
54	Air Force	FBS	Mountain West Conference	+17.6	+9.3	-14.9
55	UNLV	FBS	Mountain West Conference	+16.7	+17.3	-7.3
56	Nebraska	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+16.7	+4.1	-19.7
57	UTSA	FBS	American Conference	+16.7	+12.1	-10.9
58	App State	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	+16.7	+15.2	-6.3
59	Colorado	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+16.5	+17.7	-7.4
60	South Alabama	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	+16.2	+12.7	-12.6
61	Tulane	FBS	American Conference	+16.2	+6.7	-16.5
62	Northwestern	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+16.2	+10.4	-13.7
63	San José State	FBS	Mountain West Conference	+15.6	+12.3	-12.5
64	Arkansas	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+15.4	+11.9	-12.4
65	Wyoming	FBS	Mountain West Conference	+15.4	+7.6	-15.2
66	Toledo	FBS	Mid-American Conference	+15.1	+11.2	-10.2
67	BYU	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+14.5	+10.5	-12.1
68	Fresno State	FBS	Mountain West Conference	+14.5	+10.1	-11.1
69	Miami (OH)	FBS	Mid-American Conference	+14.2	+2.8	-15.1
70	Coastal Carolina	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	+13.8	+8.6	-10.8
71	Jacksonville State	FBS	Conference USA	+13.5	+8.3	-10.5
72	Minnesota	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+13.0	+8.8	-10.6
72	Purdue	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+13.0	+14.0	-7.5
73	Western Kentucky	FBS	Conference USA	+12.9	+11.6	-3.8
74	Mississippi State	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+12.9	+7.2	-15.3
75	Illinois	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+12.7	+12.7	-8.8
76	Texas State	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	+12.2	+15.7	-0.3
77	Michigan State	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+12.2	+5.9	-10.9
78	Arizona State	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+12.0	+5.9	-12.9
79	Bowling Green	FBS	Mid-American Conference	+11.8	+7.5	-8.5
80	Houston	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+11.8	+10.5	-9.9
81	Ohio	FBS	Mid-American Conference	+11.5	+2.4	-13.5
82	Indiana	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+11.4	+10.6	-8.5
83	New Mexico State	FBS	Conference USA	+11.4	+4.9	-10.4
84	Boston College	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+11.2	+9.7	-9.1
85	Virginia	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+10.8	+10.8	-6.5
86	Stanford	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+10.7	+8.2	-8.2
87	Louisiana	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	+10.7	+11.7	-2.9
88	Wake Forest	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+10.7	+6.8	-11.3
89	Pittsburgh	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+10.6	+6.7	-11.3
90	Cincinnati	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+10.0	+10.0	-9.9
91	Georgia State	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	+9.7	+7.6	-6.2
92	Syracuse	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+9.6	+5.8	-12.1
93	Arkansas State	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	+9.4	+5.9	-5.2
94	Baylor	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+8.7	+10.1	-7.1
95	Army	FBS	American Conference	+8.6	+0.2	-12.7
96	Rice	FBS	American Conference	+8.4	+10.3	-6.1
97	Middle Tennessee	FBS	Conference USA	+8.0	+5.5	-6.4
98	Utah State	FBS	Mountain West Conference	+7.9	+15.3	+1.3
99	South Florida	FBS	American Conference	+7.8	+12.2	-0.9
100	Northern Illinois	FBS	Mid-American Conference	+7.6	+4.3	-8.3
101	Marshall	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	+7.6	+5.9	-7.2
102	Old Dominion	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	+7.4	+3.3	-8.5
103	Colorado State	FBS	Mountain West Conference	+7.2	+6.7	-6.3
104	Georgia Southern	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	+6.2	+9.9	-1.4
105	North Texas	FBS	American Conference	+6.1	+13.4	+3.0
106	San Diego State	FBS	Mountain West Conference	+6.1	+3.2	-8.8
107	Florida Atlantic	FBS	American Conference	+5.9	+4.5	-8.5
108	Delaware	FBS	Conference USA	+5.4	+3.8	-2.7
109	East Carolina	FBS	American Conference	+5.2	+0.3	-12.3
110	Vanderbilt	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+5.0	+8.9	-4.3
111	Missouri State	FBS	Conference USA	+4.8	+7.4	-2.2
112	Navy	FBS	American Conference	+4.7	-2.8	-11.8
113	New Mexico	FBS	Mountain West Conference	+3.3	+8.0	+0.4
114	Hawai'i	FBS	Mountain West Conference	+3.2	+4.5	-3.4
115	Southern Miss	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	+2.9	+5.1	+1.4
116	Ball State	FBS	Mid-American Conference	+2.7	-1.9	-8.2
117	Tulsa	FBS	American Conference	+2.6	+4.3	-0.2
118	Sam Houston	FBS	Conference USA	+2.4	-0.1	-6.7
119	UConn	FBS	FBS Independents	+2.3	-0.5	-5.1
120	UTEP	FBS	Conference USA	+2.3	+0.5	-6.5
121	UAB	FBS	American Conference	+2.2	+9.6	+1.9
122	Louisiana Tech	FBS	Conference USA	+1.2	+6.9	+1.8
123	Buffalo	FBS	Mid-American Conference	+0.8	+0.6	-3.7
124	Western Michigan	FBS	Mid-American Conference	+0.8	+6.4	+2.1
125	Central Michigan	FBS	Mid-American Conference	+0.7	+3.8	-1.3
126	Massachusetts	FBS	Mid-American Conference	-0.2	+5.7	+5.1
127	Nevada	FBS	Mountain West Conference	-0.6	-2.6	-5.7
128	UL Monroe	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	-1.1	-1.6	-2.1
129	Charlotte	FBS	American Conference	-1.5	-1.8	-6.1
130	Eastern Michigan	FBS	Mid-American Conference	-1.7	-3.2	-3.3
131	Temple	FBS	American Conference	-3.7	-0.4	+0.6
132	Florida International	FBS	Conference USA	-3.7	-1.7	-1.1
133	Akron	FBS	Mid-American Conference	-5.5	-4.4	-0.7
134	Kent State	FBS	Mid-American Conference	-10.8	-5.1	+5.1
135	Kennesaw State	FBS	Conference USA	-11.6	-9.8	+3.9

Elo — live 2026 · week 2

#	Team	Div	Elo
1	Indiana	FBS	1778
2	Notre Dame	FBS	1749
3	Georgia	FBS	1746
4	Ohio State	FBS	1745
5	Texas Tech	FBS	1723
6	Miami	FBS	1719
7	Ole Miss	FBS	1715
8	Alabama	FBS	1708
9	James Madison	FBS	1703
10	Texas	FBS	1701
11	Oregon	FBS	1698
12	SMU	FBS	1695
13	Utah	FBS	1693
14	Texas A&M	FBS	1691
15	BYU	FBS	1681
16	USC	FBS	1676
17	Vanderbilt	FBS	1671
18	Penn State	FBS	1671
19	Iowa	FBS	1664
20	Tennessee	FBS	1655
21	Duke	FBS	1649
22	Louisville	FBS	1644
23	Michigan	FBS	1642
24	Washington	FBS	1641
25	South Florida	FBS	1636

Independent check — SP+ reference, not an input

SP+ is built by someone else from different inputs. Showing it beside our number is the point: two honest estimates, and where they disagree you can see it instead of taking our word for it. Nothing here is fitted to agree with SP+ — it is a yardstick, never an input. Across the 133 teams both systems rate, rank agreement is 0.97 (1.00 = identical order).

Where we disagree most

SP+ top 25