BallKnowMe college football, by the numbers

Power Ratings — 2016 254 teams

Power = points vs. an average D1 team (Off + Def), opponent-adjusted, FBS and FCS on one scale. Point-in-time and calibrated (walk-forward ECE 0.037), but a model rating — not a betting edge.

#	Team	Div	Conference	Power	Off (higher = better)	Def (higher = better)
1	Alabama	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+39.0	+17.0	+22.0
2	Clemson	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+31.2	+17.9	+13.3
3	Washington	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+29.8	+13.5	+16.2
4	Ohio State	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+29.0	+12.4	+16.5
5	Michigan	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+27.9	+13.3	+14.6
6	LSU	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+27.8	+8.4	+19.4
7	Florida State	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+27.2	+14.6	+12.6
8	Oklahoma	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+26.0	+20.0	+6.0
9	USC	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+25.9	+12.8	+13.1
10	Wisconsin	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+23.8	+6.3	+17.5
11	Miami	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+23.3	+9.8	+13.5
12	North Carolina	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+23.0	+13.5	+9.5
13	Penn State	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+22.9	+14.2	+8.7
14	Louisville	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+22.6	+16.5	+6.1
15	Stanford	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+22.4	+5.8	+16.6
16	North Dakota State	FCS	Missouri Valley Football Conference	+21.5	+5.0	+16.5
17	Virginia Tech	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+21.3	+10.4	+10.9
18	Auburn	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+21.1	+6.3	+14.8
19	Western Michigan	FBS	Mid-American Conference	+20.9	+14.6	+6.2
20	Oklahoma State	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+20.7	+13.9	+6.8
21	Tennessee	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+20.1	+16.6	+3.5
22	Florida	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+19.5	+2.9	+16.5
23	West Virginia	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+19.4	+8.0	+11.5
24	Washington State	FBS	Pac-12 Conference	+19.1	+11.4	+7.7
25	Texas A&M	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+18.9	+10.1	+8.8
26	Pittsburgh	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+18.7	+18.2	+0.5
27	Iowa	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+17.9	+5.1	+12.9
28	Utah	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+17.9	+5.7	+12.2
29	NC State	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+17.9	+6.7	+11.2
30	Colorado	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+17.8	+5.6	+12.2
31	Ole Miss	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+17.8	+15.3	+2.4
32	Western Kentucky	FBS	Conference USA	+17.7	+15.4	+2.3
33	Temple	FBS	American Conference	+17.6	+6.4	+11.2
34	South Florida	FBS	American Conference	+17.6	+17.3	+0.3
35	BYU	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+17.3	+5.8	+11.5
36	Kansas State	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+17.1	+6.3	+10.7
37	Notre Dame	FBS	FBS Independents	+16.6	+11.1	+5.6
38	James Madison	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	+16.5	+16.4	+0.1
39	Houston	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+16.4	+9.2	+7.2
40	Northwestern	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+16.2	+3.3	+12.8
41	Toledo	FBS	Mid-American Conference	+16.1	+11.7	+4.4
42	App State	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	+15.6	+2.5	+13.1
43	Boise State	FBS	Mountain West Conference	+15.6	+7.1	+8.5
44	San Diego State	FBS	Mountain West Conference	+15.4	+4.9	+10.6
45	TCU	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+15.4	+7.9	+7.5
46	Georgia Tech	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+15.4	+6.5	+8.9
47	Minnesota	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+15.2	+5.3	+9.9
48	Eastern Washington	FCS	Big Sky Conference	+15.0	+13.7	+1.3
49	Baylor	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+14.8	+10.7	+4.1
50	Arkansas	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+14.8	+10.3	+4.5
51	Nebraska	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+14.7	+5.2	+9.5
52	Navy	FBS	American Conference	+14.5	+11.0	+3.5
53	Mississippi State	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+14.3	+10.4	+3.9
54	Tulsa	FBS	American Conference	+14.3	+16.2	-1.9
55	Georgia	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+13.1	+3.1	+10.0
56	Memphis	FBS	American Conference	+13.0	+10.5	+2.5
57	South Dakota State	FCS	Missouri Valley Football Conference	+12.9	+8.6	+4.3
58	Charleston Southern	FCS	OVC-Big South Association	+12.9	+7.6	+5.3
59	Chattanooga	FCS	Southern Conference	+12.8	+5.9	+6.9
60	Youngstown State	FCS	Missouri Valley Football Conference	+12.7	+2.3	+10.4
61	Louisiana Tech	FBS	Conference USA	+12.3	+13.7	-1.4
62	San Diego	FCS	Pioneer Football League	+11.9	+3.9	+8.0
63	Sam Houston	FBS	Conference USA	+11.8	+17.2	-5.3
64	UCLA	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+11.8	+3.1	+8.8
65	Jacksonville State	FBS	Conference USA	+11.7	+3.8	+7.9
66	Northern Iowa	FCS	Missouri Valley Football Conference	+11.7	+1.6	+10.1
67	California	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+11.7	+16.8	-5.2
68	Coastal Carolina	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	+11.2	+8.0	+3.3
69	Texas Tech	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+11.1	+20.4	-9.3
70	Princeton	FCS	Ivy League	+11.1	+4.9	+6.2
71	Oregon	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+11.0	+16.8	-5.8
72	Texas	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+10.9	+5.3	+5.7
73	Michigan State	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+10.7	+3.6	+7.2
74	Air Force	FBS	Mountain West Conference	+9.7	+7.1	+2.6
75	Vanderbilt	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+9.3	-2.0	+11.2
76	Duke	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+9.3	+3.1	+6.2
77	Lehigh	FCS	Patriot League	+8.9	+11.4	-2.5
78	Troy	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	+8.8	+3.6	+5.2
79	Boston College	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+8.7	-2.2	+10.9
80	Wofford	FCS	Southern Conference	+8.6	-1.2	+9.8
81	Indiana	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+8.5	+5.7	+2.8
82	Wake Forest	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+8.2	-2.7	+10.9
83	Illinois State	FCS	Missouri Valley Football Conference	+8.1	+0.6	+7.4
84	Villanova	FCS	Coastal Athletic Association	+8.0	-5.4	+13.3
85	Colorado State	FBS	Mountain West Conference	+8.0	+7.8	+0.2
86	The Citadel	FCS	Southern Conference	+7.9	+0.6	+7.2
87	Arkansas State	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	+7.7	+2.4	+5.3
88	Kentucky	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+7.2	+5.6	+1.6
89	Arizona State	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+7.2	+9.6	-2.4
90	Dayton	FCS	Pioneer Football League	+6.9	+1.0	+5.9
91	Oregon State	FBS	Pac-12 Conference	+6.9	+2.4	+4.5
92	Grambling	FCS	Southwestern Athletic Conference	+6.7	+5.4	+1.3
93	Iowa State	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+6.7	+3.2	+3.5
94	Central Arkansas	FCS	United Athletic Conference	+6.5	+0.9	+5.6
95	Richmond	FCS	Patriot League	+6.5	+3.7	+2.8
96	Ohio	FBS	Mid-American Conference	+6.2	-0.6	+6.8
97	Northern Illinois	FBS	Mid-American Conference	+6.2	+4.0	+2.2
98	Samford	FCS	Southern Conference	+6.0	+7.2	-1.2
99	Maryland	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+6.0	+3.5	+2.5
100	South Carolina	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+5.9	-2.1	+8.1
101	Duquesne	FCS	Northeast Conference	+5.6	+4.3	+1.3
102	Pennsylvania	FCS	Ivy League	+5.4	+0.6	+4.8
103	UCF	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+5.2	+1.2	+4.0
104	Kennesaw State	FBS	Conference USA	+5.2	+5.7	-0.5
105	Wyoming	FBS	Mountain West Conference	+5.0	+7.9	-2.8
106	Syracuse	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+4.9	+6.3	-1.4
107	Arizona	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+4.6	+7.8	-3.2
108	Georgia Southern	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	+4.5	+1.1	+3.4
109	Southern Utah	FCS	United Athletic Conference	+4.4	+2.3	+2.2
110	Harvard	FCS	Ivy League	+4.4	+0.1	+4.3
111	North Dakota	FCS	Missouri Valley Football Conference	+4.2	-1.2	+5.5
112	Montana	FCS	Big Sky Conference	+4.2	+4.5	-0.3
113	Missouri	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+3.9	+2.6	+1.2
114	New Mexico	FBS	Mountain West Conference	+3.8	+5.8	-2.1
115	Western Illinois	FCS	OVC-Big South Association	+3.7	+3.5	+0.3
116	Fordham	FCS	Patriot League	+3.5	+10.2	-6.6
117	Old Dominion	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	+3.4	+4.8	-1.3
118	Saint Francis	FCS	Northeast Conference	+3.4	-0.8	+4.2
119	New Hampshire	FCS	Coastal Athletic Association	+3.4	+0.4	+3.0
120	Virginia	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+3.2	+1.0	+2.2
121	Utah State	FBS	Mountain West Conference	+3.0	+0.6	+2.4
122	Southern Miss	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	+2.7	+5.0	-2.3
123	Colgate	FCS	Patriot League	+2.6	-0.2	+2.8
124	Cal Poly	FCS	Big Sky Conference	+2.6	+6.6	-4.0
125	Idaho	FCS	Big Sky Conference	+2.5	+5.0	-2.5
126	Army	FBS	American Conference	+2.5	-1.6	+4.1
127	McNeese	FCS	Southland Conference	+2.5	-0.5	+3.0
128	Central Michigan	FBS	Mid-American Conference	+2.4	+0.1	+2.3
129	Akron	FBS	Mid-American Conference	+1.7	+2.7	-1.0
130	South Dakota	FCS	Missouri Valley Football Conference	+1.7	+3.9	-2.2
131	Dartmouth	FCS	Ivy League	+1.6	-6.0	+7.7
132	SMU	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+1.6	+3.6	-2.0
133	Middle Tennessee	FBS	Conference USA	+1.4	+8.8	-7.4
134	Bowling Green	FBS	Mid-American Conference	+1.4	+5.4	-4.0
135	Southern Illinois	FCS	Missouri Valley Football Conference	+1.1	+4.7	-3.5
136	Illinois	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+0.9	-1.9	+2.9
137	Liberty	FBS	Conference USA	+0.9	+0.4	+0.5
138	North Carolina A&T	FCS	Coastal Athletic Association	+0.8	+1.2	-0.4
139	Cincinnati	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+0.7	-3.7	+4.4
140	Miami (OH)	FBS	Mid-American Conference	+0.2	-4.4	+4.7
141	Northern Arizona	FCS	Big Sky Conference	+0.1	+2.9	-2.7
142	William & Mary	FCS	Coastal Athletic Association	-0.1	-2.1	+2.0
143	Furman	FCS	Southern Conference	-0.2	-1.5	+1.3
144	East Carolina	FBS	American Conference	-0.3	+2.1	-2.4
145	UTSA	FBS	American Conference	-0.3	-2.5	+2.2
146	Louisiana	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	-0.4	-3.4	+3.0
147	UAlbany	FCS	Coastal Athletic Association	-0.7	-4.0	+3.3
148	Bryant	FCS	Coastal Athletic Association	-0.9	+0.7	-1.6
149	Tulane	FBS	American Conference	-1.0	-3.0	+2.1
150	Kent State	FBS	Mid-American Conference	-1.0	-5.2	+4.2
151	Rutgers	FBS	Big Ten Conference	-1.3	-0.8	-0.5
152	South Alabama	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	-1.7	-1.5	-0.2
153	Ball State	FBS	Mid-American Conference	-2.0	-0.6	-1.4
154	Indiana State	FCS	Missouri Valley Football Conference	-2.1	+1.1	-3.2
155	Eastern Michigan	FBS	Mid-American Conference	-2.3	+0.7	-2.9
156	Mercer	FCS	Southern Conference	-2.3	-1.5	-0.8
157	Hawai'i	FBS	Mountain West Conference	-2.3	+1.1	-3.4
158	Montana State	FCS	Big Sky Conference	-2.4	-2.2	-0.2
159	Portland State	FCS	Big Sky Conference	-2.4	+3.9	-6.3
160	Gardner-Webb	FCS	OVC-Big South Association	-2.4	-6.1	+3.7
161	Drake	FCS	Pioneer Football League	-2.4	-2.3	-0.2
162	Georgia State	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	-2.5	-5.8	+3.3
163	San José State	FBS	Mountain West Conference	-2.8	-1.3	-1.5
164	Nevada	FBS	Mountain West Conference	-2.8	-4.2	+1.4
165	UT Martin	FCS	OVC-Big South Association	-3.0	-0.4	-2.6
166	Purdue	FBS	Big Ten Conference	-3.2	+3.7	-6.8
167	Maine	FCS	Coastal Athletic Association	-3.2	-4.5	+1.3
168	Stony Brook	FCS	Coastal Athletic Association	-3.2	-10.6	+7.4
169	Weber State	FCS	Big Sky Conference	-3.7	-4.4	+0.7
170	Sacred Heart	FCS	FCS Independents	-3.7	-2.5	-1.2
171	Towson	FCS	Coastal Athletic Association	-3.7	-2.9	-0.9
172	North Carolina Central	FCS	Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference	-4.1	-4.4	+0.3
173	Southern	FCS	Southwestern Athletic Conference	-4.2	+4.3	-8.5
174	SE Louisiana	FCS	Southland Conference	-4.5	-3.1	-1.3
175	UConn	FBS	FBS Independents	-4.5	-9.7	+5.3
176	North Alabama	FCS	United Athletic Conference	-4.6	-5.2	+0.6
177	Kansas	FBS	Big 12 Conference	-4.8	-3.6	-1.2
178	Eastern Illinois	FCS	OVC-Big South Association	-5.0	-3.5	-1.5
179	Morehead State	FCS	Pioneer Football League	-5.0	+1.8	-6.9
180	South Carolina State	FCS	Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference	-5.2	-8.9	+3.7
181	UNLV	FBS	Mountain West Conference	-5.4	+3.5	-8.9
182	Wagner	FCS	Northeast Conference	-5.5	-5.0	-0.5
183	Bucknell	FCS	Patriot League	-5.5	-10.7	+5.2
184	Marshall	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	-5.6	-3.7	-1.9
185	Nicholls	FCS	Southland Conference	-6.0	-2.3	-3.7
186	Massachusetts	FBS	Mid-American Conference	-6.0	-1.3	-4.7
187	Delaware	FBS	Conference USA	-6.2	-7.2	+1.0
188	Alcorn State	FCS	Southwestern Athletic Conference	-6.3	-1.8	-4.5
189	Prairie View A&M	FCS	Southwestern Athletic Conference	-6.3	+2.3	-8.6
190	Tennessee Tech	FCS	OVC-Big South Association	-6.4	-3.3	-3.0
191	Northern Colorado	FCS	Big Sky Conference	-6.4	+0.8	-7.2
192	Columbia	FCS	Ivy League	-6.8	-9.4	+2.6
193	Campbell	FCS	Coastal Athletic Association	-6.9	-5.3	-1.5
194	UL Monroe	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	-7.1	-1.3	-5.8
195	Merrimack	FCS	FCS Independents	-7.2	-3.2	-4.0
196	Western Carolina	FCS	Southern Conference	-7.2	-0.2	-7.0
197	VMI	FCS	Southern Conference	-7.5	-6.0	-1.5
198	Holy Cross	FCS	Patriot League	-7.6	-2.5	-5.1
199	Southeast Missouri State	FCS	OVC-Big South Association	-7.6	-10.4	+2.8
200	North Texas	FBS	American Conference	-7.7	-4.5	-3.1
201	Missouri State	FBS	Conference USA	-7.7	-1.9	-5.8
202	Florida Atlantic	FBS	American Conference	-8.0	-1.9	-6.2
203	Yale	FCS	Ivy League	-8.1	-5.3	-2.8
204	Florida International	FBS	Conference USA	-8.3	-5.4	-2.9
205	Tarleton State	FCS	United Athletic Conference	-8.4	-7.0	-1.4
206	Rice	FBS	American Conference	-8.4	-2.3	-6.1
207	Fresno State	FBS	Mountain West Conference	-8.4	-8.6	+0.2
208	Marist	FCS	Pioneer Football League	-8.5	-4.3	-4.1
209	Brown	FCS	Ivy League	-8.5	-5.3	-3.1
210	Cornell	FCS	Ivy League	-8.6	-3.7	-4.9
211	Monmouth	FCS	Coastal Athletic Association	-8.7	-4.8	-3.9
212	Charlotte	FBS	American Conference	-9.3	-4.2	-5.1
213	New Mexico State	FBS	Conference USA	-9.3	+0.3	-9.6
214	Stephen F. Austin	FCS	Southland Conference	-9.4	-0.4	-9.1
215	Buffalo	FBS	Mid-American Conference	-9.5	-6.6	-2.9
216	Lamar	FCS	Southland Conference	-9.9	-6.7	-3.2
217	UC Davis	FCS	Big Sky Conference	-10.2	-4.3	-5.9
218	UTEP	FBS	Conference USA	-10.3	-4.7	-5.6
219	Georgetown	FCS	Patriot League	-10.3	-12.9	+2.6
220	Tennessee State	FCS	OVC-Big South Association	-10.7	-2.2	-8.4
221	Butler	FCS	Pioneer Football League	-10.9	-6.5	-4.4
222	Bethune-Cookman	FCS	Southwestern Athletic Conference	-11.1	-5.9	-5.2
223	Eastern Kentucky	FCS	United Athletic Conference	-11.3	-6.9	-4.3
224	Alabama State	FCS	Southwestern Athletic Conference	-11.6	-9.0	-2.6
225	East Tennessee State	FCS	Southern Conference	-11.9	-10.6	-1.2
226	Murray State	FCS	Missouri Valley Football Conference	-12.0	-2.8	-9.3
227	Central Connecticut	FCS	Northeast Conference	-12.2	-6.5	-5.7
228	Robert Morris	FCS	Northeast Conference	-12.5	-16.8	+4.3
229	Stetson	FCS	Pioneer Football League	-14.0	-9.5	-4.5
230	Hampton	FCS	Coastal Athletic Association	-14.2	-12.0	-2.1
231	Texas State	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	-14.2	-5.0	-9.2
232	Idaho State	FCS	Big Sky Conference	-14.3	-3.3	-11.1
233	Rhode Island	FCS	Coastal Athletic Association	-14.6	-7.3	-7.3
234	Presbyterian	FCS	Pioneer Football League	-15.1	-16.6	+1.5
235	Northwestern State	FCS	Southland Conference	-15.4	-7.5	-7.9
236	Valparaiso	FCS	Pioneer Football League	-15.5	-6.3	-9.1
237	Abilene Christian	FCS	United Athletic Conference	-15.6	-5.3	-10.3
238	Lafayette	FCS	Patriot League	-15.7	-7.8	-7.9
239	Elon	FCS	Coastal Athletic Association	-15.8	-13.8	-2.0
240	Texas Southern	FCS	Southwestern Athletic Conference	-16.6	-12.6	-4.1
241	Sacramento State	FCS	Big Sky Conference	-16.9	-6.5	-10.4
242	Norfolk State	FCS	Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference	-17.3	-15.4	-1.9
243	Incarnate Word	FCS	Southland Conference	-17.7	-7.4	-10.4
244	Florida A&M	FCS	Southwestern Athletic Conference	-17.9	-9.9	-7.9
245	Alabama A&M	FCS	Southwestern Athletic Conference	-18.1	-7.3	-10.8
246	Houston Christian	FCS	Southland Conference	-19.0	-12.2	-6.8
247	Jackson State	FCS	Southwestern Athletic Conference	-20.5	-15.7	-4.8
248	Davidson	FCS	Pioneer Football League	-21.9	-15.3	-6.6
249	Morgan State	FCS	Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference	-22.8	-13.8	-9.0
250	Howard	FCS	Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference	-24.5	-10.9	-13.7
251	Austin Peay	FCS	United Athletic Conference	-24.9	-6.8	-18.1
252	Delaware State	FCS	Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference	-29.6	-14.5	-15.1
253	Mississippi Valley State	FCS	Southwestern Athletic Conference	-30.3	-14.4	-15.8
254	Arkansas-Pine Bluff	FCS	Southwestern Athletic Conference	-31.4	-16.1	-15.2

SRS — season 2016 reference

The prior per-season opponent-adjusted-margin rating, kept for comparison. Season-final only (no preseason or point-in-time), which is why the rewrite replaced it as the headline number.

#	Team	Div	Conference	SRS	Off (higher = better)	Def (lower = better)
1	Alabama	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+44.6	+27.3	-32.9
2	Washington	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+38.2	+25.4	-26.0
3	Clemson	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+37.3	+28.1	-25.3
4	Michigan	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+36.6	+28.2	-28.5
5	Ohio State	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+35.7	+26.8	-29.8
6	LSU	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+33.9	+16.4	-29.8
7	USC	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+33.7	+21.1	-21.8
8	Florida State	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+33.1	+23.3	-20.8
9	Penn State	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+31.9	+25.4	-18.0
10	Oklahoma	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+31.8	+30.2	-15.6
11	Wisconsin	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+31.8	+16.7	-27.7
12	Miami	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+30.6	+18.6	-22.6
13	Louisville	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+30.2	+28.7	-16.5
14	Stanford	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+28.3	+11.6	-25.0
15	Virginia Tech	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+28.2	+19.3	-20.8
16	Colorado	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+28.2	+16.5	-23.1
17	Auburn	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+28.1	+16.7	-26.1
18	Washington State	FBS	Pac-12 Conference	+28.0	+22.3	-17.8
19	Oklahoma State	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+28.0	+22.0	-17.4
20	North Carolina	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+27.9	+19.3	-17.6
21	Western Michigan	FBS	Mid-American Conference	+27.7	+21.6	-14.7
22	Florida	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+27.0	+11.1	-25.3
23	West Virginia	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+25.8	+16.6	-20.5
24	Tennessee	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+25.6	+24.6	-11.0
25	Pittsburgh	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+25.4	+28.5	-7.5
26	Texas A&M	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+25.1	+20.3	-17.2
27	Kansas State	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+25.1	+15.3	-21.0
28	Temple	FBS	American Conference	+24.8	+14.5	-19.3
29	Iowa	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+24.8	+13.1	-22.0
30	Utah	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+24.6	+13.3	-19.2
31	Western Kentucky	FBS	Conference USA	+24.4	+23.4	-12.6
32	Minnesota	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+24.4	+13.9	-18.8
33	NC State	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+24.3	+12.9	-19.9
34	South Florida	FBS	American Conference	+24.1	+26.2	-6.6
35	BYU	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+23.9	+12.0	-20.3
36	Tulsa	FBS	American Conference	+23.2	+24.2	-8.2
37	Northwestern	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+23.1	+13.2	-20.4
38	Boise State	FBS	Mountain West Conference	+23.0	+14.1	-16.9
39	App State	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	+22.9	+7.0	-19.5
40	San Diego State	FBS	Mountain West Conference	+22.8	+12.6	-17.6
41	Nebraska	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+22.4	+11.8	-18.5
42	Georgia Tech	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+22.3	+14.2	-17.3
43	Houston	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+21.9	+17.4	-16.3
44	Toledo	FBS	Mid-American Conference	+21.8	+18.5	-9.1
45	Ole Miss	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+21.8	+22.3	-9.4
46	Notre Dame	FBS	FBS Independents	+21.6	+18.5	-13.9
47	North Dakota State	FCS	Missouri Valley Football Conference	+21.3	+6.8	-19.8
48	TCU	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+20.0	+15.0	-16.3
49	Baylor	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+19.7	+17.0	-12.7
50	Eastern Washington	FCS	Big Sky Conference	+19.6	+18.2	-6.3
51	Navy	FBS	American Conference	+19.1	+18.8	-11.0
52	Louisiana Tech	FBS	Conference USA	+19.1	+20.7	-4.7
53	Memphis	FBS	American Conference	+19.0	+20.1	-12.1
54	Arkansas	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+18.9	+15.9	-12.0
55	UCLA	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+18.7	+10.4	-16.9
56	Texas	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+18.6	+15.0	-13.9
57	Mississippi State	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+18.3	+17.0	-9.5
58	Georgia	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+18.2	+10.1	-17.1
59	California	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+18.1	+23.7	-1.5
60	Colorado State	FBS	Mountain West Conference	+18.0	+16.1	-8.1
61	Texas Tech	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+17.9	+26.6	-0.2
62	Troy	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	+17.7	+11.3	-12.4
63	Air Force	FBS	Mountain West Conference	+17.6	+13.4	-9.8
64	James Madison	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	+17.5	+20.7	-7.3
65	Oregon	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+17.0	+21.8	-1.8
66	Vanderbilt	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+16.7	+7.1	-18.4
67	Oregon State	FBS	Pac-12 Conference	+16.7	+11.1	-13.1
68	Indiana	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+16.4	+12.1	-13.9
69	UCF	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+16.4	+11.6	-13.8
70	Boston College	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+16.1	+5.0	-14.8
71	Wake Forest	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+15.9	+6.3	-18.7
72	Wyoming	FBS	Mountain West Conference	+15.8	+17.5	-4.1
73	Michigan State	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+15.6	+12.5	-15.2
74	Duke	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+15.1	+9.3	-14.6
75	Kentucky	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+15.0	+13.5	-10.2
76	Arkansas State	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	+14.9	+6.5	-13.5
77	Maryland	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+14.6	+9.9	-10.1
78	Youngstown State	FCS	Missouri Valley Football Conference	+14.2	+5.3	-14.1
79	Arizona State	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+13.8	+16.9	-5.2
80	Iowa State	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+13.8	+13.0	-12.4
81	New Mexico	FBS	Mountain West Conference	+13.6	+13.7	-4.9
82	Old Dominion	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	+13.5	+12.1	-5.9
83	Chattanooga	FCS	Southern Conference	+13.4	+7.0	-8.7
84	South Dakota State	FCS	Missouri Valley Football Conference	+12.9	+12.1	-5.0
85	Northern Iowa	FCS	Missouri Valley Football Conference	+12.7	+5.5	-14.1
86	Charleston Southern	FCS	OVC-Big South Association	+12.7	+7.5	-5.2
87	Ohio	FBS	Mid-American Conference	+12.5	+3.7	-12.6
88	Idaho	FCS	Big Sky Conference	+12.4	+10.0	-4.7
89	Sam Houston	FBS	Conference USA	+12.3	+17.5	+5.5
90	Jacksonville State	FBS	Conference USA	+12.2	+5.1	-10.0
91	South Carolina	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+12.2	+3.6	-16.5
92	Northern Illinois	FBS	Mid-American Conference	+11.9	+8.7	-8.0
93	Wofford	FCS	Southern Conference	+11.5	-0.0	-12.9
94	Syracuse	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+11.5	+12.1	-5.9
95	Arizona	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+11.3	+12.3	-4.0
96	SMU	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+10.6	+9.6	-6.5
97	Coastal Carolina	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	+10.6	+7.2	-3.9
98	Army	FBS	American Conference	+10.3	+6.8	-13.1
99	Missouri	FBS	Southeastern Conference	+10.1	+15.2	-6.8
100	Utah State	FBS	Mountain West Conference	+9.9	+6.6	-9.3
101	Central Arkansas	FCS	United Athletic Conference	+9.5	+3.6	-7.6
102	UTSA	FBS	American Conference	+9.4	+4.0	-9.4
103	Villanova	FCS	Coastal Athletic Association	+9.3	-3.6	-15.5
104	Georgia Southern	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	+9.0	+5.9	-8.2
105	The Citadel	FCS	Southern Conference	+8.9	+1.7	-8.7
106	Tulane	FBS	American Conference	+8.9	+5.4	-11.5
107	Southern Miss	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	+8.8	+10.2	-4.2
108	Virginia	FBS	Atlantic Coast Conference	+8.7	+7.3	-9.0
109	Central Michigan	FBS	Mid-American Conference	+8.6	+5.9	-6.6
110	Miami (OH)	FBS	Mid-American Conference	+8.2	+1.8	-11.0
111	Louisiana	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	+8.1	+2.1	-9.1
112	Middle Tennessee	FBS	Conference USA	+8.0	+14.5	+1.2
113	Eastern Michigan	FBS	Mid-American Conference	+7.8	+5.6	-5.7
114	Illinois State	FCS	Missouri Valley Football Conference	+7.8	+1.3	-10.2
115	Samford	FCS	Southern Conference	+7.6	+8.2	-1.1
116	Akron	FBS	Mid-American Conference	+7.3	+8.2	-0.6
117	Hawai'i	FBS	Mountain West Conference	+7.3	+7.2	-1.8
118	Illinois	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+7.1	+6.4	-9.8
119	Lehigh	FCS	Patriot League	+7.0	+9.2	+3.7
120	Cincinnati	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+6.5	+1.3	-13.6
121	Rutgers	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+6.5	+2.3	-5.2
122	South Alabama	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	+6.5	+3.5	-6.7
123	Richmond	FCS	Patriot League	+6.4	+3.4	-3.6
124	Ball State	FBS	Mid-American Conference	+6.0	+4.7	-4.7
125	Kent State	FBS	Mid-American Conference	+5.7	+0.0	-7.8
126	East Carolina	FBS	American Conference	+5.7	+10.3	-4.0
127	North Dakota	FCS	Missouri Valley Football Conference	+5.3	+0.3	-6.9
128	Grambling	FCS	Southwestern Athletic Conference	+4.9	-0.3	-1.2
129	Princeton	FCS	Ivy League	+4.8	+1.9	-3.6
130	Purdue	FBS	Big Ten Conference	+4.8	+10.9	-0.1
131	Georgia State	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	+4.7	-0.2	-8.4
132	Nevada	FBS	Mountain West Conference	+4.4	+2.1	-7.8
133	Montana	FCS	Big Sky Conference	+4.4	+9.1	-1.2
134	Bowling Green	FBS	Mid-American Conference	+4.3	+5.1	+1.2
135	Western Illinois	FCS	OVC-Big South Association	+4.2	+5.2	-1.5
136	New Hampshire	FCS	Coastal Athletic Association	+4.2	+1.6	-4.1
137	South Dakota	FCS	Missouri Valley Football Conference	+3.8	+8.4	+1.0
138	San José State	FBS	Mountain West Conference	+3.5	+4.1	-4.1
139	UNLV	FBS	Mountain West Conference	+3.5	+10.4	+2.2
140	Kennesaw State	FBS	Conference USA	+3.4	+6.2	+2.8
141	Kansas	FBS	Big 12 Conference	+3.3	+3.9	-6.6
142	Southern Utah	FCS	United Athletic Conference	+3.2	+3.6	-2.5
143	Cal Poly	FCS	Big Sky Conference	+3.1	+6.7	+1.2
144	Furman	FCS	Southern Conference	+3.1	+2.7	-3.6
145	Southern Illinois	FCS	Missouri Valley Football Conference	+2.9	+5.4	-0.5
146	UAlbany	FCS	Coastal Athletic Association	+2.5	-2.2	-4.9
147	Massachusetts	FBS	Mid-American Conference	+2.1	+5.4	-1.2
148	San Diego	FCS	Pioneer Football League	+2.0	+1.0	-1.9
149	Liberty	FBS	Conference USA	+1.6	+0.8	-2.5
150	North Texas	FBS	American Conference	+1.5	+2.6	-3.5
151	McNeese	FCS	Southland Conference	+1.3	+0.1	+0.9
152	UL Monroe	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	+1.1	+3.2	+2.8
153	Colgate	FCS	Patriot League	+0.7	-1.3	-1.7
154	UConn	FBS	FBS Independents	+0.6	-2.9	-11.0
155	Mercer	FCS	Southern Conference	+0.4	+1.2	-0.4
156	Charlotte	FBS	American Conference	+0.1	+1.6	-0.7
157	UT Martin	FCS	OVC-Big South Association	+0.1	-0.7	-1.8
158	Maine	FCS	Coastal Athletic Association	-0.0	-2.0	-2.7
159	Saint Francis	FCS	Northeast Conference	-0.1	-3.8	-2.8
160	New Mexico State	FBS	Conference USA	-0.2	+4.7	+2.7
161	Northern Arizona	FCS	Big Sky Conference	-0.2	+1.7	-2.0
162	Duquesne	FCS	Northeast Conference	-0.3	+0.3	+1.9
163	Florida Atlantic	FBS	American Conference	-0.4	+4.0	+2.9
164	North Carolina A&T	FCS	Coastal Athletic Association	-0.4	-1.3	+4.7
165	Fresno State	FBS	Mountain West Conference	-0.6	-4.1	-7.5
166	Florida International	FBS	Conference USA	-0.7	+0.7	-3.4
167	Nicholls	FCS	Southland Conference	-0.7	+0.6	+2.1
168	SE Louisiana	FCS	Southland Conference	-1.0	-1.3	+2.9
169	Marshall	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	-1.1	+0.9	-2.8
170	UTEP	FBS	Conference USA	-1.1	+1.8	+0.6
171	Fordham	FCS	Patriot League	-1.1	+6.8	+7.2
172	Rice	FBS	American Conference	-1.2	+2.7	+0.7
173	Tennessee Tech	FCS	OVC-Big South Association	-1.4	-1.2	-0.3
174	William & Mary	FCS	Coastal Athletic Association	-1.8	-3.9	-1.9
175	Gardner-Webb	FCS	OVC-Big South Association	-1.8	-4.2	-2.2
176	Indiana State	FCS	Missouri Valley Football Conference	-1.8	+2.4	+2.0
177	Stony Brook	FCS	Coastal Athletic Association	-2.0	-9.2	-7.2
178	Pennsylvania	FCS	Ivy League	-2.1	-5.4	-1.9
179	Montana State	FCS	Big Sky Conference	-2.5	-4.3	-4.7
180	Eastern Illinois	FCS	OVC-Big South Association	-3.0	-1.4	+0.7
181	Weber State	FCS	Big Sky Conference	-3.3	-2.5	-0.2
182	Delaware	FBS	Conference USA	-3.5	-3.6	-1.2
183	Northern Colorado	FCS	Big Sky Conference	-3.6	+2.8	+4.5
184	Southern	FCS	Southwestern Athletic Conference	-3.8	+1.5	+11.0
185	North Carolina Central	FCS	Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference	-4.1	-8.6	+4.6
186	Dayton	FCS	Pioneer Football League	-4.3	-6.0	+2.3
187	North Alabama	FCS	United Athletic Conference	-4.4	-6.4	-2.5
188	Missouri State	FBS	Conference USA	-4.4	-0.7	+5.3
189	Portland State	FCS	Big Sky Conference	-4.5	+4.6	+7.3
190	South Carolina State	FCS	Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference	-4.7	-11.4	+0.1
191	Buffalo	FBS	Mid-American Conference	-4.8	-3.7	-1.5
192	Towson	FCS	Coastal Athletic Association	-5.1	-3.7	+1.8
193	Southeast Missouri State	FCS	OVC-Big South Association	-5.2	-9.0	-5.6
194	Harvard	FCS	Ivy League	-5.4	-6.7	+1.8
195	VMI	FCS	Southern Conference	-5.8	-7.1	-0.4
196	Wagner	FCS	Northeast Conference	-6.1	-5.9	+0.3
197	Bryant	FCS	Coastal Athletic Association	-6.2	-1.8	+6.3
198	Western Carolina	FCS	Southern Conference	-6.6	+0.9	+6.7
199	Texas State	FBS	Sun Belt Conference	-7.0	-2.2	+6.4
200	Tennessee State	FCS	OVC-Big South Association	-7.6	-0.3	+8.7
201	UC Davis	FCS	Big Sky Conference	-7.8	-3.1	+2.7
202	Prairie View A&M	FCS	Southwestern Athletic Conference	-8.1	-4.7	+12.0
203	Stephen F. Austin	FCS	Southland Conference	-8.1	-1.8	+10.2
204	Dartmouth	FCS	Ivy League	-8.5	-11.6	-0.9
205	Bucknell	FCS	Patriot League	-8.6	-11.7	-1.0
206	Monmouth	FCS	Coastal Athletic Association	-8.6	-5.6	+6.2
207	Lamar	FCS	Southland Conference	-9.3	-9.1	+1.2
208	Murray State	FCS	Missouri Valley Football Conference	-9.4	-3.0	+7.3
209	Sacred Heart	FCS	FCS Independents	-10.1	-7.2	+5.6
210	Alcorn State	FCS	Southwestern Athletic Conference	-10.3	-7.6	+10.2
211	East Tennessee State	FCS	Southern Conference	-11.3	-12.9	+1.0
212	Eastern Kentucky	FCS	United Athletic Conference	-11.9	-6.4	+3.6
213	Abilene Christian	FCS	United Athletic Conference	-12.5	-4.5	+10.0
214	Holy Cross	FCS	Patriot League	-12.7	-7.3	+9.5
215	Bethune-Cookman	FCS	Southwestern Athletic Conference	-12.7	-11.7	+8.1
216	Cornell	FCS	Ivy League	-13.0	-7.2	+10.4
217	Columbia	FCS	Ivy League	-13.1	-11.8	+4.4
218	Houston Christian	FCS	Southland Conference	-13.4	-12.6	+5.9
219	Alabama State	FCS	Southwestern Athletic Conference	-13.4	-16.7	+9.4
220	Idaho State	FCS	Big Sky Conference	-13.6	-2.8	+10.8
221	Rhode Island	FCS	Coastal Athletic Association	-13.9	-8.5	+10.6
222	Northwestern State	FCS	Southland Conference	-14.5	-11.0	+6.2
223	Drake	FCS	Pioneer Football League	-14.9	-10.7	+8.6
224	Texas Southern	FCS	Southwestern Athletic Conference	-15.2	-18.1	+8.3
225	Yale	FCS	Ivy League	-15.2	-10.6	+9.4
226	Hampton	FCS	Coastal Athletic Association	-15.2	-16.3	+5.8
227	Lafayette	FCS	Patriot League	-15.4	-8.2	+9.5
228	Presbyterian	FCS	Pioneer Football League	-15.6	-17.9	+1.7
229	Sacramento State	FCS	Big Sky Conference	-15.8	-6.4	+12.2
230	Brown	FCS	Ivy League	-15.8	-12.8	+6.1
231	Central Connecticut	FCS	Northeast Conference	-15.9	-9.1	+8.8
232	Florida A&M	FCS	Southwestern Athletic Conference	-16.5	-14.1	+14.0
233	Robert Morris	FCS	Northeast Conference	-16.7	-19.4	+0.9
234	Incarnate Word	FCS	Southland Conference	-16.8	-6.7	+12.4
235	Georgetown	FCS	Patriot League	-17.0	-18.7	+1.1
236	Elon	FCS	Coastal Athletic Association	-17.2	-14.8	+5.0
237	Alabama A&M	FCS	Southwestern Athletic Conference	-17.6	-12.3	+18.1
238	Morehead State	FCS	Pioneer Football League	-19.2	-7.8	+19.0
239	Austin Peay	FCS	United Athletic Conference	-19.2	-3.0	+17.8
240	Norfolk State	FCS	Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference	-19.2	-21.1	+7.3
241	Jackson State	FCS	Southwestern Athletic Conference	-20.3	-21.8	+9.3
242	Marist	FCS	Pioneer Football League	-21.1	-12.3	+13.2
243	Howard	FCS	Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference	-23.0	-15.1	+16.5
244	Morgan State	FCS	Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference	-23.6	-19.1	+16.8
245	Stetson	FCS	Pioneer Football League	-24.7	-17.8	+11.9
246	Campbell	FCS	Coastal Athletic Association	-24.8	-16.9	+13.3
247	Merrimack	FCS	FCS Independents	-24.8	-14.7	+14.4
248	Valparaiso	FCS	Pioneer Football League	-26.2	-16.4	+15.6
249	Tarleton State	FCS	United Athletic Conference	-26.3	-26.3	+4.5
250	Butler	FCS	Pioneer Football League	-26.8	-17.8	+14.3
251	Delaware State	FCS	Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference	-28.1	-19.9	+19.7
252	Mississippi Valley State	FCS	Southwestern Athletic Conference	-29.2	-23.1	+25.7
253	Arkansas-Pine Bluff	FCS	Southwestern Athletic Conference	-32.3	-26.1	+25.3
254	Davidson	FCS	Pioneer Football League	-35.8	-26.8	+16.6

Elo — live 2026 · week 2

#	Team	Div	Elo
1	Indiana	FBS	1778
2	North Dakota State	FCS	1764
3	Notre Dame	FBS	1749
4	Montana State	FCS	1749
5	Georgia	FBS	1746
6	Ohio State	FBS	1745
7	Texas Tech	FBS	1723
8	Miami	FBS	1719
9	Ole Miss	FBS	1715
10	Alabama	FBS	1708
11	James Madison	FBS	1703
12	Texas	FBS	1701
13	Oregon	FBS	1698
14	Lehigh	FCS	1696
15	SMU	FBS	1695
16	Utah	FBS	1693
17	Texas A&M	FBS	1691
18	Tarleton State	FCS	1685
19	BYU	FBS	1681
20	Montana	FCS	1681
21	South Dakota	FCS	1677
22	USC	FBS	1676
23	Vanderbilt	FBS	1671
24	Penn State	FBS	1671
25	Iowa	FBS	1664

Independent check — SP+ reference, not an input

SP+ is built by someone else from different inputs. Showing it beside our number is the point: two honest estimates, and where they disagree you can see it instead of taking our word for it. Nothing here is fitted to agree with SP+ — it is a yardstick, never an input. Across the 128 teams both systems rate, rank agreement is 0.97 (1.00 = identical order).

Where we disagree most

SP+ top 25