BallKnowMe — College Football by the Numbers

On the board

83 priced of 131

Median gap

5.1

Straight up

104–32

Model state

EARLY SEASON

Wk 0 Wk 1 Wk 2 Wk 3 Wk 4 Wk 5 Wk 6 Wk 7 Wk 8 Wk 9 Wk 10 Wk 11 Wk 12 Wk 13 Wk 14 Wk 15

● Top projected winners 76% · 104-32 this season

The model's most-likely winners — a read, not a betting edge. Graded straight-up on the public record once games are played.

Top projected winners ranked by our win probability · graded straight up, never against a price

Florida International

Top spread reads ranked by the book’s de-vigged lean toward our side — the only calibrated cover probability here; “we differ by” is distance, not confidence

Wisconsin

-37.5 · book 52%

we differ by 11.6 pts

we differ by 15.3 pts

Top total reads ranked by the book’s de-vigged lean toward our side; the points are our distance from the line

Over 54.5

book 52% · -1.3 pts

SDSU @ UCLA · ours 52.2

ILST @ NIU · ours 52.9

W 28–24

Under 45.5

book 51% · +7.3 pts

SAC @ FRES · ours 51.8

L 3–49

Under 55.5

book 51% · +0.8 pts

WAG @ JMU · ours 57.3

L 3–87

Over 52.5

book 51% · +4.5 pts

MERC @ UNM · ours 59.0

W 7–70

Under 55.5

book 51% · +4.8 pts

ARK @ UTAH · ours 60.3

W 10–43

Under 56.5

book 51% · +0.4 pts

APP @ ECU · ours 55.9

W 27–24

Top team totals our projected score against the book’s team total · 46 games priced this week

Louisiana

Under 14.5 · book 54%

ours 25.8 · vs Iowa State

L 13–16

Oklahoma State

Under 17.5 · book 53%

ours 20.8 · vs Oregon

L 31–39

Utah State

Over 13.5 · book 53%

ours 17.9 · vs Washington

W 14–16

Clemson

Under 38.5 · book 53%

ours 31.3 · vs Georgia Southern

Under 34.5 · book 52%

ours 40.8 · vs Arkansas

L 10–43

Week 2 sheet 83 priced of 131 Sheet Panels All games

What the colors mean state · side · price · outcome

State In play · its own hue, never an outcome To play Played

Prediction — which side The side we logged, edged in that team’s own color Identity only. It names the side; it does not say the side is good.

Value — the price ◆One book’s number beats the field, in POINTS 40 games today Tap the book or the total to put that side on the slip at that price. Points first, price second — half a point is worth far more than a few cents of juice. ncaaf_line_shopping.py: +0.86% win rate, +1.61% ROI over 8,652 graded bets. The only edge this site has measured, and the only thing on this page with a right answer.

Outcome ATS WTOT LML · Graded games only. Nothing in play is ever green or red.

How reliable has each gap band been? ncaaf_edge_audit.py · 10,740 games · 2016–2025

0-3 pts 52.0% n=4,250 3-7 50.2% n=3,651 7-14 49.3% n=2,173 14+ 46.8% n=666 17+ wide p90 — tagged, never ranked up

Read the ramp the way it is drawn: bright means we AGREE with the market. Every band above is under the 52.4% break-even and the rate falls as our disagreement grows, so a big gap is this model’s worst bucket rather than a buy signal. That is why the disagreement column is drawn in neutral ink instead of a hot-to-cold scale, why nothing here is sorted by it, and why the value color is attached to the price rather than to the size of our disagreement.

Kickoff	Matchup	Score	Our number	The book	Disagreement ← awaybookhome →	Side we logged	Best line — and by how much	Where it stands
Played83 graded · widest disagreement first
Final	CampbellCAM at FloridaFLA	3–52	FLA −34.0	FLA −51.0	17.0wide	FLA -49.5now CAM +51	MGM-51-110CZR-51.5-110DK-50.5-112ESPN-51.5-115FD-50.5-115	ATS L TOT W ML W
Final	UNLVUNLV at North TexasUNT	6–44	UNT −12.6	UNLV −3.0	15.6	UNT +3.5now UNT +3	MGM+3-110CZR+3-108DK+3-120ESPN+3.5-130FD+3.5-134	ATS W TOT L ML W
Final	Western KentuckyWKU at GeorgiaUGA	20–70	UGA −25.2	UGA −40.5	15.3	UGA -40.5now WKU +40.5	MGM-40.5-110CZR-40.5-110DK-39.5-112ESPN-40.5-110FD-40.5-106	ATS W TOT W ML W
Final	Old DominionODU at Virginia TechVT	21–44	VT −4.2	VT −19.5	15.3	VT -18.5now ODU +19.5	MGM-19.5-108CZR-19.5-109DK-19.5-108ESPN-19.5-110FD-18.5-114	ATS W TOT L ML W
Final	Utah StateUSU at WashingtonWASH	14–16	WASH −14.9	WASH −28.0	13.1	USU +26.5now USU +28	MGM+28-110CZR+28-106DK+28.5-118ESPN+27.5+100FD+27.5-102	ATS W TOT W ML W
Final	Southern MissUSM at AuburnAUB	8–43	AUB −19.5	AUB −32.5	13.0	AUB -32.5now USM +32.5	MGM-32.5-108CZR-32.5-108DK-32.5-112ESPN-32.5-105FD-32.5-105	ATS W TOT L ML W
Final	LouisianaUL at USCUSC	30–49	USC −17.6	USC −30.5	12.9	UL +30.5	MGM+30.5-108CZR+30.5-107DK+30.5-108ESPN+30.5-110FD+30.5-105	ATS W TOT L ML W
Final	UT MartinUTM at West VirginiaWVU	7–52	WVU −28.7	WVU −41.5	12.8	WVU -39.5now UTM +41.5	MGM-41.5-108CZR-41.5-112DK-41.5-108ESPN-41.5-105FD-41.5-110	ATS W TOT L ML W
Final	LindenwoodLIN at Missouri StateMOST	14–48	MOST −29.1	MOST −16.5	12.6	MOST -20.5now MOST -16.5	MGM-16.5-110CZR-16.5-110DK-16.5-112ESPN-16.5-110FD-16.5-110	ATS W TOT W ML W
Final	Western IllinoisWIU at WisconsinWIS	9–36	WIS −31.9	WIS −43.5	11.6	WIS -37.5now WIU +43.5	MGM-43.5-108CZR-43.5-113DK-43.5-112ESPN-42.5-110FD-42.5-110	ATS L TOT L ML W
Final	Florida A&MFAMU at MiamiMIA	7–77	MIA −48.6	MIA −59.5	10.9	MIA -53.5now FAMU +59.5	MGM-59-108CZR-59.5-112DK-59.5-115FD-59.5-110	ATS W TOT L ML W
Final	Mississippi StateMSST at MinnesotaMINN	38–13	MSST −11.5	MSST −1.0	10.5	MINN +1now MSST -1	MGM+1-110CZR+0-110DK-1.5+100ESPN+1.5-115FD+1.5-122	ATS L TOT W ML L
Final	GramblingGRAM at TCUTCU	7–63	TCU −34.0	TCU −44.5	10.5	GRAM +43.5now GRAM +44.5	MGM+43.5-108CZR+44.5-113DK+44.5-115ESPN+44.5-115FD+44.5-110	ATS L TOT W ML W
Final	RiceRICE at Notre DameND	0–52	ND −34.1	ND −44.5	10.4	RICE +44.5	MGM+44.5-110CZR+44.5-107DK+44.5-102ESPN+44.5+100FD+44.5-105	ATS L TOT W ML W
Final	Stony BrookSTBK at Ball StateBALL	17–41	BALL −23.9	BALL −13.5	10.4	BALL -15.5now BALL -13.5	MGM-13.5-112CZR-13.5-117DK-13.5-115ESPN-14.5-105FD-13.5-110	ATS W TOT W ML W
Final	Louisiana TechLT at LSULSU	14–45	LSU −24.8	LSU −35.0	10.2	LSU -35.5now LT +35	MGM-34.5-110CZR-35-110DK-34.5-118ESPN-35.5+102FD-35.5+100	ATS L TOT L ML W
Final	Iowa StateISU at IowaIOWA	13–16	IOWA −4.7	IOWA −14.0	9.3	ISU +14	MGM+14-110CZR+14-108DK+14-112ESPN+14.5-112FD+14.5-120	ATS W TOT L ML W
Final	AlabamaALA at KentuckyUK	45–17	ALA −17.4	ALA −8.5	8.9	ALA -10.5now ALA -8.5	MGM-9-105CZR-8.5-110DK-8.5-112ESPN-8.5-105FD-9.5-105	ATS W TOT W ML W
Final	ArkansasARK at UtahUTAH	10–43	UTAH −21.4	UTAH −12.5	8.9	UTAH -12.5	MGM-12-118CZR-12.5-110DK-12.5-108ESPN-12.5-110FD-12.5-110	ATS W TOT W ML W
Final	UTSAUTSA at Texas StateTXST	31–26	UTSA −6.3	TXST −2.5	8.8	TXST -1.5now UTSA +2.5	MGM-2.5-108CZR-2.5-110DK-2.5-110ESPN-2.5-110FD-2.5-110	ATS L TOT L ML L
Final	Georgia SouthernGASO at ClemsonCLEM	7–22	CLEM −11.2	CLEM −19.5	8.3	GASO +20.5now GASO +19.5	MGM+19-108CZR+19.5-108DK+19.5-112ESPN+19.5-110FD+19.5-110	ATS W TOT W ML W
Final	DukeDUKE at IllinoisILL	31–27	DUKE −1.4	ILL −6.5	7.9	ILL -6now DUKE +6.5	MGM-6.5-108CZR-6.5-108DK-6.5-108ESPN-6.5-110FD-6.5-110	ATS L TOT L ML L
Final	Sacramento StateSAC at Fresno StateFRES	3–49	FRES −25.4	FRES −17.5	7.9	FRES -18.5now FRES -17.5	MGM-17.5-105CZR-17.5-110DK-17.5-110ESPN-17.5+100FD-17.5-105	ATS W TOT L ML W
Final	CharlotteCLT at Ole MissMISS	9–41	MISS −36.7	MISS −44.5	7.8	CLT +47.5now CLT +44.5	MGM+45-108CZR+45-109DK+44.5-102ESPN+44.5-110FD+44.5-104	ATS W TOT W ML W
Final	South FloridaUSF at ArmyARMY	28–24	USF −4.2	ARMY −3.5	7.7	USF +3.5	MGM+3-108CZR+3.5-118DK+3.5-118ESPN+3.5-120FD+3.5-120	ATS W TOT L ML W
Final	OregonORE at Oklahoma StateOKST	31–39	ORE −16.6	ORE −24.0	7.4	ORE -22.5now OKST +24	MGM-24-105CZR-23.5-112DK-24.5-110ESPN-24.5-110FD-23.5-115	ATS L TOT L ML L
Final	Georgia StateGAST at Kennesaw StateKENN	31–17	KENN −0.1	KENN −7.5	7.4	GAST +8.5now GAST +7.5	MGM+7.5-112CZR+7-104DK+7.5-115FD+7.5-110	ATS W TOT L ML L
Final	Weber StateWEB at ColoradoCOLO	21–52	COLO −31.1	COLO −38.5	7.4	COLO -33.5now WEB +38.5	MGM-37.5-112CZR-38.5-110DK-38.5-112ESPN-38.5-110FD-38.5-105	ATS L TOT W ML W
Final	Bowling GreenBGSU at NebraskaNEB	7–56	NEB −23.2	NEB −30.5	7.3	BGSU +28.5now BGSU +30.5	MGM+30.5-108CZR+30.5-109DK+30.5-105ESPN+30.5-110FD+30.5-110	ATS L TOT L ML W
Final	East Tennessee StateETSU at North CarolinaUNC	3–35	UNC −28.3	UNC −35.5	7.2	ETSU +35.5	MGM+35.5-110CZR+35.5-108DK+35.5-108ESPN+35.5-105FD+36.5-112	ATS W TOT L ML W
Final	WoffordWOF at Kent StateKENT	15–36	KENT −16.8	KENT −10.0	6.8	KENT -12.5now KENT -10	MGM-10-110CZR-10-109DK-10-110ESPN-9.5-125FD-10.5-105	ATS W TOT W ML W
Final	HowardHOW at IndianaIU	0–55	IU −50.8	IU −57.5	6.7	IU -55.5now HOW +57.5	MGM-56-115CZR-57.5-115DK-57.5-112ESPN-57.5-115FD-58.5-110	ATS L TOT W ML W
Final	Norfolk StateNORF at VirginiaUVA	3–59	UVA −40.1	UVA −46.5	6.4	UVA -43.5now NORF +46.5	MGM-45.5-110CZR-46.5-110DK-46.5-112ESPN-46.5-105FD-46.5-110	ATS W TOT L ML W
Final	WagnerWAG at James MadisonJMU	3–87	JMU −40.1	JMU −46.5	6.4	WAG +45.5now WAG +46.5	MGM+46-108CZR+46.5-113DK+46.5-112ESPN+45.5+100FD+46.5-110	ATS L TOT L ML W
Final	TowsonTOW at South CarolinaSC	9–45	SC −38.5	SC −44.5	6.0	SC -43.5now TOW +44.5	MGM-44.5-110CZR-44.5-107DK-44.5-108ESPN-44.5-110FD-43.5-115	ATS L TOT W ML W
Final	Penn StatePSU at TempleTEM	27–9	PSU −18.1	PSU −24.0	5.9	PSU -23.5now TEM +24	MGM-24-108CZR-24-112DK-24.5-102ESPN-24.5+100FD-23.5-120	ATS L TOT L ML W
Final	Montana StateMTST at NevadaNEV	20–7	NEV −1.3	MTST −4.5	5.8	NEV +4.5	MGM+4.5-110CZR+4.5-112DK+4.5-110ESPN+4.5-115FD+3.5-105	ATS L TOT L ML L
Final	MercyhurstMERC at New MexicoUNM	7–70	UNM −37.2	UNM −42.5	5.3	MERC +41.5now MERC +42.5	MGM+42-108CZR+42.5-112DK+42.5-108ESPN+42.5-115FD+42.5-118	ATS L TOT W ML W
Final	Western CarolinaWCU at CincinnatiCIN	10–62	CIN −30.3	CIN −35.5	5.2	WCU +36.5now WCU +35.5	MGM+36-110CZR+35.5-107DK+35.5-108ESPN+35.5-110FD+35.5-110	ATS L TOT W ML W
Final	Prairie View A&MPV at BaylorBAY	3–44	BAY −32.3	BAY −37.5	5.2	PV +37.5	MGM+37-108CZR+37.5-109DK+37.5-115ESPN+37.5-105FD+37.5-104	ATS L TOT L ML W
Final	Illinois StateILST at Northern IllinoisNIU	28–24	NIU −2.7	ILST −2.5	5.2	NIU +3.5now NIU +2.5	MGM+3-115CZR+2.5-104DK+2.5+100ESPN+2.5+100FD+3.5-130	ATS L TOT W ML L
Final	North Dakota StateNDSU at Air ForceAF	38–32	AF −3.6	NDSU −1.5	5.1	AF +2.5now AF +1.5	MGM+1.5-108CZR+1.5-110DK+1.5-110ESPN+1.5-115FD+2.5-120	ATS L TOT W ML L
Final	Texas TechTTU at Oregon StateORST	35–24	TTU −20.5	TTU −25.5	5.0	TTU -26.5now ORST +25.5	MGM-25.5-108CZR-25.5-112DK-25.5-112ESPN-25.5-105FD-26.5-102	ATS L TOT W ML W
Final	Ohio StateOSU at TexasTEX	23–24	OSU −2.9	TEX −2.0	4.9	OSU +1.5now OSU +2	MGM+2-110CZR+2.5-110DK+2.5-118ESPN+1.5-110FD+1.5-104	ATS W TOT L ML L
Final	Arizona StateASU at Texas A&MTA&M	20–48	TA&M −19.3	TA&M −14.5	4.8	ASU +14.5now TA&M -14.5	MGM+14.5-110CZR+14.5-108DK+14.5-105ESPN+14.5-110FD+14.5-110	ATS L TOT L ML W
Final	OklahomaOU at MichiganMICH	10–17	MICH −0.1	OU −4.5	4.6	OU -5.5now MICH +4.5	MGM-4.5-110CZR-4.5-112DK-5.5-108ESPN-4.5-120FD-4.5-114	ATS L TOT W ML L
Final	UL MonroeULM at UABUAB	20–26	UAB −5.0	UAB −9.5	4.5	ULM +10now ULM +9.5	MGM+8.5-112CZR+9.5-108DK+9.5-108ESPN+9.5-110FD+8.5-110	ATS W TOT W ML W
Final	MissouriMIZ at KansasKU	38–21	MIZ −8.8	MIZ −4.5	4.3	KU +6.5now MIZ -4.5	MGM+4.5-112CZR+4-106DK+4-105ESPN+4.5-115FD+4.5-112	ATS L TOT L ML L
Final	Northern ColoradoUNCO at WyomingWYO	13–21	WYO −18.8	WYO −23.0	4.2	WYO -23.5now UNCO +23	MGM-23-108CZR-23.5-108DK-23.5-108ESPN-22.5-110FD-22.5-110	ATS L TOT W ML W
Final	MonmouthMONM at Western MichiganWMU	14–49	WMU −33.6	WMU −29.5	4.1	WMU -26.5now WMU -29.5	MGM-29.5-108CZR-29.5-109DK-29.5-110ESPN-30.5-110FD-28.5-115	ATS W TOT W ML W
Final	Washington StateWSU at Kansas StateKSU	7–34	KSU −13.7	KSU −17.5	3.8	WSU +18.5now WSU +17.5	MGM+17.5-110CZR+17.5-112DK+17.5-108ESPN+17.5-110FD+17.5-110	ATS L TOT L ML W
Final	VillanovaVILL at LouisvilleLOU	13–59	LOU −34.8	LOU −38.5	3.7	LOU -35.5now VILL +38.5	MGM-37.5-112CZR-38.5-110DK-38.5-108ESPN-38.5-110FD-38.5-110	ATS W TOT W ML W
Final	San Diego StateSDSU at UCLAUCLA	10–28	UCLA −9.9	UCLA −13.5	3.6	UCLA -12now SDSU +13.5	MGM-13.5-110CZR-13.5-112DK-13.5-112ESPN-13.5-115FD-13.5-112	ATS W TOT L ML W
Final	RichmondRICH at NC StateNCSU	0–73	NCSU −29.9	NCSU −33.5	3.6	NCSU -30.5now RICH +33.5	MGM-33.5-110CZR-33.5-114DK-33.5-112ESPN-32.5-110FD-33.5-110	ATS W TOT W ML W
Final	Robert MorrisRMU at AkronAKR	10–45	AKR −23.0	AKR −26.5	3.5	AKR -27.5now RMU +26.5	MGM-26.5-110CZR-26.5-113DK-26.5-115ESPN-26.5-115FD-26.5-114	ATS W TOT W ML W
Final	FordhamFOR at Coastal CarolinaCCU	7–45	CCU −32.1	CCU −35.5	3.4	CCU -32.5now FOR +35.5	MGM-35.5-110CZR-36.5-109DK-36.5-112ESPN-35.5-115FD-35.5-114	ATS W TOT W ML W
Final	Eastern MichiganEMU at Michigan StateMSU	7–35	MSU −20.8	MSU −17.5	3.3	MSU -17.5	MGM-17-110CZR-17.5-107DK-17.5-105ESPN-17.5-105FD-17.5-106	ATS W TOT W ML W
Final	TulsaTLSA at Sam HoustonSHSU	23–17	TLSA −8.2	TLSA −11.5	3.3	SHSU +13.5now SHSU +11.5	MGM+12.5-110CZR+11.5-110DK+12.5-112ESPN+11.5-110FD+11.5-110	ATS W TOT L ML W
Final	ColgateCOLG at Central MichiganCMU	10–13	CMU −15.3	CMU −18.5	3.2	CMU -24.5now COLG +18.5	MGM-18-118CZR-18.5-117DK-18.5-108ESPN-18.5-115FD-19.5-110	ATS L TOT L ML W
Final	ArizonaARIZ at BYUBYU	17–28	BYU −4.0	BYU −7.0	3.0	ARIZ +7.5now ARIZ +7	MGM+7-105CZR+7-113DK+7-110ESPN+6.5+100FD+6.5+100	ATS L TOT W ML W
Final	CaliforniaCAL at SyracuseSYR	21–18	SYR −0.5	SYR −3.5	3.0	SYR -3.5now CAL +3.5	MGM-3.5-110CZR-3.5-115DK-3.5-118ESPN-3.5-115FD-3.5-108	ATS L TOT L ML L
Final	New Mexico StateNMSU at Hawai'iHAW	19–29	HAW −4.5	HAW −7.5	3.0	NMSU +7now NMSU +7.5	MGM+7.5-118CZR+7.5-117DK+7.5-115ESPN+7.5-120FD+7.5-122	ATS L TOT W ML W
Final	MarylandMD at UConnCONN	38–14	MD −8.7	MD −11.5	2.8	CONN +12.5now CONN +11.5	MGM+11.5-110CZR+11.5-109DK+11.5-112ESPN+11.5-110FD+11.5-110	ATS L TOT W ML L
Final	South AlabamaUSA at TulaneTULN	24–28	TULN −7.2	TULN −10.0	2.8	USA +9.5now USA +10	MGM+9.5-118CZR+10-115DK+9.5-110ESPN+10.5-115FD+10.5-115	ATS W TOT L ML W
Final	West GeorgiaWGA at Arkansas StateARST	7–52	ARST −29.1	ARST −31.5	2.4	ARST -31.5now WGA +31.5	MGM-32-110CZR-31.5-112DK-31.5-112FD-31.5-115	ATS W TOT L ML W
Final	Middle TennesseeMTSU at MarshallMRSH	26–28	MRSH −9.2	MRSH −11.5	2.3	MTSU +13.5now MTSU +11.5	MGM+12.5-115CZR+12.5-109DK+11.5-108ESPN+11.5-110FD+11.5-114	ATS W TOT W ML W
Final	UC DavisUCD at SMUSMU	10–56	SMU −29.8	SMU −32.0	2.2	SMU -24.5now UCD +32	MGM-32-108CZR-32.5-108DK-32.5-108ESPN-31.5-110FD-31.5-106	ATS W TOT L ML W
Final	Central ConnecticutCCSU at ToledoTOL	10–63	TOL −33.6	TOL −35.5	1.9	CCSU +35.5	MGM+35.5-110CZR+35.5-112DK+36.5-112ESPN+35.5-105FD+35.5-108	ATS L TOT W ML W
Final	UCFUCF at PittsburghPITT	7–12	PITT −8.8	PITT −7.0	1.8	PITT -7	MGM-7-115CZR-7-114DK-7-115ESPN-7.5+100FD-7.5+100	ATS L TOT W ML W
Final	Wake ForestWAKE at PurduePUR	38–36	WAKE −4.8	WAKE −3.0	1.8	PUR +3now WAKE -3	MGM+3-115CZR+3-120DK+3-115ESPN+2.5+105FD+2.5-102	ATS W TOT W ML W
Final	App StateAPP at East CarolinaECU	27–24	ECU −4.7	ECU −6.5	1.8	APP +7.5now APP +6.5	MGM+6.5-110CZR+6.5-107DK+6.5-108ESPN+6.5-110FD+6.5-110	ATS W TOT W ML L
Final	Alabama StateALST at TroyTROY	17–34	TROY −22.0	TROY −23.5	1.5	ALST +22.5now ALST +23.5	MGM+23.5-108CZR+23.5-112DK+23.5-105ESPN+23.5-110FD+23.5-110	ATS W TOT W ML W
Final	RutgersRUTG at Boston CollegeBC	21–28	BC −4.3	BC −3.0	1.3	RUTG +3.5now BC -3	MGM+3-112CZR+3-112DK+3-115ESPN+2.5+100FD+2.5-104	ATS L TOT W ML W
Final	NavyNAVY at Florida AtlanticFAU	30–38	NAVY −5.2	NAVY −4.0	1.2	FAU +4.5now NAVY -4	MGM+4-108CZR+4-112DK+4-108ESPN+3.5-110FD+4.5-110	ATS W TOT L ML L
Final	Southern UtahSUU at Colorado StateCSU	24–58	CSU −21.7	CSU −20.5	1.2	CSU -20.5	MGM-20-110CZR-20.5-107DK-20.5-102ESPN-20.5-115FD-20.5-112	ATS W TOT W ML W
Final	Texas SouthernTXSO at UTEPUTEP	10–51	UTEP −28.1	UTEP −27.0	1.1	TXSO +26.5now UTEP -27	MGM+27-108CZR+27-110DK+27.5-112ESPN+26.5-110FD+25.5-106	ATS L TOT W ML W
Final	Cal PolyCP at San José StateSJSU	20–30	SJSU −20.5	SJSU −21.5	1.0	SJSU -20.5now CP +21.5	MGM-21.5-105CZR-21.5-107DK-21.5-105ESPN-21.5-110FD-21.5-114	ATS L TOT L ML W
Final	MemphisMEM at Boise StateBOIS	20–38	BOIS −8.6	BOIS −9.5	0.9	BOIS -8.5now MEM +9.5	MGM-9.5-108CZR-8.5-113DK-9.5-112ESPN-8.5-108FD-9.5-105	ATS W TOT L ML W
Final	Jacksonville StateJXST at OhioOHIO	27–29	OHIO −2.4	OHIO −1.5	0.9	JXST +2.5now OHIO -1.5	MGM+2-110CZR+1.5-108DK+1.5-105ESPN+1.5-110FD+2.5-115	ATS W TOT L ML W
Final	Holy CrossHC at Miami (OH)M-OH	7–45	M-OH −31.2	M-OH −30.5	0.7	HC +31.5now M-OH -30.5	MGM+30.5-118CZR+30.5-113DK+30.5-111ESPN+30.5-115FD+29.5-110	ATS L TOT W ML W
Final	BuffaloBUF at Florida InternationalFIU	20–33	FIU −10.5	FIU −10.0	0.5	BUF +10.5now FIU -10	MGM+10-108CZR+10-107DK+10-108ESPN+9.5-105FD+10.5-114	ATS L TOT L ML W
Final	Sacred HeartSHU at MassachusettsMASS	10–37	MASS −24.0	MASS −23.5	0.5	SHU +23.5now MASS -23.5	MGM+23.5-110CZR+23.5-109DK+23.5-108ESPN+22.5-105FD+23.5-108	ATS L TOT W ML W
Final	TennesseeTENN at Georgia TechGT	45–24	TENN −12.9	TENN −12.5	0.4	GT +12.5now TENN -12.5	MGM+12-108CZR+12.5-113DK+12.5-112ESPN+12.5-106FD+11.5-104	ATS L TOT L ML W

+48 unpriced games — schedule & projections in All games →

Every bar puts the book at the center and our number beside it, to one scale for every game. A wide gap is a caution, not a signal — measured over 10,740 graded games, the further we sit from the market the worse we have done (52.0% ATS where we barely disagree, 46.8% where we disagree by 14+ points). Naming a side is orientation, not a recommendation: this project measured no edge on spreads or totals over 10,777 games. The best-number column is a price, never a pick — whatever side you were going to take, it says who has the best number on it.

Every row links to its full breakdown. The books grid, the public splits and the bet slip live on Panels and on each game’s own page.